It all comes down to first half execution. If the Patriots get the kickoff, march 75 yards down the field and score the first touchdown, if AD can limit Gates, and the rest of the squad keeps LT in check, we'll get an early lead and win handily.
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I expect to see a lot of 4 and 5 WR sets. Welker is going to earn his pay in this one, and Watson needs to have a big, big game. Their secondary is where they are weak. I think you focus on 15-25 yard out patterns with Moss/Stallworth and work Welker underneath. The pass rush is going to be much better than the Jets' was.
It's going to be a very, very tough game.