mgteich said:
If Branch can almost certainly get $6M a year from someone else, and the patriots wouldn't even consider such a number, then isn't Branch gone after the season? Aren't we in the exact same position as with Givens? Why does anyone beleive that we will ever make Branch an offer anywhere near the market price for his services?
Well, the good news is that it IS an apples and oranges comparison.
Johnson, by pretty much all comparisons IS a better WR than Branch having averaged 90+ catches for the last 3 years.
Its difficult to compare the two contracts because again, Johnson had established his baseline before all this new CBA money and had an incentive to protect himself with additional guaranteed money under this extension.
It was a win win for both player and team.
In Branch's case he just doesn't compare with Johnson - he only has 1 season with #1 WR numbers from last year - with just 43, 57 and 35 catches in his other seasons. Even his yds per catch aren't all that great and he's never actually had a 1000 yard season.
So while Branch's agent will no doubt illustrate that $6 mil a season is a unique case that represents a major bargain in today's WR economy, Branch should also be realistic that one season with 78 catches doesn't put him in Johnson's league either.
Of course, I think there's some truth to the fact that the Patriots system that spreads the ball around winds up keeping individual WR statistics down, and I recognize that Branch's value in stretching the field goes beyond his stats, but that's what the Pats will use against him in negotiations.