Having read through almost all of this thread, :ugh: a few thoughts that may not add to the compelling back-and-forth. First,
But it's a 4th rounder!!!!!! Just think of all the mock players I could mock draft with that before the Patriots trade it for a 2012 3rd!!!!!!!
This post did not get enough credit. Supply and demand here. We have lots of 4th round picks and not enough wide receivers who are adept at making the route adjustments that Brady expects of his receivers. Ergo, we paid more of our high-supply asset for our high-demand asset. I'd rather overpay for Cameron Wake, but I digress.
I'd trade a 4th for Branch for veteran leadership and to ensure Slater never sees an offensive snap.
This is something I've been wondering at. With Moss their best run blocking WR (when he tries), will Slater see more time or can Branch/Tate fill that role nearly as well as Jackie Jr.?
People are saying that Branch has been effective this year.. Umm.. I didn't realize that an 8.6 YPC was being effective... Especially when your career avg is 12.6..
That stat does suggest that Branch has lost his downfield speed, at least compared to the young guns on Seattle. However, he does have the 2nd more receptions on the team (13), and most of them (8) have gone for first downs or touchdowns. Another precise route-running 3rd down receiver isn't a bad value for a 4th.
Branch and a 3rd for Moss and a 4th.
Actually, it's Branch and a 3rd for Moss and a 4th and $1M, which is the difference in the remaining salary between Moss and the overcompensated Branch. The deal-killer when we're looking at extending players is always the signing bonus. Seattle paid that for Branch, and his $6M next year is not guaranteed. He gets $3.75M from the Pats this year. If he performs, he can restructure his deal to make more than that $6M, but I doubt we keep him at that rate, given the number of younger, likely more effective, cheaper targets Brady has at his disposal.
Is the 4th rounder worth it? I'll use my 20-20 hindsight to make that call. It's a reasonable gamble, certainly better than the flyer they took on Burgess.