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Vegas 2019 O/U win totals

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by everlong, Apr 1, 2019.

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  1. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    TEAM WIN TOTAL
    Patriots 11
    Chiefs 10.5
    Rams 10.5
    Saints 10.5
    Chargers 10
    Bears 9.5
    Colts 9.5
    Eagles 9.5
    Browns 9
    Packers 9
    Steelers 9
    Vikings 9
    Cowboys 8.5
    Falcons 8.5
    Ravens 8.5
    Seahawks 8.5
    Texans 8.5
    Titans 8.5
    49ers 8
    Jaguars 8
    Panthers 8
    Broncos 7
    Jets 7
    Lions 7
    Bengals 6
    Bills 6
    Buccaneers 6
    Giants 6
    Raiders 6
    Redskins 6
    Cardinals 5
    Dolphins 5
     
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  2. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    My initial thoughts on all, dependent upon the draft and the rest of FA.

    Patriots 11 over
    Chiefs 10.5 over
    Rams 10.5 under
    Saints 10.5 under
    Chargers 10 under
    Bears 9.5 over
    Colts 9.5 over
    Eagles 9.5 under
    Browns 9 under
    Packers 9 over
    Steelers 9 under
    Vikings 9 over
    Cowboys 8.5 over
    Falcons 8.5 under
    Ravens 8.5 over
    Seahawks 8.5 over
    Texans 8.5 over
    Titans 8.5 under
    49ers 8 over
    Jaguars 8 under
    Panthers 8 under
    Broncos 7 under
    Jets 7 under
    Lions 7 under
    Bengals 6 push
    Bills 6 over
    Buccaneers 6 over
    Giants 6 under
    Raiders 6 over
    Redskins 6 over
    Cardinals 5 push
    Dolphins 5 push
     
  3. VectorPrime

    VectorPrime Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    Easy over. We would have been over this past year if not for the Miami bullsh.it.
     
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  4. Ice_Ice_Brady

    Ice_Ice_Brady PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Bears < 9.5
    Saints < 10.5
    Rams < 10.5
    Browns < 9
    Vikings < 9
    Jaguars < 8
    Titans < 8.5

    Packers > 9
    Seahawks > 8.5
    49ers > 8
    Texans > 8.5
     
  5. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    As we all know, last year was the first time we were as low as 11 in the past TEN seasons. Folks criticize the bettors and the media for overestimating the patriots. That is obviously nonsense.

    Folks point to our holes and say that we should estimated as having fewer wins. But then, those current issues are the reasons why the projection is to repeat the lowest number of wins in a decade (11).
     
  6. PatriotsReign

    PatriotsReign PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Don’t you wonder if Garrapolo can make it through a season without being hurt? I do.
     
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  7. BobDigital

    BobDigital Pro Bowl Player

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    best bets are.

    Bears 9.5 over, Texans 8.5 over, Seahawks 8.5 over, Eagles 9.5 over

    I like the NFC mid teams. I expect them to take a step forward with NO and LAR taking steps back from last year. As for the Texans 8.5 it seems safe to me. They are in a weak division and have a good D. It is all about if Watson can stay healthy enough to get to 9 wins.
     
  8. SBLIII

    SBLIII In the Starting Line-Up

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    we have always been in that range. Mostly from 10.5 to 11.5.
     
  9. Ice_Ice_Brady

    Ice_Ice_Brady PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Bears are not that good. At the end of 2019 they’ll be looking for a franchise QB again. Defense good not elite. Much tougher schedule in 2019.
     
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  10. Ice_Ice_Brady

    Ice_Ice_Brady PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Can’t believe I missed the easiest one on here:

    Ravens < 8.5

    There’s no way Lamar Jackson leads that team to a winning record. Not after how exposed he was last year in the playoffs. That team will likely be draft a new QB next year. Jackson is not a starting caliber QB.
     
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  11. SBLIII

    SBLIII In the Starting Line-Up

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    for comparison since 2010 it has been:

    9.5
    11.5
    12
    11
    10.5
    10.5
    10.5
    12.5
    11
    11

    pretty consistent.
     
  12. luuked

    luuked Pro Bowl Player

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    Are you sure the division is weak though ?

    The Colts looked like a good team, the Titans at least solid and Jacksonville eliminated the Bortles factor. I don't know about that one.
     
  13. SBLIII

    SBLIII In the Starting Line-Up

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    Texans = toughest schedule in football and BOB

    = 8-8 at best imo
     
  14. 1960Pats

    1960Pats PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Actual Wins
    9.5 - 14 (over)
    11.5 - 13 (over)
    12 - 12 (push)
    11 - 12 (over)
    10.5 - 12 (over)
    10.5 - 12 (over)
    10.5 - 14 (over)
    12.5 - 13 (over)
    11 - 11 (push)
    11 - ???

    That's also pretty consistent. Could this be the year of the under? I wouldn't bet on it.
     
  15. PATSYLICIOUS

    PATSYLICIOUS Pro Bowl Player

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    Id take the over, i feel we’ve found our new identity and should resume with the 12+ win streak we had till last year. If Edelman misses 4 or more games again that could change.
     
  16. fourhour

    fourhour Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    I'm not concerned with the win count as long as the Pats get the last win!
     
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  17. Simpelton

    Simpelton In the Starting Line-Up

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    Kinda disagree with this. They've had a toxic situation in their locker room over the last couple years but that actually seems to have sorted itself out with the malcontents having left town. The remaining team, though weaker on paper, has a much better chance of actually all pulling in the same direction this year. They still have a good enough offense to win 10+ games. Much less sanguine about their defense, especially their secondary, but unless Roethlisberger falls off a cliff they're going to be in the running for a playoff spot.
     
  18. Simpelton

    Simpelton In the Starting Line-Up

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    I do too, but IMHO comes down to the offensive line getting better and Garoppolo staying in the pocket and not trying to scramble for extra yards. I mean it's good that he's willing to do it but both of the times he's been hurt has been on scrambles that probably didn't need to happen except that Jimmy G got greedy and tried to extend a play at the cost of his health. Learn to get rid of the ball and get 'em next down Jimmy. You'll last longer.

    it's a division full of average teams. Depending on your perspective that's a weak division, but it's actually a division that anyone could come out of.
     
  19. everlong

    everlong Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    We'll see how they draft. If they can sure up LB, CB and add an edge rusher they could win ten. As the team is currently constituted and the editions in the division plus their playing the NFCW, AFCE and drawing Indy and the Chargers that's a tough schedule.

    Let's say they split with the division for 3-3.

    Patriots, Chargers and 49ers on the road along with Seahawks, Rams and Colts at home. Let's say they split those which is a tall tale but they could also sweep the Bengals and go 4-2 in the division. That's 6-6.

    That still leaves @NYJ, @AZ, Miami and Buffalo. They need to sweep those to get to 10 wins. Doable? Yep. The Steelers are also prone to some head scratchers where they don't show up especially early in the season. I could see them starting with one of those 4 games and laying an egg.
     
  20. Simpelton

    Simpelton In the Starting Line-Up

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    They're also going to get some upsets, it happens to everyone. Not every fight is won by the team with the advantage, if it were we'd have 2 more wins last year. You can count on roughly 1 of your "sure wins" to slip away from you in any given year, and rely on an upset or two to balance it out, it happens every year.

    This is why i feel like they have a better position than they did last year, because without the toxic personalities messing up their team chemistry they have a better chance to generate upsets this year than they did last year. I think the Steelers are a decent bet to rebound next year, especially if they can rebuild their offence around Juju Smith-Schuster without the walking distraction that is Antonio Brown muddying the waters.

    Wouldn't be the first time, by any means, that a team shed controversial divalike star level talent and then improved its record.
     
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