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Tracking Belichick's four day 2 trades


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ctpatsfan77

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Here's how the Pats started day 2:

32 | 56 64 | 73 97 101 | 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

First, they traded up with the Rams, giving up 56 and 101:

32 | 45 64 | 73 97 | 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

Then they traded down from 64 with Seattle, picking up 77 and 118:

32 | 45 | 73 77 97 | 118 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

Next, they made another trade with the Bears, picking up a 2020 pick:

32 | 45 | 77 87 97 | 118 134 | 162 | | 239 243 246 252 | 2020 CHI 4

Finally, because BB is weird, he made another trade with the Rams, getting back one of the picks he gave up earlier.

32 | 45 | 77 87 101 | 118 133 134 | | | 239 243 246 252 | 2020 CHI 4

So, adding all the trades together, we get:

56 + 64 + 73 + 97 + 205

for

45 + 77 + 87 + 118 + 133 + 2020 CHI 4
 
Here's how the Pats started day 2:

32 | 56 64 | 73 97 101 | 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

First, they traded up with the Rams, giving up 56 and 101:

32 | 45 64 | 73 97 | 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

Then they traded down from 64 with Seattle, picking up 77 and 118:

32 | 45 | 73 77 97 | 118 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

Next, they made another trade with the Bears, picking up a 2020 pick:

32 | 45 | 77 87 97 | 118 134 | 162 | | 239 243 246 252 | 2020 CHI 4

Finally, because BB is weird, he made another trade with the Rams, getting back one of the picks he gave up earlier.

32 | 45 | 77 87 101 | 118 133 134 | | | 239 243 246 252 | 2020 CHI 4

So, adding all the trades together, we get:

56 + 64 + 73 + 97 + 205

for

45 + 77 + 87 + 118 + 133 + 2020 CHI 4

I followed this in my head but it is really great to see this on paper. Superb job CtPats!

I know the picks have skewed values and you can create a simple algorithm for that, but using simple addition, where a higher number is worth less, they traded 495 for 460 plus Chicago's 4th in 2020. From a Pats perspective, I think it looks even better if you assign different values for each different pick.
 
Here's how the Pats started day 2:

32 | 56 64 | 73 97 101 | 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

First, they traded up with the Rams, giving up 56 and 101:

32 | 45 64 | 73 97 | 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

Then they traded down from 64 with Seattle, picking up 77 and 118:

32 | 45 | 73 77 97 | 118 134 | | 205 | 239 243 246 252

Next, they made another trade with the Bears, picking up a 2020 pick:

32 | 45 | 77 87 97 | 118 134 | 162 | | 239 243 246 252 | 2020 CHI 4

Finally, because BB is weird, he made another trade with the Rams, getting back one of the picks he gave up earlier.

32 | 45 | 77 87 101 | 118 133 134 | | | 239 243 246 252 | 2020 CHI 4

So, adding all the trades together, we get:

56 + 64 + 73 + 97 + 205

for

45 + 77 + 87 + 118 + 133 + 2020 CHI 4

Could you stop by and help me re-set the clock in my Volvo?
 
according to the classic Jimmy Johnson trade valuation model, they above trades come up dead even. I would have thought the Pats got the better valuation.
trades spots given up =956
received = 907 plus 4th next year. A mid 4th is 50 pts = 957
 
This is great. Now all I have to do is add some butterfly stickers and my kids will be a future NFL GM in 30 years.
 
according to the classic Jimmy Johnson trade valuation model, they above trades come up dead even. I would have thought the Pats got the better valuation.
trades spots given up =956
received = 907 plus 4th next year. A mid 4th is 50 pts = 957

Is this still used?
 
BB himself said most teams use a standard valuation

Ok, but “most teams” and “a” standard valuation. I’d wager the Pats have their own with additional variables. :)
 
yes according to the trade value chart it's even but we gained 2 additional premium picks with 1 more this year and 1 next year. And we still drafted a 2nd round talent in Winovich while trading back.
 
I'd guess that there's a standard, but that each teams actual chart varies a little bit. Then you have to add in the variable of how each draft, spot/round in the draft, and player(s) rate for both parties and you get an added level of valuation.
 
Looking ahead to next year I think the Pats have 13 picks (assuming 4 compensatory picks) or as 'few' as 11.
round 1 - 1 pick own
round 2- 1 pick own
round 3 - 3 picks own and assuming 2 comp picks
round 4 - 2 picks, own and Bears
round 5 - no selections YET ( traded for Micheal Bennett)
round 6 - from 1 to 3 picks if the Pats net 2 more compensatory picks.
round 7- 3 picks, own, from Eagles in Bennett trade and from Falcons in Jordan Richards trade. I read that requirements were met.

EDIT Overthecap.com has Pats getting 4 picks next year based on cancellations...
Compensatory Draft Picks Cancellation Chart | Over the Cap
 
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