Assume the Broncos lose to the Raiders and CAR/CIN/DET/BUF/DEN are your top 5. Oakland is 1-4 on the road (only beating Denver), including losses to SF and ARZ as well as blowouts against PIT and TEN. So here are the remaining Raider games:
@SD - Revenge game and needed by Bolts for playoff run
@JAX - 3rd roadie in 4 weeks, cross-country trip for 1pm game and Jags need the win for playoffs
IND - Colts will likely need this game to stay ahead of Jags
@KC - Early game with SD playing late, so likely a must win for Chiefs
The Raiders should be significant underdogs in all 4 games. That puts them at 6 wins, likely in a bunch with the following teams:
DAL - 3 wins, potential wins WAS/@ARZ, others @IND/PHI/@PHI
ARZ - 3 wins, others STL/DEN/@CAR/DAL/@SF
CLE - 4 wins, potential wins @BUF/@CIN, others @MIA/BAL/PIT
SF - 4 wins, potential wins SEA/ARZ, others @GB/@SD/@STL
MIN - 4 wins, potential wins BUF/@DET, others NYG/CHI/@PHI
That puts the Raiders at #11 if none of those teams can get to 6 wins. If there are tie-breakers (SOS), here is where they stand now...and likely won't change significantly:
ARZ = .460
OAK = .483
SF = .489
DAL = .523
MIN = .528
CLE = .568
So I would say that the potential for a top 10 pick is pretty solid with my prediction being #8. The key is getting the Browns and Cowboys outside that number since they will likely be competing for Pats-type players.
