Metaphors
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With all respect to you, Buffalo currently has the 4th best pass defense in the entire NFL.
They have the worst run defense in the NFL. Absolute bottom. Looking up at Detroit, Cleveland and St. Louis. Why would you try to get yards through the air when you can do it much easier on the ground?
They do have a good pass defense, particularly in getting interceptions. In their wins, they have had an inordinate number of interceptions ( 2 vs. TB, 6 vs. Jets, 3 vs. Carolina, 4 vs. Miami, 4 vs. KC...19 in 5 wins, 6 in 8 losses). Unless Brady has a breakdown, that doesn't trend well for Buffalo.
The Bills can certainly win this game, particularly if the Pats are more beat up than expected. I actually do expect them to keep it close into the 2nd half. With a porous run defense and a pass defense that depends on turnovers, I think the Pats should be able to close them out and finish with a comfortable win.