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Yeah, all of those 10-15 teams in tougher cap shape will be cutting players to get in better shape, or create more space to try to sign a big name or two themselves, which will increase the overall quality and depth of this free agent class. That's good for the Pats, who likely want to sign a lot of mid-level guys to bolster their overall roster.That’s exactly it. Most teams have planned on a cap in $275-$280m range. As you mention, OTC factored in $279M in all of its estimates.
The issue last year and some other years was when the actual salary cap increase significantly exceeded what was anticipated. That allowed for teams to not cut players that they otherwise were planning on in order to fit into the cap, and so there weren’t as many good players hitting the market as expected. Right now, it seems like everything is lining up with expectations, so I don’t see a reason to change the analysis that’s been done to this point.












