PatsFans.com Menu
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans

Could We Use Two LB Additions?

Status
Not open for further replies.
I think it all comes down to projecting vs. developing.

The more projecting BB has to do, the less chance he will take a guy high.

If the tape of a guy shows that during his four years of college, he could not set the edge in the running game, then BB is not going to grade him highly.

If the tape of a guy shows that he can't stack and shed, then BB is not going to rate him highly.

Etc. Etc. Etc.

The flip side is to draft an athlete and then develop him over years to excel at playing that position.

This is an area that BB has previously completely abandoned as evidenced by his complete lack of drafting in the OLB/DE conversion prospect.

Conclusion: No prospect in this draft jumps off the page as a true 3-4 OLB. But there are several excellent athletes that have excellent developmental tools and could develop into special players at OLB in our defense.

In previous years, I think BB passes on all these 3-4 OLB/DE conversion type players available in this draft. but based on his drafting of the eternally slow Cunningham last year, I see BB on the cusp of changing his strategy from years past and moving away from veterans only at this position and moving toward drafting and developing.

Bottom line: I see BB taking a 3-4 OLB/DE conversion player early in this draft. Several players are possible, but I like Sheard the best because of his explosiveness, which Cunningham does not possess.
 
Last edited:
I think it all comes down to projecting vs. developing.

The more projecting BB has to do, the less chance he will take a guy high.

If the tape of a guy shows that during his four years of college, he could not set the edge in the running game, then BB is not going to grade him highly.

If the tape of a guy shows that he can't stack and shed, then BB is not going to rate him highly.

Etc. Etc. Etc.

The flip side is to draft an athlete and then develop him over years to excel at playing that position.

This is an area that BB has previously completely abandoned as evidenced by his complete lack of drafting in the OLB/DE conversion prospect.

Conclusion: No prospect in this draft jumps off the page as a true 3-4 OLB. But there are several excellent athletes that have excellent developmental tools and could develop into special players at OLB in our defense.

In previous years, I think BB passes on all these 3-4 OLB/DE conversion type players available in this draft. but based on his drafting of the eternally slow Cunningham last year, I see BB on the cusp of changing his strategy from years past and moving away from veterans only at this position and moving toward drafting and developing.

Bottom line: I see BB taking a 3-4 OLB/DE conversion player early in this draft. Several players are possible, but I like Sheard the best because of his explosiveness, which Cunningham does not possess.

Player A:
10-yd split = 1.60
vertical jump = 35"
broad jump = 9'10"

Player B:
10-yd split = 1.59
vertical jump = 31"
broad jump = 9'07"

"Explosiveness" measureables seem pretty close to me.
 
Please tell me that Player A is Cunningham.
 
Please tell me that Player A is Cunningham.

Yessireebob! We have a WINNAH!

Actually, I was thinking that Cunningham didn't appear to be very explosive in 2010, IDK, maybe be cause he was injured through most of camp and was playing through the lingering effects all season?
 
Why are the choices only include the top 15 and 7th round?

1) I agree that Belichick is very unlikely to use the first pick on a linebacker.
2) I agree that Belichick will also look for value ion the 5th and later later, as he will at all positions.
3) The question is whether there is value in the 25-125 range.
4) While I agree that Belichick is much more satisfied at LB than those posting, I still think that a player like Reed would be an upgrade.
Two things:
-- While I like Reed and/or Sheard, I'm not convinced they would be the best value in the second round compared to D-line, O-line, or RB. That said, NE, BB most notably, has put a lot of time into Allen Bailey, who just might be that Cunningham bookend some are craving. Just as I failed to recognize Cunningham as an OLB project when BB was scouting Florida last year, I will admit up front I don't see the OLB in Bailey - which may just mean he's got the goods.
-- Other than Reed & Sheard, who else between 25-125 has the necessary all-round skill set to challenge Ninkovich and TBC? I just looked at the list and see no one. Which takes us back to the argument of whether a developing LB corps needs to be augmented with top 15 competition or just challenged with some late round kids who also would need time to develop?
 
I agree that Bailey, Reed and Sheard are all possibilities. All are 25-125 players. You are correct this isn't much to choose from. I would add Houston to the list of possibilities. But the list is short, and it is possible that we will not get any in the 25-125 range.

Two things:
-- While I like Reed and/or Sheard, I'm not convinced they would be the best value in the second round compared to D-line, O-line, or RB. That said, NE, BB most notably, has put a lot of time into Allen Bailey, who just might be that Cunningham bookend some are craving. Just as I failed to recognize Cunningham as an OLB project when BB was scouting Florida last year, I will admit up front I don't see the OLB in Bailey - which may just mean he's got the goods.
-- Other than Reed & Sheard, who else between 25-125 has the necessary all-round skill set to challenge Ninkovich and TBC? I just looked at the list and see no one. Which takes us back to the argument of whether a developing LB corps needs to be augmented with top 15 competition or just challenged with some late round kids who also would need time to develop?
 
Last edited:
Why are the choices only include the top 15 and 7th round?

1) I agree that Belichick is very unlikely to use the first pick on a linebacker.
2) I agree that Belichick will also look for value ion the 5th and later later, as he will at all positions.
3) The question is whether there is value in the 25-125 range.
4) While I agree that Belichick is much more satisfied at LB than those posting, I still think that a player like Reed would be an upgrade.

QUOTE=Box_O_Rocks;2524553]Cannon to right of them,
Cannon to left of them,
Cannon in front of them
Volley'd and thunder'd;
Storm'd at with shot and shell,
Boldly they rode and well,
Into the jaws of Death,
Into the mouth of Hell
Rode the six hundred.

You raise the specter of the 2003 linebacking corps who dominated the NFL the one season NE's defense finished first in scoring defense:
-- McGinest: #4 overall in the 1994 draft was entering his 10th season - all with NE.
-- Vrabel: A free agent acquisition and former #91 overall in the 1997 draft was entering his 7th season - his 3rd with NE.
-- Bruschi: A #86 overall in the 1996 draft was entering his 8th season - all with NE.
-- Johnson: #57 overall in the 1995 draft was entering his 9th season - all with NE.
-- Phifer: a free agent acquisition and former 2nd round pick was entering his 13th season - his 3rd with NE.

In comparison:
-- Mayo: #10 overall in the 2008 draft is entering his 4th season - all with NE.
-- Guyton: undrafted, signed following the 2008 draft, is entering his 4th season - all with NE.
-- Spikes: #62 overall is entering his 2nd season - all with NE.
-- Fletcher: undrafted, signed following the 2010 draft, is entering his 2nd season - all with NE.
-- Banta-Cain: #239 overall in the 2003 draft is entering his 9th season - all but 2 with NE.
-- Ninkovich: a free agent acquisition and #135 overall in the 2006 draft is entering his 6th season - his 3rd with NE.
-- Cunningham: #53 overall in the 2010 draft is entering his 2nd season - all with NE.
-- Moore: a free agent acquisition and #186 overall in the 2006 draft is entering his 6th season - his 2nd with NE.
-- Murrell: a free agent acquisition and former undrafted free agent is entering his 2nd training camp with NE - he appeared in 1 game for NE in 2010.

Apples to apples, no question the 2003 core linebackers had a significant experience advantage in both the NE system and in NFL experience over the 2011 roster. Banta-Cain, Mayo, and Guyton are the only three to have practiced and played with some or all of the 2003 core group to pick-up some of the mystique from those days.

So, what can we expect Bil Belichick to do with a linebacker core from a 14-2 team entering 2011 with one or more full seasons in the NE system and the NFL?

Some advocate for chasing a top edge rushing prospect such as Kerrigan or Bowers or Quinn to see if these elite rookie edge rushers are one of the very few who earn double digit sacks as rookies. I like two out of three and would love to see them.

An alternative consideration is to be a bit more patient with the core group BB is building. Perhaps cherry pick an edge rusher somewhere lower down in the draft and see how he performs on Special Teams and spot duty in games.

Competition, I agree there should be some. Yet, who do you bring in who will push the NFL's leading tackler in 2010? I see no one in this draft class capable of meeting that challenge.

Cunningham is the highest drafted OLB prospect of the BB era, drafted in the second round like Roman Phifer. If he takes a second year leap, is there a rookie edge rusher whom we believe will push him for playing time? Quinn doesn't have Cunningham's run stopping resume; Kerrigan and Bowers could, perhaps, give Cunningham a run for his money - but I did read where Ninkovich and Moore both credited Cunningham with creating pressure which helped them with their sacks and pressures - I'd argue it is premature to draft a top 15 edge rusher to replace him just when he's showing promise. With five OLB fighting for a standard three-man rotation, there is already competition.

Poor Guyton is once again under attack in this thread, yet to my eyes he's getting better each year. For the money he's demonstrated he can step in and cover for Mayo, pretty good for an undrafted guy who was third wheel in the 2010 rotation. In this same thread I read some who believe Fletcher will push Guyton and Spikes for playing time - one could argue there is a three-man competition to play alongside Mayo. Again, who in the 2011 draft class is capable of pressuring those three players for playing time? Martez Wilson? He's the top rated ILB, yet he's accused of having the same lack of LB instincts which sometimes hampers Guyton - doesn't sound promising. NE is looking at kids who might be drafted later or signed as undrafted to challenge for core STs roles, perhaps there can be a four-man competition, or more, with a later round kid like Hogue or J.T. Thomas?

The new core LB corps struggled in 2010, but they made enough plays to help towards a 14-2 season. I'm hard pressed to see true competition outside of drafting a top 15 prospect - which could happen and I'd welcome it - but I'm not expecting it to happen. I'm looking back on my experience training entry level personnel in advanced equipment operations and search & rescue techniques, I'm looking at the time it took for a new crew to develop the partnership which made them work effectively together in a chaotic environment. I consider my own experience, and I believe Coach Belichick and his new LB coach will be content to let the competition for playing time come internally with maybe a BPA score for a STs coverage LB to throw into the mix. Patience, it's tough to have when building a team, but whether search & rescue or football, it's a necessary evil. My trainer's eyes see the core of another 2003 LB corps coming together, rough days ahead still, but all to soon we're going to be lamenting the new kids replacing our old favorites - again.
[/QUOTE]

Unlike some posters whose constant bleats and refrains sound like the Patriots are coming off a 2-14 season and Belichick has been diagnosed with advanced Alzheimer's disease, I think you put things in reasonable perspective. For a Team almost completely rebuilt, full of youngsters who turned a 14-2 season best in the NFL, while playing everyone of the "Iron" teams in the League, bar none.

Tail ender OLBs, Moore and White were late season fill ins only, and can be replaced. True depth at OLB is minimal. I feel certain that BB will obtain 2 OLB candidates, and possibly an ex-starting vet addition too, as is his cutomary modus operandi in such cases.

One higher then the late third to early fifth invested in red-shirt, former first rounder bound, Greg Romeus. Who that will be I don't know. But it could be anybody from Kerrigan or Bowers very early but doubtful, to Sherad or Acho later.

As an observation, the only other position with such minimal depth is QB.
 
Last edited:
BOTTOM LINE QUESTION
How many roster spots at OLB can reasonably be upgraded?


My thinking is we can use at least two upgrades at LB

ILB
Mayo is a keeper
Guyton is a nice back-up, one dimensional (replaces White on special teams)
Spikes is a liability
Fletcher maybe the next Bruschi
Mark Herzlich would be nice addition

OLB
I want Da'Quan Bowers (if he drops) or Cameron Jordan at #17 for elephant position.:singing:

Cunningham has potential but jury is still out
Ninkovich is limited but nice back-up
TBC is a liability on all downs - will be cut
Moore is potential elephant?
Don’t see BB taking OLB early, I like Tom Keiser Stanford and Ugo Chinasa Oklahoma State in late round developmental types.
 
BOTTOM LINE QUESTION
How many roster spots at OLB can reasonably be upgraded?


My thinking is we can use at least two upgrades at LB

ILB
Mayo is a keeper
Guyton is a nice back-up, one dimensional (replaces White on special teams)
Spikes is a liability
Fletcher maybe the next Bruschi
Mark Herzlich would be nice addition

OLB
I want Da'Quan Bowers (if he drops) or Cameron Jordan at #17 for elephant position.:singing:

Cunningham has potential but jury is still out
Ninkovich is limited but nice back-up
TBC is a liability on all downs - will be cut
Moore is potential elephant?
Don’t see BB taking OLB early, I like Tom Keiser Stanford and Ugo Chinasa Oklahoma State in late round developmental types.

Cunningham has potential but Spikes is a liability? Last I checked they were both rookies going into their 2nd year.
 
Cunningham has potential but Spikes is a liability? Last I checked they were both rookies going into their 2nd year.

Spikes may be a liability off the field, but on the field, he is without question, an asset.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Patriots News 04-26, Meet The Patriots’ 2026 Draft Class
MORSE: Patriots Day Three of NFL Draft, UDFA Signings
Patriots Grab A Big Offensive Tackle in Round Six On Saturday
Patriots Take a CB With Their First Pick on Day 3
Wolf Cites ‘Untapped Potential’ After Patriots Select Notre Dame Tight End Raridon
Patriots Trade-Up Landed Them a Defensive Menace in Jacas
TRANSCRIPT: Eliot Wolf Night Two Press Conference 4/24
MORSE: Patriots Don’t Sit Back, Team Trades up to Get Their Guy
TRANSCRIPT: Caleb Lomu’s Interview with New England media 4/23
MORSE: Patriots Make a Questionable Selection of Caleb Lomu in the First Round
Back
Top