Brady has shattered a lot of records. I’d like to put some graphs up of just how dominant he is in many statistical categories. Examples are in the Super Bowl era his winning percentage is .777 in the regular season, while Joe Montana is second at .714. The difference between those two are simply astronomical and one of the biggest outlier stats in sports history. He has 27 playoff wins while Montana is second at 16. He has the potential to retire with TWICE as many playoff wins as the second place guy in the SB era. He has won 8 conference titles (Elway is second with 5) and five Super Bowls (in case you weren’t aware.). He is so far away in cumulative postseason and Super Bowl passing stats it’s almost difficult to fathom. He’s just about doubled everyone in playoff and SB yards and touchdowns.
One stat that is remarkable is his total wins. Brady always take pride in being available and winning, the two things he constantly talks about when talking about what it takes to be successful. So, I think while he doesn’t care much about passing TDs and passing yards, etc., I’m sure that winning games means a lot to him. And total wins combines longevity and excellence. So here it is...
Tom Brady has a chance (greater than Lloyd Christmas) of winning 300 games.
Why is this absolutely nuts?
That accomplishment may actually be the most draw-dropping in the history of American sports. Coming into this season, the quarterback win total (regular and postseason) went like this:
1. Brady - 223
2. Manning - 200
3. Favre - 199
4. Elway - 162
5. Marino - 155
(For active players, Brees and Roethlisberger were right around 150.)
Just how absurd would a 300 win career be?
Brett Favre is the only quarterback to even start 300 games (322)
Peyton Manning only started 292 games.
He would literally have 100 more wins than Manning (second most.)
How realistic is it for Brady to reach this seemingly insane number of 300 wins?
It probably seems unrealistic and overly optimistic, especially at first glance. Brady could obviously get injured or decline, especially at the age of 41 and continuing to move up in age. But let’s just say, for the sake of fantasy (delusion?) that Brady maintains his same success and plays through his age 45 season. That’s 5 seasons (41, 42, 43, 44, 45.)
Over his career, he has a regular season winning percentage of .777, which averages to about 12.5 wins over 16 games. He is averaging just about 1.5 playoff wins in years where he’s finished the season.
That’s an average of 14 wins a season.
Over the next five years, at this pace, and with some health luck and the TB12 magic, he would be projected to win 70 games (14 x 5.)
At 223 coming into this season, the additional 70 puts him at 293 after his age 45 season. If all goes according to past results he’s at 293, and if he’s still playing well, he may have trouble walking away being so close.
