TomBrady'sGoat
2nd Team Getting Their First Start
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So I came up with this while browsing Jets Insider. I posted my thoughts, but not a single person responded. They instead only responded to their resident Pats troll, calling him names and blaming him for dragging down their site. The irony was not lost on me.
Well, since those Jets fans were useless I turn to my PatsFans brethren:
In a previous thread I predicted the Jets to fall to 7-9 while Miami rises to 9-7. After looking up these stats I found some basis for my earlier prediction.
What does everyone think? Are the Jets any different, or will they suffer the same fall? Will Miami jump back up to playoff contention? Is NE pretty much guaranteed the division title? Would 3rd place be a successful season for buffalo (I say yes)?
Well, since those Jets fans were useless I turn to my PatsFans brethren:
Why were the 2006 Jets necessarily a prelude to a juggernaut? How are they different from other recent AFC East teams that had a great year?
I'm looking at NFL.com's standings here: http://www.nfl.com/standings They have easily browsed standings back to 2001. We'll jump to 2003, because the trend start there.
In '03 NE dominates at 14-2, Miami is strong at 10-6 and the other two have poor 6-10 seasons.
In '04 Miami plummets to 4-12. That's a big drop-off by the second place team. Of note is the Jets improving to 10-6 and the playoffs.
in '05 The Jets (let's use the word again since it fits) plummet to 4-12. Miami jumps back up to 9-7.
Then last year, we all know happens. Miami falls to 6-10 while the Jets jump ahead to 10-6.
So the last 3 years the second place team from the previous year fell down to last place. In each of those years the last place team jumped to second (the Jets making the playoffs twice). NE has held the top spot, while the Bills have languished in 3rd watching it happen.
So what makes the '07 Jets necessarily different? The schedule is tougher and teams are gunning for you as a playoff team. Yes the Jets have a great young coach, but didn't the '06 Dolphins have one of those (you can't just discount Saban, because 1 year ago today he was viewed as a great newcomer coach and for all we know Mangini can fall apart too)?
Please let me know if there is something I'm missing here. A trend like this is far from a rule, and in no way guarantees a regression by the Jets. I guess my point is that it provides ample evidence that just because the Jets took 2nd place last year doesn't necessarily mean they're destined for #1.
In a previous thread I predicted the Jets to fall to 7-9 while Miami rises to 9-7. After looking up these stats I found some basis for my earlier prediction.
What does everyone think? Are the Jets any different, or will they suffer the same fall? Will Miami jump back up to playoff contention? Is NE pretty much guaranteed the division title? Would 3rd place be a successful season for buffalo (I say yes)?