Ring 6
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Let me tell you were I agree and disagree.
No one admitted anyone did it? Sure.
Text messages are the only sources of evidence? Again depends how you use evidence. The text messages are the only physical evidence IMO as I found the football highly inconclusive.
There is nothing else? Well depends if you count suspicious behavior and uncooperativeness
Then you go into guilty and prove... that is court of law standards. Not the ones the NFL uses. Going by court of law of course this has no legs.
Then you talk about if the balls were under lock and key and no one on the Patriots had access you'd have the same evidence. No. Then you could prove the Patriots could not get to the footballs making everything else completely meaningless. The Patriots had opportunity which without it makes everything else fall apart. If McNally did not go into the bathroom and provided no window to do anything the case is gone cause it can be illustrated nothing could have happen.
Opportunity does not equal guilt.
For the text messages to be evidence they would have to be evident of balls being deflated that day. They are not. There is not a single text that is clear. The text create a suspicion but that is not evidence. The texts, AS SUPPORTING DATA to real evidence would have value. You simply cannot find someone guilty under any standard because they wrote a text that requires interpretation and you choose to make up an interpretation that has no basis. The interpretation has become the evidence and that would be thrown out of any court with any standard of rules of evidence.
Just because the league adopted a preponderence of evidence standard doesn't mean they can define what evidence is.
Lets take it a step further. The Patriots accuse Peyton Manning of gambling on football games. They accuse him of throwing the SB vs Seattle. His poor play indicates suspicion. If you go through his phone, and the phones of all Bronco employees and find chatter that sounds like betting, you cannot interpret that chatter to mean he bet on the game unless it really says that. Would you ban Manning for life based on that type of evidence? Because that's what the penalty would be.