Ah, mea culpa, mea culpa. I was at work when I posted this and hadn't had the chance to re-watch the game highlights. While my memory served me correctly as to which gap Starks ultimately went through, it didn't serve me correctly as to who was blocking him. Starks did end up going through Connolly's gap to get to Brady, but Connolly's assignment was to assist Koppen against the DT on the play. So I'll apologize for that. However, it doesn't really change relative collapses on the D-Line in other games that Connolly saw significant time and/or started in. With that in mind...
Well the numbers suggest that the difference between him in or out was minimal.
The issue with anecdotal analysis is just what we see here, you put a lot of weight on one play that was wrong.
I would be careful of that data. That same data says that Mankins' man didn't hit Brady all day either but Mankins was assigned to Starks on the play in question.
No it was Light
Actually, it wasn't. But I'll play along again. In order to find the averages, I used the mean. I used the mean to find where the average offense we faced ranked. I came up with just over a shade of 16. However, if we really want to find the midpoint, then we can use the median. In doing that, the average offense we faced fared even worse than it did using the mean. According to the midpoint, the average offense we faced ranked at 25.5 according to NFL.com rankings and 16.5 according to Pro Football Reference's rankings. I'm going to go with PFR's since they were close to where my mean ranking was. At 16.5, we were still playing ever so slightly below average offenses.
The
median of a finite list of numbers can be found by arranging all the observations from lowest value to highest value and picking the middle one.(wikipedia)
This is exactly my point. You have insulted my math, and you are STILL wrong. The median of 32 numbers is 16.5 not 16.
16 is not the median because 1-15 (15 ) are higher rankings and 17-32 (16) are lower.
If there were 33 teams, the 17th would be exactly in the middle, your incorrect mathfor the mean would yield and answer of 16.5, clearly wrong.
Again look at the 4 team example, it clearly shows your math is wrong by having 2 above, 1 below and 1 at the 'median' which is mathematically impossible.
Andy, you seem to arguing in this thread that Connolly should now be looked at as a starting caliber LG.
For like the 50th time, that isnt what i am arguing, and you still havent identified comments that suggest that.
How can you keep typing and typing that I am arguing something I keep saying I am not????????????????
Otherwise, I really don't see why you're spending so much time on this as calling him a back-up is really just agreeing with my position.
No. that is not our debate. I am saying he did a solid job filling in last year, you are saying he did not.;
I say he is a solid backup. You appear to agree.
I say he did a solid job as a backup filling in last year. You disagreeing with that is the reason the discussion goes on. If you agree with that, we agree.
My point in this is that we shouldn't look at Connolly as a starter. He's not. He's a back-up that shouldn't see any significant time as a starter lest we want the offensive line to suffer for it throughout the season.
Backups need to start when there are injuries. When that happened last year and Connolly started, the offensive line did not suffer, its play was very similar to what it was with the starters. Thats pretty unchallengable.
[
quote]If Connolly is a capable starter for this season, as it is now looking like he will be depended on to be, he wouldn't have started training camp behind a guy who has played on the other side of the line at a completely different position throughout his entire career. Connolly is a true guard and if he is or was starting caliber, one would think that Kaczur would have been battling Vollmer for his RT position instead of leapfrogging Connolly in the line-up at LG. [/quote]
You can be competant yet still have a player on the roster better than you. Kaczur is a better player. BB feels changing to G is not a big deal for Kaczur. That doesnt make Connolly less competant, it means we have an extra starting T to play at G, something many teams often do.
24 of those 31 points came in the first half when the Jets own head coach even admitted that the team wasn't blitzing. In the second half when they did, Brady was getting the majority of his pressures from the right side of the line of scrimmage where Connolly was playing. In the second half, they held us to 7 points. Go look at the game report now and you can see that it wasn't because the Pats just sat on the lead. We were actively still trying to score through the air.
The offense struggled to score in the 2nd half with all the starters playing too. I'm OK with 31 points against the #1 D regardless of what poiint i the game they came at, its still a goodjob by the O.
No, they really didn't. The Jets game is one example. The relative collapse on the right side of the line against the Colts after Neal left the game is unmistakable. When Neal was in, the right side of the line was not a liability in that game. When he stepped out and Connolly came in, the right side of the line was absolutely a liability. The Colts' pressure against that side of the line was one of the huge reasons why our offense stalled in the second half.
There isnt a lot I can do to argue tat when the numbers are almost identical that you want to anecdotally say they should have been different. If your argument is evidence doesnt matter because you remember imperfections when he was on the field, then just say you don't really want to discuss it.
The other two games he started were against Carolina and Buffalo. In the Carolina game, on the fourth down try early in the game, Connolly's man was the first in the backfield to hit the ball carrier. Koppen's man wasn't far behind. On top of that, the Pats scored 20 and 17 points in those two games. The offense didn't really look like it did in other games. To be fair, though, there were more and much bigger issues in that Carolina game than Connolly.
Not much different than the rest of schedule. Again, I can pick out examples of bad plays by anyone, including Brady. That doesnt mean they were bad.
Issues are one thing. Counting on the guy to be a starting LG in the 2010 season when he hasn't shown yet that he is capable of doing that is a completely different thing.
What do you want? He is/was our 4th G. It is what it is. What are you arguing here? If we are at the point of our 4th G starting, I'm OK with it being a guy who played 5 full games last year where the results where not really diminished.
Everything else aside, we were not hurt last year by him stepping in.
I am not going to spend the next month cowering in the corner because we may have to start a guy who proved competant in limited action last year. Every other of the 31 teams will end up starting guys they would rather not, due to injury. When its a G and that G is a guy who just last season played capably, thats not a nightmare.
As of today, we have a starter at LG that we would rather have as a backup, but when pressed into starting before did an OK job. Whats so terrible about that?
Then what are you arguing about in this thread?
All I have talked about is that he was capable last year when he had to play. I would guess he will be equally capable if that happens this year.
My point is and has always been that Connolly is a back-up, is not a starter, couldn't beat out a RT for the starting job at LG, and shouldn't be counted on to be a starter at LG without the offense suffering for it.
Repetitive see above.
You keep arguing back with me. In this very post, you try to make points that Connolly could be a starting LG for us because "the offense didn't suffer with him in it last season". In the VERY SAME post, you call him a "good back-up". In post #76, you say...
I'm fine with Connolly as a backup G
So which one is it, Andy? Is he a starting G or a back-up G?
Wow, please try to follow.
He is a solid backup. A holdout and an injury right now has him needing to step in and start. Backups need to start sometimes. When that happened last year, the decline in the offense was minimal.
You keep repeating what I said "he is a good backup" and ask how that conflicts with what I didnt say. Why do you do that?
A backup that plays competantly when he has to step in is a solid backup.
When one player holds out and another gets injured your backup starts.
Thats what we have. Its not the end of the world, every team will have that this year. Ours happens to be a guy who proved he could do a decent job over a 5 game stretch. We shall see how he does over a 16 game run if it comes to that.