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well on this we agree. I think Welker fully understands that his success is partially dependent on the system he's in, AND the QB he's playing with.
I'm sure that he realizes that he's now on borrowed time. At his size and age, he should know that he doesn't have much time left, and when it starts to go, it will go fast.
In an ideal world, I think 2 years at $16MM would be the fairest deal for both sides. Though its unlikely to work out that way.
BTW- I just read or PFT, that the franchise tags this year are significantly lower because of the new CBA's way of calculating them. So if the Pats did franchise Wes, it would only be for around $8MM, down from over $10MM in 2011. Other positions saw similar drops.
The franchise tag is lower, but it's $9.4M estimated for WR.
And a 2 year deal for Welker is totally unrealistic. He could play under the tag for that for two years with no security and make $20M+. I don't think Welker will hold out on the tag, but if they were to bring in another WR at top tier money on a long term deal while tagging him, then I could and I wouldn't blame him.