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I'm not buying this narrative I keep seeing repeated here that free agents don't want to sign with a team coming off a season with a losing record.
A look back at the history of NFL free agency does not show such a correlation. It wasn't true in the first year of free agency when Reggie White left the Eagles (who were coming off five straight 10-plus win seasons), to sign a huge contract with Green Bay (who had made it to the playoffs once in the previous 20 years - with a 5-3-1 record in the strike season).
Fast forward to 2020 free agency and most of the biggest contracts went to players signing with a non-playoff team:
Yes, occasionally a veteran near the end of his career will sign a contract based on an attempt to win a ring, like Junior Seau did with the Pats. But that is the exception and not the norm.
Teams with winning records typically don't have a lot of holes to fill, so they tend to be less active in free agency. Teams with losing records are usually in the opposite boat, resulting in their being more active in their pursuit.
Disregard the standard cliché "I came here to win" post-signing speech players give in their initial press conference. Players sign for the best contract, period.
A look back at the history of NFL free agency does not show such a correlation. It wasn't true in the first year of free agency when Reggie White left the Eagles (who were coming off five straight 10-plus win seasons), to sign a huge contract with Green Bay (who had made it to the playoffs once in the previous 20 years - with a 5-3-1 record in the strike season).
Fast forward to 2020 free agency and most of the biggest contracts went to players signing with a non-playoff team:
- WR Amari Cooper (Dallas; 5 years, $100 mil)
- CB Byron Jones (Miami; 5 years, $82 mil)
- NT D.J. Reader (Bengals; 4 years, $53 mil)
- LB Joe Schobert (Jaguars; 5 years, $54 mil)
- OT Anthony Castonzo (Colts; 2 years, $33 mil)
- CB James Bradberry (NYG; 3 years, $45 mil)
- OT Jack Conklin (Browns; 3 years, $42 mil)
- LB Kyle Van Noy (Miami; 4 years, $51 mil)
- TE Austin Hooper (Browns; 4 years, $44 mil)
- CB Desmond Trufant (Lions; 2 years, $21 mil)
- LB Blake Martinez (Giants; 3 years, $30 mil)
- OT Bryan Bulaga (Chargers; 3 years, $30 mil)
- OL Connor McGovern (Jets; 3 years, $27 mil)
- RB Melvin Gordon (Broncos; 2 years, $16 mil)
Yes, occasionally a veteran near the end of his career will sign a contract based on an attempt to win a ring, like Junior Seau did with the Pats. But that is the exception and not the norm.
Teams with winning records typically don't have a lot of holes to fill, so they tend to be less active in free agency. Teams with losing records are usually in the opposite boat, resulting in their being more active in their pursuit.
Disregard the standard cliché "I came here to win" post-signing speech players give in their initial press conference. Players sign for the best contract, period.