Give Me Your Draft Hot Takes

[manxman2601]

Patriots related or otherwise. The bolder the better.

I'll go first with:

There'll be no DTs drafted in the first round (although one might be traded for (Sexy Dexy).

 

[mayoclinic]

Some of our most hated teams will draft some of our most beloved players.

Example: Jets draft Arvell Reese (2), Treydan Stukes (33) and Keylan Rutledge (44).

 

[One-If-By-Sea]

Some of our most hated teams will draft some of our most beloved players.

Example: Jets draft Arvell Reese (2), Treydan Stukes (33) and Keylan Rutledge (44).

What a haul of players and this is a down year for the draft. Imagine (2), (33), and (44) next year.

 

[DaBruinz]

People continue to talk about Brown coming to the Pats In another thread, I pointed out that he saw his targets drop by 1.1per game after the Eagles added Barkley. Someone mentioned that Brown was targets on 14% of his snaps. Which, I think an incorrect way to think because WRs are on the field for RUNNING plays as well

I think that Target Share is a better metric to use:

2022: 536 pass attempts (460 by Hurts) - 145 targets for Brown (27% target share) / Devonta Smith with 136 targets (25.4% target share)
2023: 563 pass attempts (538 by Hurts) - 158 Targets for Brown (28% target share) / Devonta Smith with 112 targets (19.9% target Share)
2024: 448 pass attempts (361 by Hurts) - 97 targets for Brown (21.6% target Share) / Devonta Smith with 89 targets (19.9% target share)
2025: 497 pass attempts (454 by Hurts) - 121 Targets for Brown (24.3% target share) / Devonta Smith 113 targets ( 22.7% target share).

2022: 544 Team rushing attempts
2023: 510 Team rushing attempts
2024: 621 Team rushing attempts (345 by Barkley - 55.6%)
2025: 478 Team rushing attempts (280 by Barkley - 58.6%)

The Pats in Maye's first full year:
502 passing attempts (492 by Maye) - 102 targets to Diggs (20.3% target share) - 494 Team Rushing Attempts.

The number of RUSHING attempts is likely to go UP this year with the addition of Hill and Gilliam. It wouldn't surprise me in the least to see both Henderson and Stevenson get over 150 -175 rushes each.

What makes people think that Brown would be happy in the Pats offense when they are looking to INCREASE the number of runs they do this year?

 

[ctpatsfan77]

The number of RUSHING attempts is likely to go UP this year with the addition of Hill and Gilliam. It wouldn't surprise me in the least to see both Henderson and Stevenson get over 150 -175 rushes each.

I don't know if they're looking to run the ball more or simply run it more effectively. I certainly don't see any good reason for this to be a "run-dominant" team when they have a QB like Maye.

 

[DoubleDeluxe]

I don't know if they're looking to run the ball more or simply run it more effectively. I certainly don't see any good reason for this to be a "run-dominant" team when they have a QB like Maye.

Exactly.
We were 6th in rush attempts last year.
We are looking to run the ball more effectively, that doesn't mean more.
Buffalo lead the league in attempts and averaged 3 more runs a game than we did.
Even if we had 3 more run attempts per game and lead the league in that stat, we will still pass the ball plenty
Acquiring Brown would help the run game just as any good WR would.

 

[mayoclinic]

There will be 4 LBs taken in the 1st round: Arvell Reese and Sonny Styles will go top 10, Jacob Rodriguez and CJ Allen will be off the board by 26. Jake Golday could possibly sneak in as LB5.

 

[bakes781]

There will be 4 LBs taken in the 1st round: Arvell Reese and Sonny Styles will go top 10, Jacob Rodriguez and CJ Allen will be off the board by 26. Jake Golday could possibly sneak in as LB5.

Then we should have the choice of Blake or Max at 31 in that scenario.

 

[Clonamery]

Then we should have the choice of Blake or Max at 31 in that scenario.

And we take Cashius Howell.

 

[mayoclinic]

There will be 4 safeties taken in the top 40 picks, with an outside chance all go 1st round: Caleb Downs, Dillon Thieneman, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, and Treydan Stukes.

 

[mayoclinic]

My top 40 right now has:

2 QB: Fernando Mendoza, Ty Simpson
1 RB: Jeremiyah Love
1 TE: Kenyon Sadiq
6 WR: Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Makai Lemon, Omar Cooper, KC, Concepcion, Denzel Boston
7 OT: Monroe Freeling, Francis Mauigoa, Spencer Fano, Kadyn Proctor, Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller, Max Iheanachor
3 IOL: Olaivavega Ioane, Chase Bisontis, Keylan Rutledge

2 IDL: Kayden McDonald, Caleb Banks
5 EDGE: David Bailey, Rueben Bain, Akheem Mesidor, Keldric Faulk, TJ Parker
5 LB: Arvell Reese, Sonny Styles, CJ Allen, Jacob Rodriguez, Jake Golday
4 S: Caleb Downs, Dillon Thieneman, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Treydan Stukes
4 CB: Mansoor Delane, Jermod McCoy, Aveion Terrell, Colton Hood