Originally Posted by Box_O_Rocks
Another factor to consider is communications.
-- Sanders and Meriweather were really clicking toward the end of last season, they are picking up from that point and will be playing at a higher level before we even realize it. rebuttal - The problem is that they are both average NFL starters so they can have the best communication in the world but that will only mask their deficiencies
Brace is a clear upgrade behind LDE and NT over Green/Wright. rebuttal - Really? later this the post you mention Green as an upgrade over Seymour, so without playing a snap Brace is better than Seymour, Green and Wright. Wright has proven to be pretty effective, I would take him over a rookie.
Green/Wright may be considered a downgrade from Seymour, but spelling each other keeps the position fresher and both are much better suited for the RDE role than the other two positions. The drop-off is actually pretty slight.
Playing Wilfork as a 3-tech, or using Vince and Pryor/Wright (when healthy) to disrupt the interior is a clear upgrade in the 4-3. Brace is no downgrade as a NT in this formation. rebuttal - Really?
Green as a DE in the 4-3 is not a downgrade from Seymour. rebuttal - Seymour is a 5 time probowler, 6'6, 310 pounds, Green is a spot backup that has been practically invisible since the 2003 AFC Championship.
Sorry, I have to play a gigantic BS card, I hope you don't mind, my comments are in bold. I hope and expect the defense to gel and improve as the season progresses, maybe they are better than last year but the defense was terrible last year,
the question is will this unit be effective enough to compete against the best teams in the NFL once the playoffs begin. No one knows the answer yet, but in the end it comes down to who plays the best not who is the best. If things go well the defense will only have to play 1 or 2 outstanding games to make the Superbowl, once there anything can happen.
1. I agree that Sanders is an average NFL safety, but Meriweather? Come on. He was way above average last year, and shows all the signs of making the jump to elite status this year. Plus I fully expect that Chung will emerge by the end of the season as a starter.
2. Only a fool would not consider Brace an upgrade over Wright at 3-4 NT. Wright is a nice player, but he is not an elite prospect. Brace is a
major upgrade over Wright as a backup/replacement for Wilfork at NT, as a 4-3 DT next to Wilfork, and as a 3-4 DE. I believe that Brace will actually be a pretty decent replacement for Seymour as a 3-4 DE, which Wright and Green would never be. So, yes, really.
3. Box said that in the
4-3 Green is not a major downgrade from Seymour, not the 3-4. In the 4-3, I agree. Green has nice quickness and penetration, and his smaller size would not be as much of a detriment in the 4-3. I actually would amend Box's comments though, to say that
Burgess in the 4-3 is not a major downgrade from Seymour. I can see us running a 4-3 with Warren-Wilfork-Brace-Burgess a lot, using Burgess off the edge. Burgess is a future pro-bowler and has twice the sacks that Seymour has over the past 4 years. He will never be the run-stuffer that Seymour is, but with Warren-Wilfork-Brace we will be hard to run against.
As you say, "the question is will this unit be effective enough to compete against the best teams in the NFL once the playoffs begin." No one has a crystal ball, but I see no reason at this point not to expect that we can't be. A lot of people liked our chances in the post-season last year the way we were playing in December, with Matt Cassel at QB and the worst defense we've had in a while. BB knows how to make his teams peak for the playoffs, and I expect that by December the defense will have gelled. I personally expect at least the following major changes by the end of the year:
1. A much more physical secondary which can play bump-and-run to buy more time for the pass rush, with a vastly improved 3rd down and red zone defense. I expect both Butler and Chung to have a substantial impact on the defense by the end of the season.
2. A much faster LB corps producing at least double their sack total from 2008, with Burgess, Thomas, Mayo and Guyton all applying pressure in a major way.
3. An extremely versatile DL throwing multiple formations, with Brace and Pryor both getting substantial playing time, and making it extremely difficult for opposing teams to run.
Put Warren, Wilfork and Brace on line and it will be hard for opposing teams to run. Bring Thomas and Burgess off the edges, with Mayo and Guyton providing the speed behind them plus the ability to come up the middle, and it will be hard for opposing teams to plug all the holes. Get the secondary to be more physical and bump opposing WRs off their routes, and play more effective man defense, and there should be more time to get to the QB. Throw in the ability to blitz Meriweather, Chung and the occasional CB (especially Butler), and there should be a lot of ability to wreak havoc.
It will take time to all come together. But there's certainly no reason to panic right now.