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Who will win tonight, Eagles or Packers? Our writers make their predictions.
https://nypost.com/2019/09/26/eagles-vs-packers-green-bay-wont-run-away-with-this-one/
The Packers are 3-0 and the Eagles are 1-2, but the Packers aren’t that good and the Eagles aren’t that bad.
Aaron Rodgers still is feeling his way in Matt LaFleur’s offense, and other than Davante Adams, he doesn’t have a particularly good group of people to throw the ball to.
What the Packers do have is an excellent defense. Mike Pettine’s defensive back-heavy packages give quarterbacks headaches when they have a full week to prepare. Carson Wentz pretty much had a couple of days of film study and walkthroughs.
Pettine wants to get offenses in third-and-medium or third-and-long, and then sic his pass-rushing dogs on you. The Eagles haven’t been very good at staying out of third-and-mediums and third-and-longs.
Thirty of their 48 third-down situations have been six yards or more. Only Arizona has more (31). But the Packers haven’t been very good against the run, and I think the Eagles are going to be able to run the ball on them. Which might keep them out of a lot of those third-and-longs.
This is going to be a low-scoring game. It’s going to be a game that could turn on field position, which is why I have the punters as one of the three key matchups.
Prediction: Eagles 16, Packers 13
Aaron Rodgers still is feeling his way in Matt LaFleur’s offense, and other than Davante Adams, he doesn’t have a particularly good group of people to throw the ball to.
What the Packers do have is an excellent defense. Mike Pettine’s defensive back-heavy packages give quarterbacks headaches when they have a full week to prepare. Carson Wentz pretty much had a couple of days of film study and walkthroughs.
Pettine wants to get offenses in third-and-medium or third-and-long, and then sic his pass-rushing dogs on you. The Eagles haven’t been very good at staying out of third-and-mediums and third-and-longs.
Thirty of their 48 third-down situations have been six yards or more. Only Arizona has more (31). But the Packers haven’t been very good against the run, and I think the Eagles are going to be able to run the ball on them. Which might keep them out of a lot of those third-and-longs.
This is going to be a low-scoring game. It’s going to be a game that could turn on field position, which is why I have the punters as one of the three key matchups.
Prediction: Eagles 16, Packers 13
https://nypost.com/2019/09/26/eagles-vs-packers-green-bay-wont-run-away-with-this-one/
Despite their relative woes, Wentz and the Eagles’ offense are still averaging 25.3 points per game (the Packers average just 19.3) and their losses to the Falcons and Lions both could have been wins (though admittedly they were lucky to escape with a come-from-behind victory over the Redskins in the season opener). Still, I still have the Eagles rated as the better team and there’s definite value in getting more than a field goal.
Granted, the Packers are off to a great start (3-0 SU & ATS) and they were four-point favorites at most sportsbooks as of Wednesday afternoon after getting bet at high as -5¹/₂ in Las Vegas on Monday. But I’m ready to fade them because they’re not as good as their record indicates. I’m especially not buying the narrative that they have a dominant defense (allowing an NFL-best 11.7 points per game) as they benefited from catching the Bears before their offense got in sync, and the Vikings would have scored more and beaten them if not for Kirk Cousins’ unforced errors.
While “The Play” here is Eagles +4, I also like Over 46. Both offenses should have success and this total is shaded a little low as Unders are 8-2 thus far in NFL primetime games this season (and I’m willing to fade that trend as well).
The play: Eagles, +4.
Granted, the Packers are off to a great start (3-0 SU & ATS) and they were four-point favorites at most sportsbooks as of Wednesday afternoon after getting bet at high as -5¹/₂ in Las Vegas on Monday. But I’m ready to fade them because they’re not as good as their record indicates. I’m especially not buying the narrative that they have a dominant defense (allowing an NFL-best 11.7 points per game) as they benefited from catching the Bears before their offense got in sync, and the Vikings would have scored more and beaten them if not for Kirk Cousins’ unforced errors.
While “The Play” here is Eagles +4, I also like Over 46. Both offenses should have success and this total is shaded a little low as Unders are 8-2 thus far in NFL primetime games this season (and I’m willing to fade that trend as well).
The play: Eagles, +4.
...go Kakapoos? LOL
