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Football Outsiders' AFC Divisional preview

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LOL
 

However, the mixture of Pittsburgh's road sloppiness, the Chiefs' typical turnover mastery, the boost from the non-offensive scoring potential, and Reid's extra time to prepare for an opponent all points to a tight Kansas City win. There are simply more paths to victory for the Chiefs than for a Pittsburgh team that will rely upon its star offensive players to be special again. In the postseason, sometimes it is better to just be safe than to try to do too much, and an aggressive Pittsburgh offense might be in for a rude awakening against a talented, ball-hawking defense.

yup, that's why I'm putting my money on Kansas City
 
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