Buh-bye Asante.
See ya Blue.
Later Eugene.
Nice knowing ya Rosie.
Adios Collier.
Hmmm...I think Belichick might just agree with you.
Here is my thinking on this, with the caveat that it is optimistic.
We have the best offense in the NFL.
We have a great defensive mind coaching our defense. The defense has been good, but broken down the last 3 years. (Remember turnovers and Champ Bailey aside, we went into the Denver playoff loss in 2005 playing very well on D, and played poorly, with a lot of big plays allowed in that game)
There have been very few times that BB has put a defensive player on the field and he stunk. (2002 Steve Martin comes to mind, 2005 Starks, Beisel, etc come to mind) But almost never with a young player. We have this idea around here that BB hates young players, or doesn't trust them, etc. I think the truth is that he likes the reliability of veterans (especially injury wise) vs young guys so if he can find a vet to keep the spot warm for the youngster he will.
However, lets look at our rookies on defense:
Seymour, Warren, Wilfork. All started and played well as rookies.
Meriwhether. Played a lot as a rookie.
Wilson. Started as a rookie.
Samuel nickel as a rookie starter in year 2.
Sanders. Contributed as a rookie, started a lot in year 2, full time in year 3.
Gay. Started at the end of his rookie year.
Hobbs. Started secondhalf of rookie year and ever since.
I just named 9 rookies over the past 7 years and 6 of them got a ring as a rookie, contributing a lot.
Look at the FAs who came in to start.
DL- Really none recently.
LB- Vrabel, Colvin, Thomas, Seau(sort of a starter) Beisel
CB- Starks (really started by default becuase of injuries) Harrison
2 were bad, and neither was signed to start, but did because of injury.
Where are all of the bad players that BB brought in to starting positons as rookies or FAs?
My opinion, and I recognize everyone does not share it is that BB believes winning is about making plays in situations, particularly when the game is on the line. He has built, tweaked and rebuilt his entire defense since coming here. As of today, the only players left that started SB XXXVI on defense are Seymour, Vrabel, Bruschi. That is 73% turnover in 6 years, and 2/3 of what didnt turn over were in their first year here.
I think that we have more consistently than any team I have ever seen kept the talent level on our defense consistent. (And good)
I think BB has recognized that he built a defense that overall is not one that plays its best when the game is on the line. Its good, but it is imperfect in finishing.
I believe this is because the fatal flaw in the defense became 2 minute D, covering when the offense is obviously going to throw. In the SB it materialized IMO, in Gay and Harrison, both who lack speed and cover skills for their postions, but bring other strengths.
I think that BB plans, in this off-season, to revamp (not rebuild because there are too many good pieces in place) his defense. And I believe he is going to do it with speed and talent and let the coaching take care of the rest.
I expect the difference between our 2007 D and our 2008 D to be:
DL- No change
LB- We need to cover better in the 2 minute. I expect we will obtain either or both a LB who has more speed than we typically look for, with coverage ability to go with it. Probably a guy who wont play a ton in the base D but will play on 3rd down. (Alternatively making Rodney Harrison a LB in the nickel/dime works too) And/or a pass rusher who can allow Vrabel or Thomas to be in coverage more often in those situations.
I'm not at all worried about our ability to defend the run at the LB postion. We probably need to add an inside guy, but that will not be hard to do.
S- I think that Meriwhether plays an awful lot next year. I see a 3man rotation, with Rodney playing in base, but not in nickel/dime, 2 minute (unless at LB) Meriwhether and Sanders playing in the nickel/dime/2 minute, and splitting time in the base. We will no doubt add a safety, but rather than our typical lean toward a special teams good run S, it will be a cover guy. Cheap FA, or draft pick I assume.
Corner- I absolutely see a round 1 corner. I'm fine with skilled and raw also. I would like to see this guy expected to be the nickel in 2008, but capable of starting. I think we need to bring in another corner who could start, could move behind the rookie. I think Richardson also can contribute. I think we've moved past the smarter, slower guys like Chad Scott. A second corner in the draft, maybe round 3 or 4 seems like a good fit too.
We will have a second year S playing a big role, a 1st round corner playing a big role, and will have depth with some combination of Ruchardson, another rookie, or FAs we pick up.
We will field a more athletic defense. We will have youth that the coaching staff must coach to the NFL level, and we will rely on them.
If there is one thing I would be certain the 2008 off-season will result in is that we are better in 2 minute and red zone pass defense. This is because I believe BB sees it as the flaw and sees it as unacceptable, and when that happens, I trust him to fix it.