Jax fav by 3???

[patsox23]

The Patriots offense was plenty solid and productive last week. The lack of big yardage numbers had far more to do with field position - AND how quickly the game got out of hand. The Pats were their typical conservative selves, moved the ball okay, but didn't take chances - and STILL hung 40 on 'em.

 

[mgcolby]

I'd have to take the Jags and give the 3 points. I don't think the Pats defense can hold the Jags to a single field goal.

Take away the fluke screen pass that went for 43 yards and the Pats had a grand total of 82 yards passing against the 28th ranked defense in the NFL last Sunday. Basically, the Pats offense is dead in the water right now.

The Jags always play tough, physical defense. I would be surprised if the Pats can get the running game going. They'll need the special teams or defense to put points on the board to win games against decent teams.

Not sure where to start with this. First the Jaguars offense outright sucks. If their receivers don't lead the league in drops they are definitly in the top 3, Garrard...well - he blows, the guy struggled to get completions in a game where his team rushed for 370 yards and did you happen to see how he played last week....against the 32 ranked defense in the NFL? Now they can run the ball but Taylor pulled a hammy and Jones-Drew has his xray-gate, but for the sake of argument lets say they are both completely healthy on Sunday. Do you think that they will suddenly have a ton of success against a run defense as stingy as the Pats? Wilfork may miss the game, but if he can walk he should be playing in this game. If he doesn't go then we should go a little more with the 4-3 on early downs. Either way that offense is one dimensional and did I mention there QB sucks?

Now to their defense, they have a very good D-line Stroud and Henderson are huge. They are stout against the run and the Pass. But they are missing Darius and Peterson two of their defensive leaders and this is basically the same defense that allowed 27 points to Houston (And before you tell me they only allowed 17 to the Colts last week, the Colts Receivers dropped a lot of footballs in key situations). They did keep Young in check on Sunday, but Brady is not a rookie.

Again NE wins this 27-10.

 

[40yrpatsfan]

The key to this game is going to be how well we stop their running game. Garrard will not beat us. The Jags are steamrolling people with their run game.

This is a very big game for us. We lose, then all the pressure is on us at Tenn - could even lose the division if we were to then lose to Tenn. If we beat JAX, then we can rest people against Tenn.

History tells us that in big games, BB finds a way to shut down vaunted running attacks. I can see us limiting them to 50 yards tops in the first half, and then it's all about adjustments, the score, etc.

The O will not have an easy time against the Jags, but we'll move the ball and get a couple of scores. I like our chances - something like 16-13.

 

[hwc]

Pardon me all to heck if I don't want to take away the 'fluke' screen pass.

OK, don't take it away. The Pats posted a whopping 129 yards of passing offense against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

I watched the game. The offense was appalling. The Pats never completed a ball downfield. Do that against any halfway decent NFL team and you get shut out.

 

[pats1]

OK, don't take it away. The Pats posted a whopping 129 yards of passing offense against one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

I watched the game. The offense was appalling. The Pats never completed a ball downfield. Do that against any halfway decent NFL team and you get shut out.

You sound surprised the Pats kept conservative with a huge lead.

 

[italia44]

These games at the end of the year are what gamblers

look forward to.You are going to see some "strange"

lines,these last two weeks.

It's because of the betting public's perception of who are the "desperate to win" teams and the "we don't care,we're in the playoffs" teams.

What you have to be careful of are the desperate teams who just plain "suck"....to put it bluntly.

I would put KC,NYG,ATL, and JAX,in this catergory.

THIS is the game BB and the Pats want to win,not the last week in Tenn.

The Pats are a terrific value at +3....they are NOT a team driven by emotion,which has it's ups and downs.They are "cold and clinical".

It's,not personal,just business......take the Patriots,
this Sunday.

 

[mgcolby]

These games at the end of the year are what gamblers

look forward to.You are going to see some "strange"

lines,these last two weeks.

It's because of the betting public's perception of who are the "desperate to win" teams and the "we don't care,we're in the playoffs" teams.

What you have to be careful of are the desperate teams who just plain "suck"....to put it bluntly.

I would put KC,NYG,ATL, and JAX,in this catergory.

THIS is the game BB and the Pats want to win,not the last week in Tenn.

The Pats are a terrific value at +3....they are NOT a team driven by emotion,which has it's ups and downs.They are "cold and clinical".

It's,not personal,just business......take the Patriots,
this Sunday.

I never lay money down this early in the week, actually I usually make my plays during the pre-game show after I know the weather, who's out etc.. but I saw that +2.5 last night (while deciding how much money I was going to lose on the Bengals ) and couldn't believe it, I laid the cash before x-mas was over. Now if we can get that ML over 200 I would be stoked.

 

[hwc]

You sound surprised the Pats kept conservative with a huge lead.

Did they keep conservative in the first quarter? I saw an offense that simply could not compete passes beyond the line of scrimmage.

Why is this news? The Pats passing game has been in the tank for weeks.

 

[moosekill]

Wow they won 40-7 while missing their #1 receiver and #1 running back. You are right they really suck.

 

[pats1]

Did they keep conservative in the first quarter? I saw an offense that simply could not compete passes beyond the line of scrimmage.

Why is this news? The Pats passing game has been in the tank for weeks.

Brady threw 3 incompletions in the first quarter.

The first was a low-percentage play, a deep bomb to Gaffney, the Pats have always had problems completing.Another was on an uncharacteristic Troy Brown drop. I can count on two hands how many times that has happened.A third sailed right through Troy's hands. Again, I can count on two hands how many times that has happened.

Do you really think, based on the ENTIRE season's performance, that Troy will stay on a cold streak like that? No.

 

[spacecrime]

Another was on an uncharacteristic Troy Brown drop. I can count on two hands how many times that has happened.A third sailed right through Troy's hands. Again, I can count on two hands how many times that has happened.

Glad you can count on your hands. Evidently Troy can't count on his

 

[pats1]

Did they keep conservative in the first quarter? I saw an offense that simply could not compete passes beyond the line of scrimmage.

Did the Pats keep conservative in the first quarter? I'll let you answer that one:

Total Plays: 19

Runs: 9
Screens: 4
Short Passes (1-10 yds. by point of reception): 4
Medium Passes (10-20 yds. by point of reception): 1
Long Passes (20+ yds. by point of reception): 1

The medium and long passes were incomplete. One of the short passes was incomplete. Of the other 7 passes, 6 went for positive yardage. One screen to Faulk, as we all know, went for a touchdown. Another to Dillon went for 12 yds. One of the short passes went for 11 yds.

The running game wasn't that bad - about a 4 yd./carry average, including a 15 yd. run by Dillon and an 11 yd. touchdown run by Faulk.

...

Complain all you want, but it was an effective conservative offense.