JG is gone after this season, for all of you who are still pining for that smile, get over it. That being said, JG is a great prospect, but not the #1 pick in the draft good. However the Browns also have the Eagles pick, which looks now like it's going to be somewhere around the middle of the round.
Years ago I read a draft analysis that has stuck with me. It states that in most draft there are 5-7 players who have elite physicial gifts. Then there are about 20 other guys that can be clumped together as the next step down. By the time you get into mid 20's you hit the next thermocline of players from about 25-60, and so on down the line.
Now of course the earlier you pick the better, regardless, but sometime I wonder if after you get past the top 5 players or so, there is little to choose from there to middle 20's in the quality of player you are getting, and by the time you get wo where the Pats usually pick, you are chosing among the best of the 2nd round quality picks.
Armed with this strategy, the Browns first pick in the 2nd round is almost as valuable as their Eagle's pick. So in my mind the best strategy would be to grab the top 2nd round pick this year and wait a year for a first or another high second.