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I was surfing the net and came across a couple of KFFL posters who have come up with a decent formula for projecting the comp picks that the NFL awards. They seem to be pretty close ever year, so I thought I would try to project the Pats comp picks for this year.
Their basic formula goes mostly by how much the players are getting paid per year (salary + signing bonus), with smaller factors such as playing time and post season honors (Pro-Bowl) counting much less.
So the Patriots signed
Reche Caldwell 1.3 million/yr
Mel Mitchell 856,000/yr
and lost
David Givens Texans 4.8 million/yr
Tom Ashworth Seahawks 2.6 million/yr
Adam Vinateri Colts 2.4 millon/yr
Andre Davis Bills 1.3 million/yr
Christian Fauria Redskins 1 million/yr
Tim Dwight Jets 875,000/yr
Matt Chatham Jets 585,000/yr (could not find the amount of his signing bonus so this amount should actually fo up)
last year the comp picks were awarded for the following salaries and rounds
3rd round- 5.167 mil/yr +
4th round- 4.16-5.5 mil/yr
5th round- 2.6-3.5 mil/yr
6th round- 1.97-2.9 mil/yr
7th round- 1.75-585,000/yr
As you can see the amount overlap, so they must take into effect playing time and post season honors. Assuming inflation these amounts will go up this year. So I project the following:
So if you cancel out Caldwell with Andre Davis, and Mitchell with Dwight, that leaves the following players and compensation:
Givens 4.8 mil/yr (IR after week 5)- 4th round
Vinateri 2.4 mil/yr (16 games) - 5th round (highest paid kicker, former pro bowler)
Ashworth 2.6 mil/yr (games played 16/ games started 6)-6th round
Possible extra pick:
Chatham 585,000 + unknown SB (started 16 games)- 7th round
I know that Jonathan Kraft is crying for a third round comp, but I just can't see it happening, especially if you consider that Givens got hurt.
Fauria only played in 9 games and had only 2 receptions, so I don't think that the Pats will get compensated for him or Michael Stone.
Other fun facts about the comp picks that I learned:
The NFL gives out 32 comp picks every year
The max picks any one team can get is 4
After the NFL figures out what comp picks are to be awarded using the FA loss/gained formula, the remaining comp picks left are awarded as if there was an 8th round of the draft. So say the NFL figures that it has to award 28 comp picks, it will automatically give the remaining 4 picks as 7th round comp picks to the teams with the worst records in this years case Oakland, Detriot, CLeveland, Tampa Bay, etc.
Their basic formula goes mostly by how much the players are getting paid per year (salary + signing bonus), with smaller factors such as playing time and post season honors (Pro-Bowl) counting much less.
So the Patriots signed
Reche Caldwell 1.3 million/yr
Mel Mitchell 856,000/yr
and lost
David Givens Texans 4.8 million/yr
Tom Ashworth Seahawks 2.6 million/yr
Adam Vinateri Colts 2.4 millon/yr
Andre Davis Bills 1.3 million/yr
Christian Fauria Redskins 1 million/yr
Tim Dwight Jets 875,000/yr
Matt Chatham Jets 585,000/yr (could not find the amount of his signing bonus so this amount should actually fo up)
last year the comp picks were awarded for the following salaries and rounds
3rd round- 5.167 mil/yr +
4th round- 4.16-5.5 mil/yr
5th round- 2.6-3.5 mil/yr
6th round- 1.97-2.9 mil/yr
7th round- 1.75-585,000/yr
As you can see the amount overlap, so they must take into effect playing time and post season honors. Assuming inflation these amounts will go up this year. So I project the following:
So if you cancel out Caldwell with Andre Davis, and Mitchell with Dwight, that leaves the following players and compensation:
Givens 4.8 mil/yr (IR after week 5)- 4th round
Vinateri 2.4 mil/yr (16 games) - 5th round (highest paid kicker, former pro bowler)
Ashworth 2.6 mil/yr (games played 16/ games started 6)-6th round
Possible extra pick:
Chatham 585,000 + unknown SB (started 16 games)- 7th round
I know that Jonathan Kraft is crying for a third round comp, but I just can't see it happening, especially if you consider that Givens got hurt.
Fauria only played in 9 games and had only 2 receptions, so I don't think that the Pats will get compensated for him or Michael Stone.
Other fun facts about the comp picks that I learned:
The NFL gives out 32 comp picks every year
The max picks any one team can get is 4
After the NFL figures out what comp picks are to be awarded using the FA loss/gained formula, the remaining comp picks left are awarded as if there was an 8th round of the draft. So say the NFL figures that it has to award 28 comp picks, it will automatically give the remaining 4 picks as 7th round comp picks to the teams with the worst records in this years case Oakland, Detriot, CLeveland, Tampa Bay, etc.