Half of the time of possession equation is the defense.
On 6 of the Bills 8 drives they gained 1 or fewer first downs. The defense wasnt 'lucky' to have top advantage, they contributed to it by getting off the field.
Just adding to your points:
--TOP--STRT--PL-YD-1ST-END--RESULT
1 01:19 BUF40 03 03 00 BUF38 Punt
2 03:17 BUF32 06 69 04 *NE11 Touchdown
3 02:47 BUF27 05 17 01 BUF44 Punt
4 02:44 BUF20 05 22 01 BUF37 Punt
5 02:09 BUF21 04 27 02 BUF48 Punt
6 03:25 BUF36 07 42 01 NE22 Field Goal
7 06:11 BUF38 14 57 06 *NE10 Touchdown
8 00:50 BUF21 05 35 02 BUF 30 End of Game
Drive 1 and 8 were great, which is nice since you certainly want to start and end the game strong.
Drives 3 and 4 resulted in a single 1st down, keeping the Bills in favorable down/distance (3rd and 5, 3rd and 10), reasonable pressure and nice coverage on 3rd down. Not perfect, but not too much to complain about.
Drive 5 was OK but had the potential to be a great series. Bills had 1st and 20 at their 11 when Wilfork pressure forced an incompletion. So 2nd and 20 backed up near their goal line...exactly the type of situation where Edwards self-destructs. Bogus flag on Wilfork (near universal agreement on that) and the Bills get bailed out. A screen play gets them some good yardage but Pats stop them on 3rd and 3 with good pressure. Outside of the screen pass and killer penalty, this was a fine effort by the defense.
So the only real complaints would be on the other 3 drives. Let's look at each:
--TOP--STRT--PL-YD-1ST-END--RESULT
2 03:17 BUF32 06 69 04 *NE11 Touchdown
-Missed FG gave the Bills reasonable starting position
-Good pressure on Edwards, but able to escape for 16 yds
-Nice counter run with excellent block by TE Nelson gains another 16 yds
-Screen pass right after Mayo injury gains 21 yds
-Same look as counter run above, but this time Nelson slips out for a TD catch
The counter run was just good blocking and execution by the Bills. ILBs got trapped inside and Nelson sealed off the OLB opening a nice hole. Mayo gets injured on that play and Pats don't respond well after. This drive was solid execution by Bills and unfortunate injury for Pats. QB pressure not an issue for this series.
--TOP--STRT--PL-YD-1ST-END--RESULT
6 03:25 BUF36 07 42 01 NE22 Field Goal
- Missed 4th down conversion gives Bills good starting position.
- Edwards converts 3rd and 1 with nice rollout and short pass to a wide open Owens
- Tackle for loss by Meriweather
- Sack by TBC
- Bills get good yards on 3rd and forever on short TE pass, but settle for FG
Nice play call on 3rd and short to finally get Owens involved, but Pats should have had better coverage responsibilities. Would have also liked a more aggressive play call to keep the Bills in long FG range, but the defense held. QB pressure not an issue for this series.
--TOP--STRT--PL-YD-1ST-END--RESULT
7 06:11 BUF38 14 57 06 *NE10 Touchdown
- Bills get good field position on kickoff fumble and recovery
- Convert 3rd and 15 on a screen pass
- Convert 2nd and 8 on a draw
- Convert 3rd and 3 on an off-tackle run
- Convert 3rd and 8 on a QB scramble after good pressure
- TD on a screen pass
Absolute disaster of a series for the Pats. I don't agree with the AD roughing call but it was far more reasonable than the earlier Wilfork one. Lots of missed opportunities to get off the field, but this drive had good QB pressure (including the AD sack). Just didn't defend the screen or come up big on some key rushes.
So can anyone tell where they see a systematic problem with the defense? Absolutely had a serious problem with screen passes, but all after the Mayo injury. Not an excuse, but hard to adjust when losing your key defender on these type of plays. There was some good execution by the Bills and the Pats D coming up small in the next to last drive, but I don't see how that is an indictment of the players or scheme.
And anyone complaining about lack of pressure being an issue in this game needs to give me an example. Just didn't see that live or in retrospect.
This doesn't mean I believe the Pats D is perfect or even where it needs to be, particularly with the Mayo injury. But there is a huge gray area between perfect and disaster. Based on the Bills game, the Pats D is squarely in the "solid but needs work" territory. Sorry if I chose to save my panic for H1N1 or my teenage daughter learning to drive.