I really don't see what the big difference is between #1 and #4 except for the fact that the #1 pick will get much more money and take up way more cap space. I'd rather have the #3 or #4 pick over the #1 pick, unless there was a 100% guarantee we would be able to trade down from #1 to prevent having to sign some unproven rookie a salary that a proven all pro commands. If you look at the history of the draft, the #1 guy is almost NEVER the best player when everything plays itself out over the next 4-5 years. Usually the only time the #1 player does in fact turn out to be the best pro is when it is a quarterback like Peyton Manning or Troy Aikman. I will be ecstatic if they get the #3 or #4 pick, which is exactly what I think they will get. The only guy I even think is worth the money that high is Darren McFadden and I'm still not sure if the Pats want to pay a running back that kind of money.