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Pointless Analysis: What is the NFL winning percentage when a team scores 38?

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by SoCal Bong, Sep 28, 2007.

  1. SoCal Bong

    SoCal Bong Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    Wondering if someone has a database and can look that up.

    My wild guess says 38 points wins 85 - 90% of the time.
     
  2. RayClay

    RayClay Pro Bowl Player

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    I'll go 90-95. Unless you're pass happy, you are keeping the ball away from the other team too.
     
  3. alamo

    alamo praedica numerum! PatsFans.com Supporter

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    85.7% this season, 6-1.
     
  4. RayClay

    RayClay Pro Bowl Player

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    Good deal. Where can you get those stats?
     
  5. DarrylS

    DarrylS PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Isn't the 1 the Cincinnati loss to the Browns??
     
  6. Mix

    Mix Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    Since the '97 season teams win 94.8% of the time when scoring 38 or more points.

    2007: 7-1 (.875)
    2006: 27-2 (.931)
    2005: 29-0 (1.000)
    2004: 30-3 (.909)
    2003: 36-2 (.947)
    2002: 29-3 (.906)
    2001: 28-2 (.933)
    2000: 37-0 (1.000)
    1999: 30-1 (.968)
    1998: 30-1 (.968)
    1997: 27-2 (.931)

    TOTAL: 310-17 (.948)
     
  7. RayClay

    RayClay Pro Bowl Player

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    I like your stats better.:D
     
  8. italian pat patriot

    italian pat patriot In the Starting Line-Up

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    i was thinking 88%-90% range...
     
  9. PatsFanInVa

    PatsFanInVa PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Staggeringly, a team that scores 38 points wins 100% of the time when the opposing team scores 14 or fewer.
     
  10. T-ShirtDynasty

    T-ShirtDynasty Moderator

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    :rofl: nice.
     
  11. SoCal Bong

    SoCal Bong Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    Does it make sense to include "or more"? I know that dramatically reduces the sample size but that would probably be more applicable than including games where a team scored 40+.

    Thanks for looking that up and calculating it in any case.
     
  12. signbabybrady

    signbabybrady Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

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    I say lets keep scoring 38 points and are chances to win will be better than 95%. Sounds easy right? well actually yes when you have Tom throwing to Moss.
     

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