Well, statistically, three of the four teams that made it to the conference finals last season had the top three defenses.
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Philadelphia
The top three this season are the Jets, Green Bay and Baltimore. Cincinnati is fourth. New England finished eleventh and San Diego was sixtieth. The Patriots have to hope that they beat Baltimore. Because it'll come down to offense versus the Chargers. Neither team will stop the other's offense. Brady's still good enough to overcome the lost of Welker. From thereon, I think the train stops... Unless the Jets can eliminate both the Bengals and Colts as I'd said a while back.