venecol
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So you think the Under?Running = long drives = game ends faster. I don't expect the Lions will score as much as they have been this season, regardless of who wins.
At the same time the DET D sucks ass, and despite the Pats O being anemic, DET could allow >25 pts. even with Zappe.
Lions faced: Allowed PPG / Score
PHI: 17.8 / 35
WAS: 26.8 / 36
MIN: 20.0 / 24
SEA: 28.8 / 45
AVG: 23.4 / 35
PATS: 24.5 / (36?)
DET averages 11.6 ppg more than opponent allows. Their O is pretty balanced with 7 rushing TDs and 11 passing TDs.
Pats faced: Allowed PPG / Score
MIA: 22.8 / 7
PIT: 22.5 / 17
BAL: 25.0 / 26
GB: 17.3 / 17
AVG: 21.9 / 16.8
DET: 35.3 / (30??)
NEP averages 5.1 ppg less than opponent allows. We have 5 rushing TDs and 3 passing TDs.
I think Pats win this by <3 pts (DET only team 4-0 ATS) mainly because Belichick >> Campbell. Although curiously, Campbell is 1-0 against Bill.