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Is it time to call Brandon Lloyd yet ?


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In regards to Brandon Lloyd's production vs Jones 3 seasons with Fitzpatrick, Who cares? What did Lloyd do for us in the playoffs? During the times when "average" athletes like David Givens and David Patten were getting it done in January. And that was with Fitzpatrick so whats the comparison? And how do you know what Jones can do in this system with Tom and this staff.

12 receptions and a TD in 2 games.
 
We don't need our rookie WR's to come in and be automatic game breaking stars or even just stars though it would be a plus and a luxury to have. We just need them to be productive, which any productivity in an offense with the talent that we have can help that much.
If they are extra and unneeded then who are we relying on?



And being productive is not too much to expect, especially from highly regarded and scouted potentialed prospects at the position like we have.
If these guys have the average production of a rookie 2nd and 4th round WR they will be major disappointments to people with your expectations.
If they the average production of a 2 and 4 PATRIOT WR pick we may not notice they are on the team.



Because of guys like Aaron Hernandez and Danny Amendola and those running backs and lets not forget how great Tom still is.. you don't need another GREAT WR or even probowler just somebody that can contribute and be productive and there have been plenty of rookie WR's across the league that have been productive their rookie seasons, with way lesser quarterbacks and an offensive staff then we have.
We need to improve at the position. Saying WRs dont matter because Brady is great and has good TEs is saying getting worse is OK to you.


There have even been some that have went on to be stars with lesser quarterbacks and staffs their rookie seasons in the past, across the league, and all we need are solid numbers or consistent productivity to help out our go to guys and thats it. Because Tom is still Tom and will make the offense run like clockwork, Josh McDaniel will call great plays and Bill will put them in position to be successful. Just give them a guy that can produce and they'll make everything else work. Would having Lloyd again hurt, no but if we don't have him it certainly won't be the end of the world or even a drop off in my opinion. Besides, we have more field stretchers this year by far.

By any honest evaluation we have worse players at WR1 and WR2. There is no guarantee that the players we have this year will not play better, but it is ridiculous to think that it is likely we won't have a drop off. Its just being realistic and given that we have a group of guys competing to be WR2 who have never been as good a WR2 as Lloyd was last year, having him here would be a good plan. Of course if he is not here for reasons beyond on the field play, that is another discussion.
 
well. if you put any stock in the tweets from the press guys that cover the Pats, when Lloyd was released that is EXACTLY what was whispered....bad chemistry...volatile personality etc.

On the field he produced...some, myself included ,got aggravated by his penchant for going to the ground but in reality he was producing what he was supposed to, first downs.
 
well. if you put any stock in the tweets from the press guys that cover the Pats, when Lloyd was released that is EXACTLY what was whispered....bad chemistry...volatile personality etc.

On the field he produced...some, myself included ,got aggravated by his penchant for going to the ground but in reality he was producing what he was supposed to, first downs.

We never really know the real details, and the speculation is shaky at best.
 
Donald Jones put up 443 yards last year as a #2. Brandon Lloyd put up 911 as a #3 and #4 when Gronk was healthy. Get your facts straight.

My facts are perfectly straight, thank you. Maybe you should address the line in your original post I was, you know, actually addressing, instead of the sputum you trotted out here.
 
You don't get targets because you get them, you get them because you are open. Branch gets fewer targets because he gets open less. Throwing to him when he is covered wont get you more production.

Branch was thown to less in 2011 because there were better options and the health of the TE's were better. That was hardly the case last season for Llyod, who took over Branch's role.

Llyod got 130 targets because there really wasn't many other choices, seeing as how the 2 TE's only played together in 5/18 games last season. On top of that we had zero viable options at WR3 or WR4. Those are much more the actual cause of Llyod seeing 130 targets than what you're claiming--which is that his great skill set got him open.

Claiming that Llyod "got more targets because he was able to get open" is extremely debatable, especially since one of his bigger knocks is his pathetic failure to beat man coverage on a consistent basis.


But you seem to be saying someone else would have gotten open just as often yet caught more for some reason I don't understand.

The "reason" you don't understand is because you don't understand what I'm saying.

I'm simply claiming that Deion Branch's 2011 season already outproduced Llyod in YPC and TD's, and he'd have easily outproduced him in overall receptions and yardage too had he been throw at 130 times...

The team was paying Branch around 1 million dollars for his 2011 production, so there's no way they'd be comfortable paying Llyod much more than 2--2.5 to take on the exact same role, which is extremely reasonable. As I said, he gambled on himself and turned it down to leave. That's on him, but it sure seems as though the team was more than satisfied to have Llyod as a potential WR3 or WR4.

The "getting open" comment from you is an absolute disagreement, so yes--I believe that many of our WR2's despite who they may have been last year would have seen at least 100-110 targets, sure. You're acting like Llyod showed some great skill at getting open, that's hardly the case. Llyod saw that many targets because we had zero WR3 or WR4 options, and there was no deadly combination of AHern/Gronk. That was clearly the difference...not because he showed some great skills at beating his man and getting open.



We dont have a WR2 that I have any confidence in being as good as Lloyd.


Brandon Llyod absolutely failed at providing us with any speed, any sort of capacity to beat man coverage, and any semblance of an NFL receiver who can gain YACs and make bigger plays--which also helps to open up the underneath stuff while drawing attention from a safety at times. Llyod absolutely failed at this. What he is anymore = a possession receiver.

......and all of this once again leads me back to my 2011 Deion Branch comparison. Both are/were good at being possession receivers who know the offense and can get a crucial catch or two every now and then, but either one is able to defeat man coverage, both are extremely slow, and either one provide the type of outside starting caliber WR that we need to defeat opposing defenses come January/February.

You seem to be wanting Llyod to be our WR2 again despite his obvious weaknesses at certain skill sets. He's much better slated for a WR3 role, possibly even a WR4 role on certain teams. If Llyod was 1/2 as good as you're claiming as a WR2, then there would be at least five/six NFL teams who'd be looking at him for that role. The reality is that no one is even looking at him for a WR3 or WR4 role--although to be fair, some of that is likely his supposed attitude problems etc, so it's not all just on talent alone, but the bottom line is that there have been a ton of NFL teams who have put up with diva type attitudes over the years..."if" they can show speed and production. Unless you're planning on giving him another 130 attempts next season with a top tiered QB throwing him the ball in an offense he understands, he's not sniffing anything close to 74 catches for anyone else.
 
We never really know the real details, and the speculation is shaky at best.

Hum...how about 6 teams over 11 years ?
We don't know the real details, but for a guy who was been productive over in this league, 1 team every 2 years tells me that there's something wrong with the guy...
 
Branch was thown to less in 2011 because there were better options and the health of the TE's were better. That was hardly the case last season for Llyod, who took over Branch's role.

Llyod got 130 targets because there really wasn't many other choices, seeing as how the 2 TE's only played together in 5/18 games last season. On top of that we had zero viable options at WR3 or WR4. Those are much more the actual cause of Llyod seeing 130 targets than what you're claiming--which is that his great skill set got him open.
If that is the case then it solidifies my position not yours. If you are saying he got targets when he wasn't open because no one else was either then how do you knock him for the completion percetanage.
Not everything can be assessed with a statistic. If you are saying it was Lloyds fault that those 130 targets didn't produce more, you have to look at them and determine why. He does not chose to be the target. Unless he is dropping passes, not making proper effort to catch them, running the wrong route, etc, its not on him that Brady threw an incomplete pass. I've offered a number of reasons that are not the receivers fault for incomplete passes.

Claiming that Llyod "got more targets because he was able to get open" is extremely debatable, especially since one of his bigger knocks is his pathetic failure to beat man coverage on a consistent basis.
Who Tom Brady throws the ball to is undeniably a better judge of whether a player gets open than a message board discussion about whether he gets open. This point isn't even worth discussion.



The "reason" you don't understand is because you don't understand what I'm saying.

I'm simply claiming that Deion Branch's 2011 season already outproduced Llyod in YPC and TD's, and he'd have easily outproduced him in overall receptions and yardage too had he been throw at 130 times...
I fully understand what you are saying, but it is not correct. Branch did NOT outproduce Lloyd. And blindly chucking the ball to him when he isnt open wouldn't change that.
Again, you are completely misunderstanding and misusing 'target'.


The team was paying Branch around 1 million dollars for his 2011 production, so there's no way they'd be comfortable paying Llyod much more than 2--2.5 to take on the exact same role, which is extremely reasonable. As I said, he gambled on himself and turned it down to leave. That's on him, but it sure seems as though the team was more than satisfied to have Llyod as a potential WR3 or WR4.
You can't really tell me you have enough information to KNOW what the team was thinking. Who in the world is WR2 if Lloyd is on the roster if it isn't him?

The "getting open" comment from you is an absolute disagreement, so yes--I believe that many of our WR2's despite who they may have been last year would have seen at least 100-110 targets, sure. You're acting like Llyod showed some great skill at getting open, that's hardly the case.
I'm not acting like anything, I am stating fact that Brady chose to throw the ball to Lloyd.
You are acting like Brady just decided to throw to when he wasn't open. Brady does not do that.



Llyod saw that many targets because we had zero WR3 or WR4 options, and there was no deadly combination of AHern/Gronk. That was clearly the difference...not because he showed some great skills at beating his man and getting open.

Where did I say he had great skills at getting open? I said in Tom Bradys eyes he got open a lot. Perhaps you are correct and he wasn't open and Brady is slipping, but how do you knock the guy for a low completion percentage if you say he wasn't open.

You can't have it both ways. You cant say he didn't get open enough to get thrown to that often and then say he should have produced more when thrown to even if he wasn't open.




Brandon Llyod absolutely failed at providing us with any speed, any sort of capacity to beat man coverage, and any semblance of an NFL receiver who can gain YACs and make bigger plays--which also helps to open up the underneath stuff while drawing attention from a safety at times. Llyod absolutely failed at this. What he is anymore = a possession receiver.
He produced over 900 receiving yards. How could the player who you just described, who essentially sucks at everything be the 25th among WRs in receiving yards?
That was 3rd among #2 WRs. You just said the man who was the 3rd most productive WR2 did none of the thing a WR2 is supposed to do well. Does that make any sense at all?

......and all of this once again leads me back to my 2011 Deion Branch comparison. Both are/were good at being possession receivers who know the offense and can get a crucial catch or two every now and then, but either one is able to defeat man coverage, both are extremely slow, and either one provide the type of outside starting caliber WR that we need to defeat opposing defenses come January/February.
Last season Lloyd had more receiving yards than Branch had in any season but his best ever in 2005. I know you want to keep comparing them, but its just not correct.

You seem to be wanting Llyod to be our WR2 again despite his obvious weaknesses at certain skill sets.
You don't have to guess at what I 'seem' to want, or add 'seem' to misstate it.
I have been clear. Right now he would clearly be our WR2, it isn't even close. Of course he could be beaten out, but if we have no one on the roster who has ever proven they can do the things he did last year to get that production, it would be pretty smart having him here.



He's much better slated for a WR3 role, possibly even a WR4 role on certain teams. If Llyod was 1/2 as good as you're claiming as a WR2, then there would be at least five/six NFL teams who'd be looking at him for that role.
He was the 3rd most productive WR2 in the NFL last year. Clearly, as has been intimated, there are other issues going on.


The reality is that no one is even looking at him for a WR3 or WR4 role--
You know this how?

although to be fair, some of that is likely his supposed attitude problems etc, so it's not all just on talent alone, but the bottom line is that there have been a ton of NFL teams who have put up with diva type attitudes over the years..."if" they can show speed and production. Unless you're planning on giving him another 130 attempts next season with a top tiered QB throwing him the ball in an offense he understands, he's not sniffing anything close to 74 catches for anyone else.
Lloyd produced 74 catches on whatever number of plays he was on the field. THAT is his production. The fact that Tom Brady chose to throw to him 56 other unsuccessful time is not his fault, but for the plays he didnt make that he should have, which appear to be few.
If Lloyd had the same 74 catches on 85 targets your opinion of him would be different but his play would have been exactly the same, yet Brady would have thrown it somewhere else 45 times. You are holding it against him that Brady threw to him when he was covered. Thats really the story here.
 
Hum...how about 6 teams over 11 years ?
We don't know the real details, but for a guy who was been productive over in this league, 1 team every 2 years tells me that there's something wrong with the guy...

As I said, we don't know but we can speculate.
 
I expect us to being in two more wide receivers, perhaps after the two-a-days.

I don't see how anyone can expect our wide receiver production to better than last year.

Our overall PASSING game could be better, if the TE's are healthy all year, and Ballard contributes. Our RED-ZONE production might be better with Jenkins, if he even makes the team.

Of course, surprises do happen in the NFL. Dobson and Boyce could turn out to much better than average NFL rookie wide receivers, or not. We have Danny and the Junior players, and I certainly don't consider Amendola an upgrade.

With regard to this thread, Lloyd is unlikely to play for the patriots for reasons that have nothing to do with on-field production. Obviously, his football skills are good enough for him to be our #5 receiver.
 
If that is the case then it solidifies my position not yours. If you are saying he got targets when he wasn't open because no one else was either then how do you knock him for the completion percetanage.
Not everything can be assessed with a statistic. If you are saying it was Lloyds fault that those 130 targets didn't produce more, you have to look at them and determine why. He does not chose to be the target. Unless he is dropping passes, not making proper effort to catch them, running the wrong route, etc, its not on him that Brady threw an incomplete pass. I've offered a number of reasons that are not the receivers fault for incomplete passes.


Who Tom Brady throws the ball to is undeniably a better judge of whether a player gets open than a message board discussion about whether he gets open. This point isn't even worth discussion.




I fully understand what you are saying, but it is not correct. Branch did NOT outproduce Lloyd. And blindly chucking the ball to him when he isnt open wouldn't change that.
Again, you are completely misunderstanding and misusing 'target'.



You can't really tell me you have enough information to KNOW what the team was thinking. Who in the world is WR2 if Lloyd is on the roster if it isn't him?


I'm not acting like anything, I am stating fact that Brady chose to throw the ball to Lloyd.
You are acting like Brady just decided to throw to when he wasn't open. Brady does not do that.





Where did I say he had great skills at getting open? I said in Tom Bradys eyes he got open a lot. Perhaps you are correct and he wasn't open and Brady is slipping, but how do you knock the guy for a low completion percentage if you say he wasn't open.

You can't have it both ways. You cant say he didn't get open enough to get thrown to that often and then say he should have produced more when thrown to even if he wasn't open.





He produced over 900 receiving yards. How could the player who you just described, who essentially sucks at everything be the 25th among WRs in receiving yards?
That was 3rd among #2 WRs. You just said the man who was the 3rd most productive WR2 did none of the thing a WR2 is supposed to do well. Does that make any sense at all?


Last season Lloyd had more receiving yards than Branch had in any season but his best ever in 2005. I know you want to keep comparing them, but its just not correct.


You don't have to guess at what I 'seem' to want, or add 'seem' to misstate it.
I have been clear. Right now he would clearly be our WR2, it isn't even close. Of course he could be beaten out, but if we have no one on the roster who has ever proven they can do the things he did last year to get that production, it would be pretty smart having him here.




He was the 3rd most productive WR2 in the NFL last year. Clearly, as has been intimated, there are other issues going on.



You know this how?


Lloyd produced 74 catches on whatever number of plays he was on the field. THAT is his production. The fact that Tom Brady chose to throw to him 56 other unsuccessful time is not his fault, but for the plays he didnt make that he should have, which appear to be few.
If Lloyd had the same 74 catches on 85 targets your opinion of him would be different but his play would have been exactly the same, yet Brady would have thrown it somewhere else 45 times. You are holding it against him that Brady threw to him when he was covered. Thats really the story here.

Andy...

I'm just trying to have a reasonable debate about Brandon Llyod. We seem to have a difference of opinions on some issues relating to him, so I don't see any reason to waste pages and pages breaking down sentence by sentence as you seem to do. I don't know how anyone can honestly attempt to answer all of your questions and comments by the way you break down 10-12 different points? As I've said before, it's completely exhausting and rather frankly--a waste of time in some aspects.

The bottom line is that we have a difference of opinions, which is often a common thing on a message board. It's really that simple.

I choose to believe that he did many things correctly as a POSSESSION receiver, which is what he is these days. That is what suits his skill sets best. He lacks speed, the ability to win one on one matchups, and the ability to gain any YACs...He no longer has what it takes to qualify as a WR2 on many (if any) teams around the NFL.

You seem to feel differently, and I completely respect that. No matter how much time, energy, server space etc that we waste going around in circles, we aren't likely to see each other's points any better, so why bother?

As I've said before, I think it'd be great to have Llyod here as a WR3 this year in a more limited role. That role would be as a nice possession receiver that would take over the role that we've seen in the past of a more productive Deion Branch (hence my 2011 example when he caught 51 balls). Based on Belichick's offer in a reduced pay scale and choice to draft 2 young, speedier, smart, high character guys in the first 4 rounds, it appears that he would agree with me--at least at this point in time. You may indeed be correct that Llyod would still be a great WR2 around the NFL, but he hasn't seen any offers or attention to date--especially in that role. If someone brings him in, it's very likely to be competing for a WR3 spot at best.

You choose to ignore the stats that Ian broke down in his article, which showed a glaring weakness at any ability to catch much of anything that was thrown to him in a downfield variety. Most NFL teams, especially those with HOF QB's, are going to want to attack defenses by throwing downfield, opening up the underneath routes for our TEs/Amendola, draw some attention from a safety every now and then, and possibly beat his man several times a game. Brandon Llyod doesn't offer much aside from being a good possession receiver anymore, aside from his knowledge of our offense which is why I'd like to see him come back in a lesser role--but you are free to believe differently and may end up being right in the end. It's completely possible that he tears the NFL apart this year, but I'm not seeing those odds at being too high right now, especially judging by any lack of interest from any of the other 31 teams.

In this and many cases, it's going to be a matter of time and patience before we find out who is closer to being right and who is closer to being wrong. One last thing to note is that we seemed to have gotten lost somewhere in the thinking that "I am knocking Llyod for a lower completion percentage." This is not necessarily the case, although I do believe that his declining skill set was somewhat related to the lower downfield percentage. What I am mainly saying is that we need to take Llyod's so-called "awesome" production into play with the fact that he was targeted 130 times..that's all.
 
I expect us to being in two more wide receivers, perhaps after the two-a-days.

Perhaps. One would think that we'll surely add at least one more receiver, possibly when there are some cuts, but we also have to keep in mind that they'll certainly need to be the "right" cut of receiver in terms of their intelligence, their past schemes in comparison to ours, and their ability to pretty much instantly be able to pick up the system here.

I think those attributes will be much more important than say a "name" or even raw talent level, especially since there won't be as much time to learn our system prior to the start of the season as there would be with a signing earlier.
 
How about now?

Lloyd our new Branch?

With Hernandez possibly going to jail, I think this thread needs to get revisited.
I personally don't think the guy did too bad last year.
 
How about now?

Lloyd our new Branch?

With Hernandez possibly going to jail, I think this thread needs to get revisited.
I personally don't think the guy did too bad last year.

At worst we lost a pass catching TE. Brandon Lloyd is not a pass catching TE, and cannot fill that role.
 
At worst we lost a pass catching TE. Brandon Lloyd is not a pass catching TE, and cannot fill that role.

At worst we lost a weapon. Brandon Lloyd is potentially a weapon on a team that right now looks to be sorely lacking in them.

He might not have stretched the field like everyone wanted (at least as often as we wanted), but he had some big plays and seemed to understand our system well enough.
 
Our offense is like Rasputin.
 
As in, killed within the palace walls, by those within it?
 
At worst we lost a weapon. Brandon Lloyd is potentially a weapon on a team that right now looks to be sorely lacking in them.

He might not have stretched the field like everyone wanted (at least as often as we wanted), but he had some big plays and seemed to understand our system well enough.

Llyod's knowledge of the system and ability to provide Brady with a reliable target should definitely equate to an improvement over any of our other WR3-WR6 at this point in time.

I do not personally believe that he's an improvement over WR1 or WR2 although some will feel differently, and I definitely don't believe that he's anything on the same par as trying to replace a versatile young weapon (and moreso a defensive mismatch) such as Hernandez, but I get where you're going with the comment.

The truth about his value, contractual negotiations and if they were ugly at all, and character problems/attitude are all known by Belichick, so we'll have to defer to him to make this move if he deems it necessary or an improvement. That about sums it up, b/c we don't know those specifics.
 
you can never really kill Rasputin, Stoney...haven't you seen Hellboy???
 
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