Off by one point does this mean I win both the showcase showdown prizes Bob?
I knew it would be 7 points... but 13 wasnt on my radar for the pats. I honestly expected more of the pats.
But for fun here is a breakdown of AI:
(which i only trust for percentages)
Calculating the percentage of specific final scores in a football game is difficult because the probability varies by league, teams playing, and game circumstances. However, historical data can provide a useful reference for how often a team finishes with a total of 13 or 20 points.
Percentage of games with a score of 13 or 20
- 13 points: Historically, a final score of 13-10 is the sixth most common final score in NFL history, occurring 169 times through January 2023.
- 20 points: This is a very common point total, particularly as part of the winning team's score.
- 20-17 is the most common final score in NFL history, occurring 291 times through early 2024.
- 23-20 is the third most common final score.
A team's chance of winning with 13 or 20 points
For a team that
achieves a final score of 13 or 20, they have a higher win percentage than if they finished with 14 or 21 points, respectively.
- A team that scores 13 points wins about 28.5% of the time.
- A team that scores 20 points wins about 56.6% of the time.
Factors affecting these percentages
The percentages above are broad and don't account for the opponent's score or game situation, which are significant variables.
For example, a team scoring 20 points and their opponent scoring 17 points is a common outcome, but that does not mean every time a team hits 20 points, the opponent will score 17 point