10 hot takes from Jeff Risdon, based on what he's heard from league sources:
1. There will be no WR taken in the top 10.
My take: Possibly, though not likely. I have 2 WR/TEs (out of Tyson, Tate, Lemon and Sadiq) going in the top 13 along with QB, RB, 2 OLs, 3 EDGEs, LB, and 3 DBs. I agree Tate is more of a WR2 type. Tyson is the clear WR1 for me, but the injury issues will drop him. Miami at 11 and the Rams at 13 are likely spots if no one goes earlier.
2. Kadyn Proctor will go in the top 10.
My take: Very possible. 2 OTs will likely go top 13, maybe more. Teams will vary greatly in terms in how they rank Proctor, Monroe Freeling, Francis Mauigoa and Spencer Fano. Teams like size. Personally, I hope this happens.
3. Ty Simpson will be the #32 pick in the NFL draft.
My take: I would prefer Simpson to be the #31 pick.
4. Three safeties will be drafted between 10 and 20 overall.
My take: Very possible. Caleb Downs could go before #10, but his floor is probably the Bengals at 10, which is also likely Dillon Thieneman's ceiling. The Vikings at 18 could view Emmanuel McNeil-Warren as a Harrison Smith replacement.
5. Caleb Lomu does not get drafted in the first round.
My take: Possible, but unlikely. I have Lomu graded behind Freeling, Iheanachor, and Miller. He has excellent feet, but lacks power. That said, I would consider him at 31, and teams are so tackle-needy, I think someone will jump.
6. After Jeremiyah Love, no RB will be taken until the 3rd round.
My take: Possible, though I'm not sure Jadarian Price or Mike Washington get past Seattle at 64.
7. There will be one trade in the top 10, and it will be someone trading up to draft Monroe Freeling.
My take: I have Freeling as OT1 and a top 10 player in this draft. That said, it would take a lot for teams to trade into the top 10, especially those that need an OT (Dolphins 11 and 30, Lions 17, Steelers 21, Eagles 23, 49ers 27, Texans 28, Patriots 31). I think it's more likely that a team like Arizona trades back. For example, Arizona could trade back from 3 to 7, allowing Washington to get one of David Bailey or Arvell Reese, and then take Freeling at 7.
8. Akheem Mesidor falls into the 30's, maybe even the 40's. Emmanuel Pregnon could last into the 3rd round.
Risdon thinks older peospects like Mesidor and Pregnon benefit from being more physically mature than their competition, and this advantage will not project well to the pro level. Both had by far their best year of tape this year. 24 year olds should be able to beat up on teenagers.
"A lot of teams want to see [Mesidor] without Rueben Bain. If you're taking someone in the first round, you don't want him to be a complementary pass rusher."
My take: I have Mesidor to TB at 15, so I don't buy that one. But Iheanachor plus a trade up for Mesidor would be a dream. I do think Mesidor could fall due to age and injuries, but for teams needing an immediate EDGE impact, his tape is too good.
Tony Pauline has Pregnon going in the 25-42 range. I could see both Chase Bisontis and Keylan Rutledge jumping him.
9. Jalon Kilgore will go 2nd round, possibly top 50.
My take: I would consider him beforeb95. Good player, crowded class.
10. The Lions will take either TJ Parker or Keldric Faulk at 17.
My take: I sincerely hope so.