The Definitive 'Are We the #2 Seed Right Now?' Thread

[Miguel]

NFL 2009 Playoff Race - CBSSports.com

 

[patsinthesnow]

NFL 2009 Playoff Race - CBSSports.com

Thanks, I didn't know the NFC has NO depth at all. I can't see any team besides the Saints/Vikings representing the NFC in the superbowl. In the AFC, I could see all 4 division winners representing for the superbowl.

 

[Kontradiction]

Thanks, I didn't know the NFC has NO depth at all. I can't see any team besides the Saints/Vikings representing the NFC in the superbowl. In the AFC, I could see all 4 division winners representing for the superbowl.

Remember that the Giants came out of nowhere a couple of years ago when the two supposed powerhouses were Dallas and Green Bay. Last season, it was 9-7 Wild Card Arizona in the Super Bowl that took the Steelers to the limit. The NFC race might not look close right now, but it could get a whole lot more interesting in January.

 

[fillylabinga]

NFL 2009 Playoff Race - CBSSports.com

Interesting. Thanks Miguel. From the link:

* Cincinnati earns the No. 2 seed over San Diego and New England based on strength of victory (.471 over Chargers' .457 and Patriots' .377)
* San Diego earns the No. 3 seed over New England based on strength of victory (.457 to Patriots' .377)

(BTW, this looks to be using the 3-team logic which means common opponents don't factor in. Instead the order is based on SOV.)

My quick reaction is that there's a bigger SOV gap than I would have thought from just eye-balling the schedule (without looking at the team records you would think that San Diego plays in such a bad division that their SOV would be worse).

I guess a win over NO would be pretty helpful, huh? Beating an undefeated team would go a long way to closing the SOV gap.

 

[Metaphors]

Interesting. Thanks Miguel. From the link:

* Cincinnati earns the No. 2 seed over San Diego and New England based on strength of victory (.471 over Chargers' .457 and Patriots' .377)
* San Diego earns the No. 3 seed over New England based on strength of victory (.457 to Patriots' .377)

(BTW, this looks to be using the 3-team logic which means common opponents don't factor in. Instead the order is based on SOV.)

My quick reaction is that there's a bigger SOV gap than I would have thought from just eye-balling the schedule (without looking at the team records you would think that San Diego plays in such a bad division that their SOV would be worse).

I guess a win over NO would be pretty helpful, huh? Beating an undefeated team would go a long way to closing the SOV gap.

You really can't evaluate SOV until the season is close to over. Once Cincy beats the Browns, Lions and Chiefs, their SOV takes on all of their losses. Cincy gets a special double-whammy with the Browns, so their SOV will get hammered as the season moves on. SD has a similar story with upcoming wins against the Chiefs, Browns and Skins.

So check out the dogs that each team will have killing their SOV at the end of the year:

Pats: TB, BUFx2
SD: CLE, WAS, OAKx2, KCx2
Cincy: CLEx2, DET, KC (losing to OAK hurts their record but ironically helps their SOV)

I don't think it will come down to SOV, but if it does the Pats should end up in good shape. Buffalo also has some winnable games coming up, including the annual Jim Sorgi game in week 17 (assuming the Colts have wrapped everything up and aren't 15-0).