Oswlek
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
- Joined
- Aug 20, 2006
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- 9,086
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The success rate for Firstr round picks is only 76%.
The success rate for Second round picks is 50%
BB's First picks for the last five years are all starters, now that Chung has been re-signed. Success rate 100%.
Even though two of his First picks, were really Second rounders.
I believe Belichick has a perfect record of 100% for every First pick going back to his arrival as HC.
I agree that the least successful of his FIrst picks were Maroney and Meriwether. But Maroney played for 3 years, and Meriwether is still in the league.
We agree on the overall gist.
I use the term "success rate" a lot, but when you get so specific I think you need to be more detailed in how you are defining it. Is it a starter? A solid role player? Someone still in the league on a second contract? Are you grading on a scale that takes draft position into consideration?
I ask because your, IMO, your numbers are high. I've reviewed many drafts and I don't think there is a 76% success rate in the first 5 picks, let alone the entire first round. To get that high a number, "success" must be defined as, "anyone who can play a lick." Mark Sanchez is showing some spunk with Philly, is he a success? How about Jerry Hughes? Or does it need to be a complete bust like Vernon Gholston to be considered a failure?
But, again, I agree with your overall point, I'm just interested in where your numbers come from.