Someone Remind Us

[mgteich]

What is the likelihood of a non-specialist (kicker, punter, returner, long snapper) drafted in the

5th round makes the 53 of the team that drafted him?
in the 6th rounder?
in the 7th rounder?

 

[Clonamery]

What's the likelihood of someone who is starting threads about the odds players will make the team has just returned from a Vegas trip? Greater than 50%?

You must have seen the ad, what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas?

 

[rkarp1]

What is the likelihood of a non-specialist (kicker, punter, returner, long snapper) drafted in the

5th round makes the 53 of the team that drafted him?
in the 6th rounder?
in the 7th rounder?

drafted by a team that won 4 games 2 years in a row? very good

 

[Steve102]

What's the likelihood of someone who is starting threads about the odds players will make the team has just returned from a Vegas trip? Greater than 50%?

You must have seen the ad, what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas?

Further... what are the odds that Steve-o clicks the ignore thread button?

 

[maust]

Further... what are the odds that Steve-o clicks the ignore thread button?

No odds, the outcome is assured. Although being the degenerate I am I might lay money if we're talkin’ bout how fast. I
mean you did actually take a moment to reply, just sayin’
So maybe 6/4 and even?

 

[Steve102]

No odds, the outcome is assured. Although being the degenerate I am I might lay money if where talkin’ bout how fast. I
mean you did actually take a moment to reply, just sayin’
So maybe 6/4 and even?

I dunno. I replied and hit the button.

 

[maust]

I dunno. I replied and hit the button.

My Dude, classic cool Humphrey Bogart and former Sox skipper Joe Morgan... 6/4 and even
Although it may be 6/2... I'm old and I drink

 

[KCSVEN]

What is the likelihood of a non-specialist (kicker, punter, returner, long snapper) drafted in the

5th round makes the 53 of the team that drafted him?
in the 6th rounder?
in the 7th rounder?

I only did Placekickers and a quick run down the long snappers, Punters looked a little less successful just scanning the names.

6 of 12 long snappers were successful, ironically 3 that were not successful had shoulder injuries in the 1st or 2nd year, I think we know why the rule change on lining up over the snapper. Thus 6 of 9 that did not get injured.

Placekicker success rate is below. How you determine success rate? For more recent picks it's whether they were the main kicker last year. Chad Ryland is a success, the Pats gave up on him too early so not a success for them. However, kickers are not always consistent year to year. Alex Henery was record breaking accurate in college, set the rookie NFL record for accuracy, had a great year 2, lost it in year 3.
He's in the Misc category. Not a complete fail but not a long term success. A guy like Zane Gonzalez is a Misc but been in the league 8 years but only main kicker in 4 of those years. Yes column was more definitive starting kicker for long period or, if more recently, since drafted. No was total fail.

I compared that to success rate for other positions. In rounds 5-7 placekickers are 10 times more likely to succeed than non-specialists picked and long snappers are 8 times more likely to succeed. Good Value, and smart analytical pick, especially in the 5-7 round range.

 

[Huckleberry1]

drafted by a team that won 4 games 2 years in a row? very good

I think this is the salient point. It depends completely upon the state of the team, the strength or weakness of the unit the player will be trying to make, and how smart the people drafting were in their choices. I don’t think odds play any role because those factors all differ radically from team to team.

 

[Wozzy]

Odds are probably as good or better than most positions. The draft is a crapshoot.

I’d wager better odds than a WR taken there, they have some of the lowest success rates in draft history… but people still keep insisting you can never have enough juicy weapons.

 

[Wozzy]

drafted by a team that won 4 games 2 years in a row? very good

Kicking wasn’t their problem last year, and they should have kept their rookie kicker from the year before. It takes three phases to win games.