To break this down:
-Stafford is (or was) having a better statistical MVP season, not because he’s actually been better in important stats but because historically TD:INT and passing yards are the biggest MVP driver (even though such metrics alone are stupid, they are the historical precedent). There’s debate and actual analysis (advanced stats, reasonable takes), and then there’s the actual voters (simple stats, dumb takes.)
-Stafford has indeed played a tougher schedule, in a tough division, and additionally, he couldn’t be blamed at all for the loss to Seattle
So those two points are the reason Stafford had the lead over Maye if the records had been even, and moreover, why Stafford still had the edge with an additional loss. 13-3 and 12-4 are pretty similar records and you can’t justifiably rip the MVP away from Stafford after that game, given all the tough foes this season.
But, that last loss changes a lot. 11-5 and 13-3 are much different records. The Rams aren’t only missing a top seed but now not close, just a typical wild card bid. And Stafford’s poor play can be attributed to that loss unlike the excused Seattle loss.
Maye should be the MVP and that’s always been the case. Why? For an obvious fact never brought up in MVP races for some dumb reason. These supporting casts are not similar in any way. Nacua is likely OPOY and Adams stacks the deck. Stafford’s latest gaffe has forced voters to reconsider everything. Maye is the MVP, deservedly so, if he closes it out with a decent performance.