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At this point you have to believe it's not about AAV. My guess, is NE doesn't want to get stuck with another Mayo situation and HT is hoping NE or another team gives him that extra year or similar guaranteed money. I think this is why Bennett signed with GB too, the third year. 3 guaranteed yrs...

Have you seen the highlight reel? :) Also low mileage, potential break-out, serious special teamer. edit: thanks Gator!

If anything, IF the Pats said we won't pay you over 10M, the agent left out the part, "but that's if we roll in the 4m your client is contractually obligated to play for this year". Or in other words, we won't pay you a dime over 4/40. But you get 10M this year instead of 4M, and you don't have...

Well, no duh! :) Welcome to RFA 4 other teams.

No, not concerned about the balancing. Just what is the projected round for those AAV's (10,11,12,13M) in a vacuum. Or, if you prefer, pre-Gilmore signing (i.e. when original HT offer was made).

If HT were to leave at 10M, 11M, 12M, or 13M per, what is the hypothetical projected comp round NE would receive a pick back at each of those numbers? Just wondering, as I'm sure this was factored into the NE offer.

****! Now there won't be any more trades for 3 days while he sleeps it off!

Another reason Pats might be miffed/impatient with Butler. NE will need to keep upwards of 20M or so unspent against the cap just in case someone makes an offer for Butler and they have to match salary or guaranteed monies. So obviously they want a quick deal or a quick agreement to sign the...

Damn kb. 7 dislikes in less than a few hours. Remind me to never throw shade at Fleming on this board.

Grid, was 2013 really considered one of the best WR classes? Funny. How is it that 2014 was so under the radar and turned out as the better (quintessential?) draft year for WRs? Seems really strange and possibly an interesting case study. Maybe you've revisited some of your analysis on both...

1 in 100? "So.... you're saying there is a chance!" (that i know more than him) :)

That bet would take years to become official. The total and final selection from the multitudes of trade downs and/or future trade outs would probably be something close to 18 picks and end with a mid 7th rounder in the 2023 NFL Draft!

I'm as interested in HT conjecture as the next guy, but does it have to be mentioned in every thread? :mad::D Psyched if Branch signing comes to pass.

and playing in NY... :rolleyes:

He better watch out in AZ, it ain't California down there. Interstate Hwy checkpoints, drug sniffing dogs, turnstile processing, harsh punishments or heavy fines. You peeps still back in the North East wouldn't believe it. Yes, hwy roadblocks right here in the US. Not sure how they get away with...

While I agree with you numbers, if a team is willing to pull the trigger and gamble fully (but not rashly) on JG, they could probably get it done for 15M AAV over 3 years, or 45M. If I'm JG, I'm willing to take a sure 45M now, rather than 800K and the risk of injury, or hellaciously poor play...

By now, we are all familiar with both (all?) sides of this debate. PF has been very thorough. :) What's even more interesting? How BB the GM chooses to play his hand! This is new territory. It's gonna be fun.... or boring.

5yr 13.5 AAV 67.5 30M Not from NE 5yr 12.5 AAV 62.5 25M if he takes NE hometown discount

Nooooooooooooooo!!

Good point. Most chance-to-win-game-down-this-many-points-with-this-much-time-left-to-play metrics only account for a single nadir. The least likely point. But the probability to comeback 2x 14pts in single game is much, much less likely than overcoming a single 14pt deficit. Especially since...