Do we really want a Bye?

[Jackson 2]

With the Texans losing tonight, our chances of getting a bye are much greater.

I'm of two minds on this question though. I know, I know.. having a bye lets players heal up and gives more prep time for the next opponent. IMO though, our D needs all the real game experience it can get, and in that case we wouldn't want a bye.

Our O obviously is just fine, but the D... man they are a sieve. And with so many new players on the D, I just think that maybe having a bye would not help so much, and may make them get rusty with two weeks off.

After thinking it over though, I suppose a bye would be more beneficial than no bye if just for the reason(s) that:

a: players get to rest and heal up
b: more game planning time
c: why risk being one and done in the first round

Even with all those solid reasons for a bye... I still get the feeling that an extra week off would be bad for the team, I don't know ... just a gut feeling. What do you all think?

I have concluded that this is a disingenuous post. You can't be serious.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

I have concluded that this is a disingenuous post. You can't be serious.

 

[ahmed]

:wha:I`d like to think I am too nice to be rude but I just can`t resist it this time... this is a very dumb question :ugh:

 

[Satchboogie3]

That's like saying that you always should punt on Fourth and One at midfield. It's what everyone believes, but statistical analysis after statistical analysis show that you are no worse off going for it (see, for starters, The Hidden Game of Football by Bob Carroll, et al.).

Facts are annoying things, but I had a few minutes this morning, went back 15 years and analyzed what happened to the Number One seed in the two conferences (total of 30 data points):

--Ten of the 30 were one and done, losing in the Division Round (as we painfully recall is possible)
--Seven of the 30 lost their Conference Championship Game
So, over half the Number One seeds don't even make it to the SB.
--Seven of the 30 lost in the Super Bowl
--Six of the 30 won the Super Bowl.

So, based on these data, there's a 20% chance of winning the Super Bowl from the Number One slot, but an 80% chance of winning it from another point on the food chain . There's also less than a 50% chance that you even get to the Super Bowl (43%).

QUOTE]

This is skewed logic, this 80% would only mean something if the Pats had a choice of having the 1 seed or ALL FIVE other seeds (note, not just one of the remaining five, ALL other FIVE). That, of course, is impossible since one team only gets one spot. Therefore, this argument has no legs.

THANK YOU. I just don't understand why anyone wouldn't want the bye. It's really clear:
Pros:
1. You get past the first round AUTOMATICALLY!! That's basically a win handed to you without even having to play.
2. You get extra time to heal/rest
3. You get extra time to prepare, gameplan, etc
4. You get homefield as the #1 seed

Cons:
You don't play an extra game after a grueling 16 game season.

Uh, so tell me again why you don't want a bye?...

 

[Hardboiled]

This is skewed logic, this 80% would only mean something if the Pats had a choice of having the 1 seed or ALL FIVE other seeds (note, not just one of the remaining five, ALL other FIVE). That, of course, is impossible since one team only gets one spot. Therefore, this argument has no legs.

He doesn't understand his own numbers.