Patriots Pregame Thread Titans Fire Head Coach Brian Callahan / Week 7 Pregame Discussion

[captain stone]

In fairness if Miss Amy were the Pats owner I suspect there'd be a lot of high dives off the Tobin and this place would be a ghost town

The real question surrounding her is: Was she bangable in the days before electricity...?

 

[maust]

The real question surrounding her is: Was she bangable in the days before electricity...?

 

[captain stone]

Just flew over the stadium on my way to Dallas. Was climbing out of BNA and happened to be sitting on the right side of the plane. Will be sitting in one those seats come Sunday!

Great shot... Do you know, is the new place gonna be Natural grass, man, or Phony-turfed? Damn shame they Phony-turfed the current place, same as what Carolina did to theirs...

 

[captain stone]

I assume that's the replacement going up next door? Is it going to be covered? It doesn't seem like the current stadium is that old. I seem to recall someone pointing out it's very similar to Gillette, same designer or builder, I think.

Opened in 1999, and yeah HOK had a hand in its design same as it did at the Razor...

 

[PatsfanTN]

Great shot... Do you know, is the new place gonna be Natural grass, man, or Phony-turfed? Damn shame they Phony-turfed the current place, same as what Carolina did to theirs...

I would think it would be phony turf or something like that? I don’t think there will be direct sunlight unless they have a way around that with the roof

 

[captain stone]

Interesting. Yet another indoor football stadium sucks, though.

Bingo. Especially in places that don't have particularly bitter late autumns-early winters.

But this is Exactly what Stokoe & the Non-Men at 345 Park Avenue want to see happen anyway, "player safety" be Damned.

 

[mike_usagisan]

Bingo. Especially in places that don't have particularly bitter late autumns-early winters.

But this is Exactly what Stokoe & the Non-Men at 345 Park Avenue want to see happen anyway, "player safety" be Damned.

I wouldn't be surprised if there was a secret plan at NFL HQ for a year-round season. Forget 18 games, try 48!

 

[captain stone]

Wouldn't mind seeing this version taken out of mothballs for at least one week.

 

[KCSVEN]

The statistics found for me by a certain well-known LLM gives a 33.6% win rate for teams in their third consecutive road game versus 43% for road teams in general.

I hope it won't be enough to overcome all the other considerations, but that looks like a major disadvantage.

Over a decade, it was 45% against the spread which helps adjust for the quality of the two teams so not as big a difference when adjusting for the quality of the teams playing

Titans might be the worst team in the league so I think that kind of has to factor in

 

[captain stone]

Vrabel return to TN? Players are going to want to win this for him. No way it is a trap game, which statistically don't exist anyways.
Third road games in a row is a minor disadvantage, but TN is so bad this should be an easy win.

A third straight road game is never an easy win; but the Titties are terrible indeed, so unless there's injuries & turnovers...

 

[sb1]

When does the new Titans stadium open?

 

[Thelonious]

I know I am indulging in a little amateur psychonanalysis, but I have a feeling that rather regarding this game as an opportunity to relax a little because the opponent is a soft touch, the team will instead regard it a chance to have a little fun and knock the bejesus out of a weaker adversary and offer their head coach a little bouquet. When the time comes, I am going to predict a blowout. We haven't had a lot of opportunity to make such predictions in recent years.

 

[captain stone]

I wouldn't be surprised if there was a secret plan at NFL HQ for a year-round season. Forget 18 games, try 48!

Foreign divisions, multiple bye weeks to compensate for travel, another layer of p-p-playoffs...

 

[sb1]

Nashville would be a great Super Bowl city if they get one. Broadway is gonna be nuts lol

 

[captain stone]

When does the new Titans stadium open?

In time for the 2027 opener, from what I understand...

 

[Bill Lee]

We have to beware of the dreaded Interim HC curse. Players love all of the sudden want to play hero ball for them.

FDR was dead long before I came along but he did crank out a few bangers such as "We have nothing to fear but fear itself!".

Let's F'in Go, MFers!

 

[Bill Lee]

The real question surrounding her is: Was she bangable in the days before electricity...?

You know what they say, all hotel rooms look the same when the lights are out...

 

[Mike the Brit]

Over a decade, it was 45% against the spread which helps adjust for the quality of the two teams so not as big a difference when adjusting for the quality of the teams playing

Titans might be the worst team in the league so I think that kind of has to factor in

No. My source said a general win rate of 45% for road teams, not ATS.

In the 2025 season so far, away teams are 40–52–1 (wins–losses–ties) → about 43.0 % win rate. Historically, home-field advantage is fairly significant in the NFL. Most estimates suggest road teams win somewhere between 40 % and 45 % of the time (i.e. home teams win ~55–60 %). For example, from the 2025 data above, home teams are 52–40–1 (≈ 55.9 %) straight up.​

On the other hand:

In 2025 so far, away teams’ ATS record is 46–46–1, which is exactly 50.0 % cover rate.​

Source: covers.com​

The win rate for teams playing three games playing consecutively on the road is 33.7%:

According to OddsShark, over the last 3 years, teams in the third game of a three-game road trip are 13–23 straight up (i.e. ~ 36.1 % win rate). Over the last 5 years: 20–33 (~ 37.7 %) SU. Over the last 10 years: 35–69 (~ 33.7 %).​

​

I don't deny that the Titans are bad.

But that doesn't affect whether the three-game road trip effect is a major or a minor factor. The data says "major".

 

[PatsfanTN]

When does the new Titans stadium open?

Not sure but they are knocking it out

 

[captain stone]

You know what they say, all hotel rooms look the same when the lights are out...

And in the dark, a hole's a hole...

- Michael Donovan