Chargers just aren't the same anymore

[Pessimistic Pete]

Well, the biggest difference there, is they may actually have an NFL quality team in their division this year in the Chiefs.

The 3 teams the Chiefs beat all have losing records and they're now on a 2 game losing streak.

Close games with good teams mean nothing, ask the Lions. I'll be shocked if they're even above .500 this year.

 

[Synovia]

The 3 teams the Chiefs beat all have losing records and they're now on a 2 game losing streak.

Close games with good teams mean nothing, ask the Lions. I'll be shocked if they're even above .500 this year.

Yeah, and the two teams they've lost to are a combined 8-4.


The Chiefs next 3 games are Buffallo, Jacksonville, and Oakland. I'd be surprised if they're not 6-2 coming out of that.

Then they play Denver, Arizona, Seattle, Denver, SD, STL, TEN, Oak.

Murderer's row there. There's one team in that whole list that will probably win more than 10 games. The chiefs have ~6 games left against teams that would be a surprise to win more than 7 games.

 

[convertedpatsfan]

They are 1st in yards per game but 5th in PPG (behind NE which is in 1st). They are the 18th on the CHFF Scoreability Index. It takes SD 16.54 yards to score a point, while NE scores a point for every 11.5 yards gained.

They are 1st in yards per game allowed, but they are 19th in PPG allowed (NE is 25th :bricks. They are 31st on the CHFF Bendability Index, allowing a point for every 12.07 yards. NE is 17th, allowing a point for every 16.51 yards.

So you have a defense that allows points for very few yards going against a team that is second in the league in scoring efficiency...I smell points. I expect NE to score above their average of 30.8 PPG. I'll say 34 points.

You also have an offense that is middle of the road in scoring efficiency going up against a defense that is middle of the road in scoring efficiency against. I would expect SD to achieve about their average of 26.2 PPG. Call it 27 points.

Allowing for a three point advantage to the home team, I'll say: NE 34 - SD 30.

The defense does give up a lot of points, but they're also a much better team at home than on the road. And while our kids are getting better, Rivers is the best QB they've seen so far. I like our chances, but I think some are taking them a bit too lightly.

And their STs are not just putrid, but historically bad.

It's true, and I'm hopeful Tate can take advantage of that. But they're still a very dangerous team.