I think this is a long way from done.
I put the chances of him playing the 2007 season under the tag very low.
The Pats will work tosing an extension. There is a new advantage to an extension---with 7.7 mill counting against the cap now, any extension will open up more cap room for 07.
I used to think the attitude of tag him, he has to play held true, but after Branch, among many other cases in the NFL, it has become apparent that players who do not like their contracts DO have leverage, and can force the issue.
One big difference here. Branch was sitting out at the cost of his rookie contract (dont remember, but I think he was making something like 1.5mill for 06) Samuel would risk losing almost 8 mill to play the same game.
IMO, there are one of 2 things going on here:
1) The Pats tagging Samuel is a sign that BB has a very high opinion of him, and a deal will get done, and their value on Samuel is consistent with the market, or
2) The Pats want nothing to do with paying the kind of $$ Asante wants, so the tagged him to trade him and get something instead of nothing.
My instinct is its the first, but I simply am guessing.