Seahawks #1 Rated Def ?? What does QBR say

Lots of nervous energy here in Lithuania waiting for the game. I cannot claim credit for the idea behind this post, it came from John Gruden's SB Breakdown on Youtube (which is good watch). He said that there is not alot of regular season games that Josh McDaniels is going to look at as they Sea Def did not face a lot of good QB's so I broke down the QB's this "Vaunted" "#1 Def" faced. (see below). For sure they are talented but they may be a bit of product of the QB's they faced. Thoughts?

Wk Team QB W/L QB Ranking

Wk1 - SF - Healthy Brock Purdy Lost 2
Wk2 - PIT - Aaron Rodgers Win 25
Wk3 - NO - Spencer Rattler Win Not Rated
Wk4 - KC - Mahomes Lost 6
WK5 - TB - Mayfield Lost 12
WK6 - JAC - Lawerence Win 15
Wk7 - HOU - Stroud Win 11
WK9 - WAS - Daniels Win 24
WK10 - ARZ - Brissett Win 26
WK11 - LA - Stafford Lost 4
Wk12 - TN - Ward Win 29
Wk13 - MIN - Brosmer Win Not Rated
WK14 - ATL - Cousins Win 22
WK15 - IND - Rivers Win Not Rated
WK16 - LA - Stafford Win 4
WK17 - CAR - Young Win 23
WK18 - SF - Purdy Win 2

Games Played Against Top 10 QB = 5

W-L 2-3

Pts Allowed Avg against top 10 QBs = 23.4

Top Rated QB in QBR???? = Drake Maye

(Pencil Drops)

We all know that numbers can be massaged any way you want. You do the eye ball test and it is clear. Best D this year was the Texans. Seahawks and Pats have very good Ds. The Pats have better coverage overall when pressure doesn't get there.

On plays where their stunts fail they are very average. The Pats get pressure less often but are more steady. When they do get pressure they are better than the Seahawks defense.

It really comes down to a very basic idea. Would you rather your defense be a 'B' 80% of the time and 'A' 20% of the time. Or an 'A' 30% of the time and 'B-/C+' 70%.

Keep in mind A has a higher chance for a positive explosive play. But B-/C+ has a high chance of a blown defensive play.

There are benefits to both. Personally I'd prefer a steadier defense unless you are playing an absolute juggernaut of an offense where you concede a higher point total but look for higher plays to even it out

BobDigital said:

We all know that numbers can be massaged any way you want. You do the eye ball test and it is clear. Best D this year was the Texans. Seahawks and Pats have very good Ds. The Pats have better coverage overall when pressure doesn't get there.

On plays where their stunts fail they are very average. The Pats get pressure less often but are more steady. When they do get pressure they are better than the Seahawks defense.

It really comes down to a very basic idea. Would you rather your defense be a 'B' 80% of the time and 'A' 20% of the time. Or an 'A' 30% of the time and 'B-/C+' 70%.

Keep in mind A has a higher chance for a positive explosive play. But B-/C+ has a high chance of a blown defensive play.

There are benefits to both. Personally I'd prefer a steadier defense unless you are playing an absolute juggernaut of an offense where you concede a higher point total but look for higher plays to even it out

Click to expand...

As fun to watch A is, they aren’t as consistent as B and being consistent is more important for winning games (to me). Sure that sack where they lost 20 yards or the interception at the goal line is damn exciting, but not very useful if they can only do it 20% of the time. Sure it can change the game in a second, but doesn’t really help if they’re getting curb stomped the rest of the game. I would definitely go with B but only if it stayed over 60%. Anything under 60% and the difference starts to become negligible imo…. Good points @BobDigital !

Our D has really carried the team through the playoffs - even Maye would admit this.

But they have a big chip on their shoulders because no one gives them any credit.

Which is great for us because they're primed to play at the highest level and even have D get the credit for winning the Super Bowl.

And if we're going to win, that's what needs to happen - so everything is shaping up nicely!

If the OL can improve upon their 5 sacks per playoff game and give Maye the time to throw, we'll be celebrating trophy #7 this time next week!

The keys to this game are all related:

(1) We must pressure Darnold, in order to do that...
(2) Game script must put Darnold in frequent obvious passing situations, in order to do that...
(3) Drake must play well, in order to do that....
(4) the Offensive line must protect Drake well, in order to do that...
(Winner) the key to good protection is recognizing and stopping all of the stunts/games Seattle will bring. In a straight rush scenario the Seahawks are nowhere near as fearsome as the Texans or Denver (believe they are middle of the pack on win rate in straight rushes without any stunts)

So if we reduce everything down to a single key => offensive line MUST play well against Seattle's stunts and line games. If they do, we become the favorite to win