Patriots AFC Road Championship stats (5 Games) from 2001-2018

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

First of all its obvious that these stats are probably meaningless to figure out what is going to happen in sunday's game at Kansas City but nevertheless here are the stats and averages of the Patriots 5 Road AFC Championship games

The Patriots have averaged ..6 points in the 1st quarter/8 points in the 2nd quarter/5 points in the 3rd quarter/8 points in the 4th quarter of these games - OR 30 total points scored in the 1st/41 total points scored in the 2nd/24 total points in the 3rd/38 total points in the 4th - so it appears that the 2nd quarter has been where the Patriots have scored the most in the previous 5 games on the road.

The Patriots games on the road in the AFCCG have averaged a final score of 30-22 per game

The Patriots are 2-3 on the road in the AFCCG since 2001 - both wins at Pittsburgh

Tom Brady has thrown 5 total TDs and 3 total INTs with a 22/35 for 238 yards per game average pass completion rate in those 5 games which indicates to me the games were likely run based game plans at least until the 4th quarter when they had to play from behind especially in Denver where they had 2 of the 3 losses

Like I said above these stats means next to nothing going into this sunday but its interesting to see how they fared in the past

If something somehow averages out to the stats above - I can see the Pats looking to White and Michel to be the main focus on the game plan early in this game on sunday and passing in the 4th if behind or its a close game.

 

[jah]

One thing we have going for us differently compared to 2015 is Steven Jackson is not the starting RB. The 2013 offense wasn't nearly as good as this one either. I see us putting up at least 28 on KC. Unfortunately I also see them putting 45 on us.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

One thing we have going for us differently compared to 2015 is Steven Jackson is not the starting RB. The 2013 offense wasn't nearly as good as this one either. I see us putting up at least 28 on KC. Unfortunately I also see them putting 45 on us.

I personally like the under in this game while everyone is thinking another 45-42 game - I see the Chiefs trying to use Damien Williams early to keep Brady on the bench and the Pats going heavily with White and Michel to keep Maholmes and that devastating offense off the field at least early - I can see a decent surprising low scoring game up until the 2nd half where things are going to light up and the score at the end to be around 31-24 or so

 

[Brandon Manning]

I personally like the under in this game while everyone is thinking another 45-42 game - I see the Chiefs trying to use Damien Williams early to keep Brady on the bench and the Pats going heavily with White and Michel to keep Maholmes and that devastating offense off the field at least early - I can see a decent surprising low scoring game up until the 2nd half where things are going to light up and the score at the end to be around 31-24 or so

Repeat of this game....

Super Bowl XXXVIII - Wikipedia

 

[RobertWeathers]

None of the past AFCCGs on the road have anything to do with this one. Not 01, 04, 06, 13, or 15.

 

[fightingirish595]

You’ll probably here stupid things this week “such as we haven’t won a road playoff game since 06” or “Brady and BB are 0-3 on the road in title games in there last 3” things that are just really dumb when you consider sample size and context

These same people will ignore that Andy reid is 1-4 in title games including 1-2 in his own building.

The more relevant thing here is that the pats haven’t been a good road team this season. But 2 of those losses were weeks 2 and 3 and don’t really mean much to me.

 

[scott99]

One thing we have going for us differently compared to 2015 is Steven Jackson is not the starting RB. The 2013 offense wasn't nearly as good as this one either. I see us putting up at least 28 on KC. Unfortunately I also see them putting 45 on us.

KC has the worst defense left of the 4 teams. That being said, they have a good pass rush. Our line did such a good job vs Bosa/Ingram, hopefully they repeat that performance. I expect the Chiefs to blitz, unlike the Chargers who didn’t even once.

Also, Michel gashed them for 100+ yards, he should be able to produce. KC has the 31st ranked pass defense, I think Belichick/McDaniels will try to exploit that. I think the Pats, if they don’t play defense like they did in SB 52, might have a chance to keep it close, possibly upset the Chiefs.

I didn’t like how the Pats played in the 2nd half vs the Chargers, being out scored 21-6. They need to keep their foot to the pedal. Can’t play like that for even ONE quarter if you want a chance to win against the Chiefs.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

None of the past AFCCGs on the road have anything to do with this one. Not 01, 04, 06, 13, or 15.

I think I already and clearly made that known that the stats I posted were HISTORICAL stats and have little to do with what happens this week - Although I do believe the game plan will include lots of runs early and thats the way you keep a top offense off the field if you run successfully

 

[PatsFan_Belarus]

There is one common denominator in all this loses named Peyton.
And he will not start for KC.

 

[brdmaverick]

One thing we have going for us differently compared to 2015 is Steven Jackson is not the starting RB. The 2013 offense wasn't nearly as good as this one either. I see us putting up at least 28 on KC. Unfortunately I also see them putting 45 on us.

Yup, it's really a shame we lost in 2015, b/c even though we had Steven Jackson as an RB, we had good young talent far outplaying their salaries (Hightower, C.Jones, J.Collins, M.Butler) which is a key part of any championship team.

 

[brdmaverick]

There is one common denominator in all this loses named Peyton.
And he will not start for KC.

But their QB will be significantly better than the 2015 version of Peyton.

 

[brdmaverick]

I think I already and clearly made that known that the stats I posted were HISTORICAL stats and have little to do with what happens this week - Although I do believe the game plan will include lots of runs early and thats the way you keep a top offense off the field if you run successfully

Yup, you made it clear the stats were just 'food for thought'.

 

[ashley]

The one concerning thing for me is that we haven't been the same team on the road this year as we have been at home. Losses to Miami, Tenn, Detroit and Jax all are concerning to me. I know there is a lot of confidence after yesterdays win, but this is going to be a real tough test coming up.

 

[Nehalem]

One thing we have going for us differently compared to 2015 is Steven Jackson is not the starting RB. The 2013 offense wasn't nearly as good as this one either. I see us putting up at least 28 on KC. Unfortunately I also see them putting 45 on us.

The 2013 team actually scored 8 more points than the 2018 team

 

[Coolade2]

Losing record on the road is not good at all. Question is why.. crapbag officiating comes to mind like in that Pittsburgh game. Overall stinky efforts also happened both in game plans and execution.

Just think it's going to be a great game . The fact they played KC this year helps the cause. Lots of film to work with.

 

[mosi]

One thing we have going for us differently compared to 2015 is Steven Jackson is not the starting RB. The 2013 offense wasn't nearly as good as this one either. I see us putting up at least 28 on KC. Unfortunately I also see them putting 45 on us.

Yeah, 2013 was tough as the Pats had no one at receiver (first year without WW) and 2015 had no Jules and no RB.

But I agree and think this game will be harder than any of those games. Arrowhead has never been easy for the Pats. Can't think of the last time they won there.

 

[FCB02062]

The Patriots go into this game healthier than they were in 2013 and 2015, and in 2015 they were a 2 pt conversion from sending the game to OT. In 2013 they faced a historically dominant offense (600+) points and "held" them to 26 points all the while trying to score with Brady throwing to guys like Austin Collie, Michael Hoomanawui, and Aaron Dobson.
The Patriots are set up better to win on Sunday than they were in 2013 or 2105. Who knows, maybe they get pounded, maybe Brady turns back into the pumpkin we saw in several games this season, but this team is in good shape for Sunday.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

Losing on the road this year up to now doesn't matter - this is the playoffs and a different animal and its what you do with THIS road game takes all the importance

If you want to look back at why this team is where its at it primarily comes down to 10 seconds left at Miami and what was probably a .00001% success rate which the Dolphins accomplished - thats the Road loss over all of them that REALLY makes all the difference now as it put the team in position to a more difficult situation and to have to play in an extremely loud and tough field away from Foxboro.

Lets hope pulling a loss out of a win in Miami does not hurt the team getting to Atlanta.

 

[Redman443]

Apparently no one thought we had a chance in the 2001 AFCCG either. I don’t remember as I was just a little kid during that game

 

[Brandon Manning]

Apparently no one thought we had a chance in the 2001 AFCCG either. I don’t remember as I was just a little kid during that game

Steelers were 10 point favorites. Patriots got two special teams TD's. Kordell Stewart was horrific.