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I think he will be more than that but I don't agree with your statement. The Patriots might value a mid #4 over a late #3 if it 1) puts Cassel in a place less likely to hurt us (as in, not New Jersey) and we would get the pick this year vs. 2010.If he is franchaised by Pats- then Pats know his value must be worth more than 3rd round comp pick
I think we'd rather take a #4 from Minnesota this year than a #3 comp pick in 2010 and have the Jets get him without losing anything.
That said, I would be shocked if we got less than a #2 pick for him.