If you were a bookmaker...

[CelticPatriot]

...what odds would you give the Pats to win the AFC/Superbowl this year?

British ones have us as 7/1 joint favourites (with Denver) for the Superbowl and 3/1 for the AFC.

But given recent events I'd make them much longer. 11/2 - AFC and 13/1 Superbowl for me

 

[captain stone]

15/1 afc champs, 31/1 super bowl champs.

 

[jmt57]

For what it is worth, current odds at Bovada; Pats appear to have dropped just a very small bit, from 8:1 to 8.5:1. Not much love for the defending SB champs, or a few other playoff teams (Bengals, Vikings, Colts):



Odds to win the 2014 Super Bowl XLVIII

• 6/1 -- San Francisco 49ers
• 13/2 - Denver Broncos
• 8/1 -- Seattle Seahawks
• 17/2 - New England Patriots
• 12/1 - Green Bay Packers
• 14/1 - Atlanta Falcons
• 18/1 - Houston Texans
• 22/1 - Baltimore Ravens
• 22/1 - New York Giants
• 25/1 - Pittsburgh Steelers
• 33/1 - Chicago Bears
• 33/1 - Cincinnati Bengals
• 33/1 - Dallas Cowboys
• 33/1 - Philadelphia Eagles
• 33/1 - Washington Redskins
• 40/1 - Detroit Lions
• 40/1 - Indianapolis Colts
• 40/1 - Miami Dolphins
• 40/1 - Minnesota Vikings
• 40/1 - St. Louis Rams
• 50/1 - Kansas City Chiefs
• 50/1 - San Diego Chargers
• 50/1 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• 66/1 - Carolina Panthers
• 75/1 - Cleveland Browns
• 100/1 - New Jersey Jets
• 100/1 - Tennessee Titans
• 125/1 - Arizona Cardinals
• 125/1 - Buffalo Bills
• 150/1 - Oakland Raiders
• 200/1 - Jacksonville Jaguars

Odds to win 2014 AFC Championship

• 5/2 -- Denver Broncos
• 7/2 -- New England Patriots
• 11/2 - Houston Texans
• 10/1 - Baltimore Ravens
• 12/1 - Pittsburgh Steelers
• 15/1 - Cincinnati Bengals
• 16/1 - Indianapolis Colts
• 18/1 - Miami Dolphins
• 20/1 - San Diego Chargers
• 25/1 - Kansas City Chiefs
• 40/1 - Cleveland Browns
• 40/1 - New Jersey Jets
• 50/1 - Buffalo Bills
• 50/1 - Tennessee Titans
• 66/1 - Oakland Raiders
• 75/1 - Jacksonville Jaguars

Odds to win 2014 NFC Championship

• 15/4 - San Francisco 49ers
• 9/2 -- Seattle Seahawks
• 13/2 - Green Bay Packers
• 15/2 - Atlanta Falcons
• 10/1 - New Orleans Saints
• 12/1 - New York Giants
• 16/1 - Chicago Bears
• 16/1 - Dallas Cowboys
• 18/1 - Philadelphia Eagles
• 20/1 - Minnesota Vikings
• 25/1 - St. Louis Rams
• 28/1 - Detroit Lions
• 28/1 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
• 33/1 - Carolina Panthers
• 66/1 - Arizona Cardinals

Odds to win the AFC East Division

• -400 --- New England Patriots
• +400 -- Miami Dolphins
• +1200 - New York Jets
• +1400 - Buffalo Bills

 

[borg]

15/1 afc, 31/1 nfc.

Exactly...

 

[captain stone]

And if I had the $$ to (potentially) lose, I would take the 12/1 on Green Bay, and the +400 on Miami.

 

[SB39]

15/1 afc champs, 31/1 super bowl champs.

Really? So you see the Patriots being just as likely to win the AFC as the Browns and Jaguars? Just as likely to win the Super Bowl as Philly and Detroit?

 

[Claremonster]

Really? So you see the Patriots being just as likely to win the AFC as the Browns and Jaguars? Just as likely to win the Super Bowl as Philly and Detroit?

It is what it is...

 

[Mike the Brit]

Really? So you see the Patriots being just as likely to win the AFC as the Browns and Jaguars? Just as likely to win the Super Bowl as Philly and Detroit?

The good news: no one is better at rallying a football team in adversity and getting them to focus on their jobs than Bill Belichick.

The bad news: everything else.

 

[jmt57]

Looking at this other listing the odds for the Pats may have slipped more than I realized; they were 5/1 at LVH a month ago.

Odds to Win 2014 Super Bowl XLVIII (last updated May 21)

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS	 5/1
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS	 6/1
DENVER BRONCOS	         6/1
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS	 7/1
GREEN BAY PACKERS	 12/1
HOUSTON TEXANS	         12/1
ATLANTA FALCONS	         16/1
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS	 18/1
NEW YORK GIANTS	         18/1
PITTSBURGH STEELERS	 20/1
BALTIMORE RAVENS	 30/1
WASHINGTON REDSKINS	 30/1
CHICAGO BEARS	         30/1
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS	 30/1
CINCINNATI BENGALS	 30/1
DALLAS COWBOYS	         30/1
MIAMI DOLPHINS	         40/1
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS	 40/1
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS	 50/1
DETROIT LIONS	         50/1
MINNESOTA VIKINGS	 50/1
CAROLINA PANTHERS	 60/1
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES	 60/1
ST. LOUIS RAMS	         60/1
CLEVELAND BROWNS	 60/1
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS	 60/1
NEW YORK JETS	         100/1
TENNESSEE TITANS	 100/1
BUFFALO BILLS	         100/1
ARIZONA CARDINALS	 150/1
OAKLAND RAIDERS	         200/1
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS	 200/1

Odds at that time to win AFC Championship:

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS	 2/1
DENVER BRONCOS	         5/2
HOUSTON TEXANS	         5/1
PITTSBURGH STEELERS	 9/1
BALTIMORE RAVENS	 14/1
CINCINNATI BENGALS	 14/1
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS	 14/1
MIAMI DOLPHINS	         18/1
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS	 23/1
CLEVELAND BROWNS	 30/1
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS	 30/1
TENNESSEE TITANS	 50/1
BUFFALO BILLS	         50/1
NEW YORK JETS	         50/1
OAKLAND RAIDERS	         100/1
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS	 100/1

Odds at that time to win NFC Championship:

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS	 3/1
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS	 7/2
GREEN BAY PACKERS	 6/1
ATLANTA FALCONS	         8/1
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS	 9/1
NEW YORK GIANTS	         9/1
WASHINGTON REDSKINS	 15/1
CHICAGO BEARS	         15/1
DALLAS COWBOYS	         15/1
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS	 20/1
DETROIT LIONS	         25/1
MINNESOTA VIKINGS	 25/1
CAROLINA PANTHERS	 30/1
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES	 30/1
ST. LOUIS RAMS	         30/1
ARIZONA CARDINALS	 75/1

Odds to win AFC East

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS	 1/6
MIAMI DOLPHINS	         5/1
BUFFALO BILLS	         10/1
NEW YORK JETS	         25/1

Odds to win AFC North

PITTSBURGH STEELERS	 19/10
BALTIMORE RAVENS	 19/10
CINCINNATI BENGALS	 19/10
CLEVELAND BROWNS	 7/1

Odds to win AFC South

HOUSTON TEXANS	         2/5
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS	 5/2
TENNESSEE TITANS	 7/1
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS	 30/1

Odds to win AFC West

DENVER BRONCOS	         1/6
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS	 7/1
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS	 7/1
OAKLND RAIDERS	         20/1

Odds to win NFC East

NEW YORK GIANTS	         3/2
DALLAS COWBOYS	         12/5
WASHINGTON REDSKINS	 12/5
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES	 5/1

Odds to win NFC North

GREEN BAY PACKERS	 5/8
CHICAGO BEARS	         3/1
MINNESOTA VIKINGS	 5/1
DETROIT LIONS	         7/1

Odds to win NFC South

ATLANTA FALCONS	         EVEN
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS	 2/1
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS	 5/1
CAROLINA PANTHERS	 11/2

Odds to win NFC West

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS	 4/5
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS	 6/5
ST. LOUIS RAMS	         8/1
ARIZONA CARDINALS	 30/1

2013 NFL Regular Season Wins

[U]Team[/U]	                 [U]Wins (Money)[/U]
ARIZONA CARDINALS	 5.5 (OVER +130 UNDER -150)
ATLANTA FALCONS	         10.0 (OVER +110 UNDER -130)
BALTIMORE RAVENS	 8.5 (OVER -140 UNDER +120)
BUFFALO BILLS	         6.5 (OVER +115 UNDER -135)
CAROLINA PANTHERS	 7.0 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
CHICAGO BEARS	         8.5 (OVER -120 UNDER EVEN)
CINCINNATI BENGALS	 8.5 (OVER +110 UNDER -130)
CLEVELAND BROWNS	 6.0 (OVER -130 UNDER +110)
DALLAS COWBOYS	         8.5 (OVER +135 UNDER -155)
DENVER BRONCOS	         11.5 (OVER +110 UNDER -130)
DETROIT LIONS	         7.5 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
GREEN BAY PACKERS	 10.0 (OVER -120 UNDER EVEN)
HOUSTON TEXANS	         10.0 (OVER -130 UNDER +110)
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS	 8.5 (OVER EVEN UNDER -120)
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS	 5.0 (OVER -130 UNDER +110)
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS	 7.0 (OVER -135 UNDER +115)
MIAMI DOLPHINS	         7.5 (OVER -130 UNDER +110)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS	 7.5 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS	 11.5 (OVER +115 UNDER -135)
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS	 9.0 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
NEW YORK GIANTS	         9.0 (OVER EVEN UNDER -120)
NEW YORK JETS	         6.5 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
OAKLAND RAIDERS	         5.5 (OVER +110 UNDER -130)
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES	 7.0 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
PITTSBURGH STEELERS	 9.0 (OVER -120 UNDER EVEN)
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS	 7.5 (OVER +115 UNDER -135)
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS	 11.5 (OVER +110 UNDER -130)
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS	 10.5 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
ST. LOUIS RAMS	         7.5 (OVER +120 UNDER -140)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS	 7.5 (OVER -140 UNDER +120)
TENNESSEE TITANS	 6.5 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)
WASHINGTON REDSKINS	 8.0 (OVER -110 UNDER -110)

 

[mgteich]

The patriots have NOT been a "football team in adversity" since Belichick arrived.

It is strange to use the label of adversity to a team that is 4th most likely to win the SB and 2nd most likely to win the AFC (at least according to those putting up cash). The jets and the jags are teams in adversity, not the patriots.

The good news: no one is better at rallying a football team in adversity and getting them to focus on their jobs than Bill Belichick.

 

[MAYOnnaise]

The patriots have NOT been a "football team in adversity" since Belichick arrived.

It is strange to use the label of adversity to a team that is 4th most likely to win the SB and 2nd most likely to win the AFC (at least according to those putting up cash). The jets and the jags are teams in adversity, not the patriots.

Are you sure you know what the word adversity means?