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The 2013 Prospect Thread


FWIW. Just based on their comments from this 1 game, John Jenkins sounds like the most intriguing guy to me. A space eater who chews up double teams with good hustle, footwork and athleticism. They aren't nearly as high on Baccari Rambo as ZoisKing, to put it mildly. Cornelius Washington sounds more to BB's taste than Jarvis Jones, but neither really fits with the current approach.

Good synopsis. I love the way tape they took time to break down their individual plays instead of blanket commenting.

Rambo is an incredible talent, but they've got him pegged on his negatives. I offered some comments in a previous post about how Rambo flashed big play ability-both positive and negative. I believe it was the game he allowed two touchdowns on his assignments, but he also had two picks.

I'm liking the idea of Jenkins a lot right now. Hopefully he'll continue to show well, and get overlooked.
 
Updated DE rankings from Walter Football:

WalterFootball.com: 2013 NFL Draft: Defensive End Rankings

Right now there are about 10+ guys who could go in the top 2 rounds (not including Jarvis Jones, who is listed under OLBs):

- Sam Montgomery*
- Barkevious Mingo*
- Jackson Jeffcoat*
- William Gholston
- Margus Hunt
- Devin Taylor
- Corey Lemonier*
- John Simon
- Alex Okafor
- Brandon Jenkins
- Bjoern Werner
 
NFL Mocks profile on UCLA TE Joseph Fauria, nephew of former Pat Christian Fauria:

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Positives:

+Incredible size at 6’8, 252lbs
+Amazing athleticism for his size
+Incredible coordination
+Doesn’t drop passes
+Can really jump
+Can make catches in traffic
+Decent stats
+Excellent strength
+Lots of potential

Negatives:

-Underachiever as a blocker
-Notre Dame transfer with mysterious character issues
-Incredibly raw
-Poor route runner
-Played an unusual role in an unusual offense
-Traps passes against his frame
-Horrible blocking fundamentals

Immediately, when I saw UCLA senior tight end Joseph Fauria, the name that kept spinning through my mind was Jimmy Graham. But that actually might mean that Fauria is an overrated prospect, in spite of the fact that he is loaded with potential, like Graham was, out of college.

Fauria has excellent measurables. He is freakishly big at 6’8, 252lbs (he could pass for 6’10 on film), and he has excellent speed for his size. He only runs an average 40 (4.82), but he looks much faster on film. However, thanks to that height, 252lbs isn’t that big, and he could definitely afford to as some bulk. Physically, Fauria is very similar to Jimmy Graham.

Fauria has decent stats. In 2011, his first season as a starter, Fauria had 39 catches for 481 yards while maintaining an decent 12.3 yards per catch. He really came on toward the end of the season, getting at least 36 yards in each of the final 5 games. He also had 6 receiving touchdowns.

There are some character issues surrounding Fauria. Under the advice of a Buffalo Bills scout, I’ve decided I’m going to avoid forming opinions on a player’s character, simply because I really can’t comment on a players character without meeting him or his coaches. However, Fauria had to transfer from Notre Dame to UCLA for downright mysterious reasons. Fauria claims he was suspended for a semester for something minor (“you’d laugh if you knew [what it was]“), and he left Notre Dame afterwards. Beyond the strange circumstances surrounding the Notre Dame exit, he also doesn’t dominate as a blocker as much as you would think he would. It’s not that he doesn’t care about football: he almost seems scared of blocking, and he doesn’t block with a mean streak. I really don’t want to question his toughness, but I’d like to see more a mean streak from him as a run blocker.

Fauria is a good receiver. Maybe his biggest issue is that he plays in a strange offense that might not translate to yardage in the NFL. UCLA uses the pistol, typically with 1 back and 2 tight ends on opposite sides of each other. Neither tight end lines up on the line of scrimmage, so Fauria often gets yards running crossing routes in that are actually in his own backfield. Seriously. Fauria runs crossing routes behind the line of scrimmage in UCLA’s offense. It works pretty well for him, but he won’t be running routes anything like that in the NFL. Fauria also isn’t a great route runner, thanks to poor fundamentals and tight hips. On the other hand, Fauria has excellent hands and is impossible to beat on a jump ball. He seems to catch everything he touches (though he will trap passes against his frame), his speed makes him tough to cover, and his combination of height, long arms, and leaping ability makes him a nightmare for defenses on jump balls, especially in the red zone. He also is a major threat after the catch, often doing ridiculous hurdles over smaller defenders and using his power to run over defensive backs.

Fauria is a really poor blocker, namely because of terrible fundamentals. He has never had forward momentum going into a block in his life. He plays on his heels, and his typical stance is horrible unbalanced. A majority of his body weight is behind him, so it is simply easy to just push him down. He absolutely needs to try to learn how to get the slightest bit of forward momentum into his blocks, or defenders that are way smaller than he is will continue to run him over on a regular basis. When he is blocking, he looks like he is sitting down on an imaginary chair; almost all of his body weight is behind is feet and it is very easy for a defender to simply tip him over. He needs to bend at the waist and keep more of his body momentum going forward. Right now, Fauria is a terrible blocker.

As mentioned before, I said Fauria seems very similar to Jimmy Graham. I truly think that, in college, they are identical players. Like Fauria, Graham was physically gifted, but incredibly raw (especially as a blocker) coming out of college. Graham was loaded with physical ability but didn’t know how to play football. Same with Fauria. But here’s the difference: Graham had an excuse for being raw out of college. He only spent one season on Miami’s football team. He spent most of his time at Miami as a forward on the basketball team. He was on the team from 2005-2009. 2010 was the only season in which he played football. It was the first time Graham had played football in 5 years. It shouldn’t come as a surprise that his fundamentals were terrible. It had been years since he played football. Graham has since improved his fundamentals and turned into one of the best tight ends in the NFL. But why are Fauria’s fundamentals so poor? I don’t know. He has no excuse. He’s been playing football nonstop for years. Either he struggles with coaching, or he struggles to change the poor fundamentals that have been a part of his game for most of his career. Again, in college, Fauria and Graham were very similar. But it might be tougher for Fauria to improve on his mistakes.

NFL Comparison: Jimmy Graham. But that might not be a good thing
Grade: 77 (worthy of an early 3rd round pick)
Projection: 86 (will be a mid second round pick)

Joseph Fauria- 2013 NFL Draft Scouting Report - NFL Mocks - 2013 NFL Mock Draft, Fantasy Football, NFL News, and NFL Mock Draft Databases
 
One intriguing guy that we haven't discussed yet is Oregon DE Dion Jordan. He's a former WR who was converted to TE and then to DE. Jordan stands 6'6"+ with an 84" wingspan but weights only 246# and looks like a stringbean:

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Jordan had 13 TFL and 7.5 sacks last year. While his frame may never allow Jordan to be an edge setter, he reportedly has pretty decent functional strength:

Not only is Jordan 6-7, his arms are so long he can almost touch a basketball rim without leaving his feet. He looks too spindly to be a defensive end.

“Don’t let the skinniness fool you,” linebacker Michael Clay says. “He is a strong guy. It’s hard to get into him because he has a seven-foot wingspan. When he was a tight end, I remember one play, he put me down. That was the strongest punch ever.”

Even more than size, athleticism and strength, effort sets Jordan apart.

Aliotti isn’t sure he’s ever seen take him take a play off, even in practice There is no quality UO defensive line coach Jerry Azzinaro prizes more.
“All that other stuff, you can teach,” Azzinaro says. “It’s hard to teach guys to play hard.”

Oregon defensive end Dion Jordan's story ranges from near tragedy to triumph | OregonLive.com

The other interesting thing about Jordan is that he received 40% burns over his body in 2007 during a stupid "accident" trying to siphon gas from one car to another, as detailed in the article above. While he doesn't exactly receive mensa points for such a dumb move, he made an amazing recovery, which is a testimony to his perseverance and drive.

I'm not sure Jordan would be able to bulk up enough to play DE for the Pats. But his length, long arms, intangibles and ability to play in space are interesting.

Then again, he could be another Shawn Crable. (shudder)
 
More on Dion Jordan from ESPN:

Ducks' Jordan aims to carve out own name - Pac-12 Blog - ESPN

He sounds like a mature and well-grounded kid with a team-first approach. In fact, he sounds like a lot of Patriot players:

"First, I've got to finish up school, graduate and become a better leader for my teammates on the field," said Jordan, who totaled 13 tackles for a loss last year.

"I can definitely add more weight, but my real goal is to get stronger," he said. "Last year I played at about 240, but if I gain too much, I won't be as effective with my feet. I gotta get stronger. More time in the weight room, take care of my body and stay healthy. That's all that matters right now."

"When the season starts, everyone has the same record," Jordan said. "You really can't buy into the hype. All you can do is prepare and come out ready to play. Coach [Chip] Kelly makes sure we're prepared every week to compete against anybody we play. And we feel like if we prepare good enough, we can compete with anybody in the nation."

"It's not about one or two guys standing out," Jordan said. "I honestly think we all do a good job complementing each other in our own way. We work hard. If you look at previous games, not everybody is going to play their best game every week. We do a good job picking each other up."
 
Sleeper alert! Interesting profile from NFL Mocks on Vanderbilt RB Zac Stacy:

Positives:

+Stats- 1193 yards and a 5.9 yards per carry against SEC competition
+Power
+More power
+Truly unnatural power for size
+Toughness
+Yards after contact
+Passing game (mostly as a blocker)
+Vision
+Endurance
+Accelerates quickly

Negatives:

-Tiny at 5’9, 208lbs
-Speed and agility are only average
-Some injury issues in the past
-Mediocre outside runner
I’ve been scouting for 4 years now. In my first year of scouting, I said that Antonio Brown was the most underrated prospect of the draft. Over the next 3 years, I saw a lot of underrated prospects that I really liked (K.J. Wright, Terrell Manning, Torrey Smith), but none of them compared to Brown. But, in 2013, I may have found a prospect more underrated than Brown was a few years ago. Before I talk about him, I’d like to lead in with this trivia question:

In 2011, who led the SEC with a 5.94 yards per carry, among all running backs who had 15 carries per game or more? Would you have ever guessed Vanderbilt running back Zac Stacy?

Think about what Stacy did last year. He played on a crappy offense. He had no supporting cast whatsoever. He played the toughest teams in the nation. You could actually make a pretty good case that Vanderbilt had the strongest schedule in college football during the regular season (did Trent Richardson ever have to face that menacing Alabama defense?). Yet, somehow, in spite of a horrible supporting cast and incredibly tough competition, Zac Stacy managed to get 1193 rushing yards on 201 carries last season. Truly amazing. But, right now, he isn’t expected to be drafted in 2013, according to most NFL draft websites.

Stacy doesn’t have great measurables. He is only 5’9, but he has respectable bulk for a short running back at 208lbs. He also has respectable, albeit unspectacular speed for a guy his size with a 4.49 40 yard dash. Stacy has average athleticism. He has mediocre top speed, but he seems to reach top speed pretty quickly, which helps him as an inside runner. He isn’t incredibly shifty, but his above average change of direction skills combined with his fantastic vision makes him very dangerous when reversing his field and on halfback cutbacks.

Stacy probably has the best vision of any back in this year’s draft class. Not only does he seem to have a knack for finding the hole, but he seems to have an uncanny instinct that tells him how long it will be until a certain a hole plugs up. Stacy has an uncanny knack for not only finding a hole, but knowing where holes are bound to develop. His vision is truly fantastic.
Stacy has absolutely ridiculous power. I would seriously say that he packs roughly as much power as Trent Richardson does into his tiny, 5’9, 208lbs pound frame. I know, it sounds ridiculous. But I have never, ever seen such a small, powerful running back in my entire life.

What’s also pretty fun about Stacy is his absolutely fearless running style. Stacy by no means plays with a chip on his shoulder. It would be more accurate to say that Stacy plays with a block on his shoulder. Most undersized backs rely on quickness and agility to get yards. They try to evade defenders, not run over them. Stacy is pretty much the one exception. I don’t think he has ever juked anybody out in his entire life. The fearless running style is fun to watch, but I have a feeling it is going to do him harm down the road. 2011 was the first healthy season in his career. He had a head injury in 2010 and ankle problems in 2009. His fearless running style, combined with his lack of size, is an excellent recipe for injury issues. He’s had them in the past, and I fully expect him to have them in the future.

Stacy is an extremely valuable asset on pass plays. He is good at catching the ball, but his best asset on pass plays is easily his blocking. Again, Stacy plays like he is 230lbs. In spite of his lack of size, he has phenomenal strength and has proven time and time again to be a great pass blocker. More than anything, I’m not sure if I have ever seen a running back so good at picking up the blitz. He reads defenses and diagnoses blitzes like a quarterback. Seriously. His ability to read blitzes and his strength as a pass blocker is huge for Vanderbilt quarterback Jordan Rodgers, who has no pocket presence or awareness whatsoever. Stacy might be the best pass blocking back in college football.

NFL Comparison: Frank Gore. There are not a lot of good comparisons here. Stacy has more power than Gore, but Gore might be a bit quicker.
Grade: 90 (deserves to be a late first round to early second round pick)
Projection: 42 (will be a late 6th round pick)

http://nflmocks.com/2012/05/12/zac-stacy-2012-nfl-draft-scouting-report/

Here's a couple of Youtube clips of Stacy:

Zac Stacy carries Kentucky defense into end zone - YouTube
Zac Stacy RB Vanderbilt, Hidden Gems-Vol IV.mov - YouTube

Worth keeping an eye on.
 
A few comments...

1 ~ As soon as I saw the Format of what you were quoting, I knew who the Author was.

2 ~ The Author is the only Author at NFL Mocks that I consider worth quoting.

3 ~ His name is MacKenzie Pantoja.

4 ~ He is 15 years old.

5 ~ I'm not saying he's some Prodigy ~ I'm only saying that his Perspective ~ despite the lack of Perspective you'd expect ~ is bold, refreshing, and valuable...Most importantly: It's Original, and completely unencumbered by the regurgitated SLOP that most OnLine Posters ~ and about 99% of the alleged "Gurus" ~ recycle!! :eek:

 
I was well aware of who the author was and his age ... but I was wondering when someone would point that out.

First, my personal approach right now is to beat the bushes, so it doesn't matter how credible the source is. It's just a way of identifying guys to follow/watch in more detail.

With that in mind, I agree with you. Pantoja may be 15 but he is original and he does his homework. Pantoja did some video discussions before the last draft, and they were quite insightful.

A few comments...

1 ~ As soon as I saw the Format of what you were quoting, I knew who the Author was.

2 ~ The Author is the only Author at NFL Mocks that I consider worth quoting.

3 ~ His name is MacKenzie Pantoja.

4 ~ He is 15 years old.

5 ~ I'm not saying he's some Prodigy ~ I'm only saying that his Perspective ~ despite the lack of Perspective you'd expect ~ is bold, refreshing, and valuable...Most importantly: It's Original, and completely unencumbered by the regurgitated SLOP that most OnLine Posters ~ and about 99% of the alleged "Gurus" ~ recycle!! :eek:
 
A few comments...

1 ~ As soon as I saw the Format of what you were quoting, I knew who the Author was.

2 ~ The Author is the only Author at NFL Mocks that I consider worth quoting.

3 ~ His name is MacKenzie Pantoja.

4 ~ He is 15 years old.

5 ~ I'm not saying he's some Prodigy ~ I'm only saying that his Perspective ~ despite the lack of Perspective you'd expect ~ is bold, refreshing, and valuable...Most importantly: It's Original, and completely unencumbered by the regurgitated SLOP that most OnLine Posters ~ and about 99% of the alleged "Gurus" ~ recycle!! :eek:

I was well aware of who the author was and his age ... but I was wondering when someone would point that out.

First, my personal approach right now is to beat the bushes, so it doesn't matter how credible the source is. It's just a way of identifying guys to follow/watch in more detail.

With that in mind, I agree with you. Pantoja may be 15 but he is original and he does his homework. Pantoja did some video discussions before the last draft, and they were quite insightful.

Sure, I assumed that YOU knew who he was.

I know you do your homework.
 
Walter Football's Charlie Campbell profiles Purdue DT Kawann Short:

Career Recap: Short is the latest in a line of quality Purdue defensive prospects. He broke out across the Big Ten with a nice debut in 2009. Short was a freshman All American as he recorded 48 tackles and four tackles for a loss. He then had an impressive sophomore season. Playing off superstar defensive end Ryan Kerrigan, Short had 41 tackles, six sacks and 12.5 tackles for a loss.

As a junior, Short started the season slow without Kerrigan next to him, but was excellent, particularly in a three-sack game against Ohio State. Short totaled 54 tackles with 17 tackles for a loss, 6.5 sacks and one forced fumble in 2011. For the second straight season, Short was a second-team Big Ten performer. Many of the other first- and second-teamers have moved on to the NFL, making Short one of the best returning defensive linemen to the conference in 2012.

2012 Season Outlook: Short is Purdue's best player, so he will see plenty of extra blocking attention. Short led the Boilermakers in sacks in 2011, as no other defensive linemen even recorded four sacks. Unless Purdue has a breakout performer next to Short, it could be hard for him to add to his sack totals. If he just stays consistent in the 5-6 sack range, that will be a real accomplishment. Short has special strength and speed to cause disruption at the point of attack, so even if his numbers are down slightly, he should produce good tapes for NFL evaluators.

Skill-Set Summary: Short has a nice combination of quickness and strength. He is strong at the point of attack and is a stout run defender. Offensive linemen can't push Short around, as he holds his ground. Off the snap of the ball, Short has impressive initial quickness to fire into his gap. He is capable of beating guards with his quickness and commands extra blocking attention on the interior of the line. He has natural pad level and leverage with his height, so NFL teams won't have to worry about him playing too high. If Short had a quality end next to him, they could provide a tough combo pass rush from the inside and outside.

2013 Draft Expectations: Entering his senior season, Short looks like a first- or second-round pick. He has one big thing going for him, and that is his interior pass-rushing skills. It is hard for NFL teams to find good pass-rushers from the defensive tackle position. Constantly, 4-3 defenses are in dire need of a interior pass rushers. Short would be a good fit as a three-technique pass-rusher in a 4-3 scheme like a Tampa 2. Even though he hasn't been a superstar, Short's consistency in terms of getting to the quarterback could easily push him well into the first round.

Short could possibly be a five-technique in a 3-4 defense, but that doesn't look like a natural fit. There are plenty of 4-3 teams that will need tackle help, so if Short stays consistent, he has a good shot to be a first-rounder and shouldn't be any worse than a second-round pick.

WalterFootball.com: 2013 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Kawann Short

Short is intriguing because he combines the quickness of a penetrating DT with the size and strength of a space eater. He will either be a prospect of interest for the Pats in 2013, or he will push one of the other DTs down. Either way it's a win.
 
Updated DT rankings from Walter Football:

WalterFootball.com: 2013 NFL Draft Scouting Report: Kawann Short

The top 2 guys are automatic. But #3 and 5-7 are the most interesting guys for me. And I'd be very happy to see some UTs like Bennie Logan Sharrif Floyd and Cassius Marsh rise up push some of the wide bodies down.
 
Nice writeup on Ohio St. DE John Simon, who has reportedly taken his game to "another level":

This one doesn’t even seem right considering Simon was one of the top—if not the top—players on Ohio State’s defense a year ago. He had a starting position locked up before he ever stepped foot on the practice field this spring, but Simon has taken his game to another level since the Gator Bowl.
He has always been a dedicated worker and ultimate football junky, but Simon had his new head coach gushing all over the place this spring. Meyer even dropped the term “Tebow-ish” when talking about Simon, and it appears the senior from Youngstown could be on the verge of taking his game from good to great this fall.

Ohio State Buckeyes P.M. links: Defensive end John Simon could be great this fall; new depth chart | cleveland.com

I could see Simon emerging as this year's version of Melvin Ingram. Simon isn't as fluid as Ingram, but he's much stronger.
 
Here's a scouting report on Mellette from 15-year old draftnik Mackenzie Pantoja:

Positives:

+Size (both height and bulk)
+Size to speed ratio
+Catches everything
+Can create yards after the catch
+Amazing stats
+Pretty good route runner

Negatives:

- Low level competition
- Leaping ability
- Low effort run blocker
- Mediocre quickness and change of direction skills

I’ve been scouting for 4 years now. This year, for the first time ever, I’m scouting an FCS player that has a legitimate shot at being a first round pick in the 2013 NFL draft: Elon wide receiver Aaron Mellette. Mellette’s production, combined with the fact that the senior wide receivers in this class are terrible, means that there is a legitimate chance that an FCS player finds his way into the first round for the first time since 2008.

Aaron Mellette has solid physical tools. He has above average height at 6’3, above average bulk at 214lbs, and solid speed for size with a 4.53 40 yard dash.

Aaron Mellette has excellent stats, even for an FCS prospect. He led the FCS in receiving yards with 1,639 in 2011, and he managed to get all those yards in just 11 games. 149.0 yards per game is phenomenal, easily the most in the FCS (second highest was 134.5). He had 113 receptions with an above average 14.50 yards per catch, to go along with 12 touchdowns. He also had 1,100 receiving yards as a sophomore in 2010. He also proved he could get yards against FBS competition this year, as he managed to get 11 catches for 180 yards against Vanderbilt.

Aaron Mellette has truly phenomenal hands. I’ll be honest. I’ve always seen him play once (against Vanderbilt). I normally don’t feel comfortable writing a scouting report on a guy that I haven’t seen at least 2 or 3 times, but I realize I need to bite that bullet when scouting an FCS prospect. It’s not easy for me to get film on Mellette. But, in that Vanderbilt game, he showed that his hands are the best aspect of his game. Truly fantastic. He caught everything he touched in that game, he didn’t trap any passes against his frame, and he made one ridiculous one handed touchdown catch that got Elon within 7 in the third quarter. He isn’t much of a leaper, but he is still pretty good with the ball in the air, thanks to tremendous concentration and coordination. There was one catch in that game, in the second quarter, where Mellette went over the back of future NFL draft pick Casey Hayward and made a 27 yard catch while Hayward was flagged for pass interference. Hayward simply laughed in disbelief. His hands are among the best of any player in this year’s draft class.

Something that Mellette doesn’t get enough credit for is his ability to create yards after the catch. Something that I couldn’t help but notice is that he made at least 4 catches on hitch routes in that game, and his fundamentals for creating yards after the catch were amazing. Mellette seems to have an uncanny knack for knowing where the defender is, and always spinning in the correct direction (with the occasional head fake). It’s extremely well executed, and the hitch is his best route simply because he naturally knows how to get yards after the catch when running it. He has very good vision, and surprising shiftiness for a guy his size. Unlike most big receivers, Mellette is very good at getting yards after the catch.

Mellette is an excellent route runner. Big wide receivers don’t appear to usually be good route runners on film, simply because guys with longer strides and lots of height tend to have tight hips and lack quickness in and out of cuts. As expected, Mellette doesn’t have the short area quickness as say, Mike Wallace, but he does a pretty good job with what he has. He uses very good head fakes in his routes, and corners never seem ready for his cuts, which almost certainly means his eyes don’t really tell the corner where his route is going, which often makes him tough cover, and it makes him a great possession receiver.

Mellette’s biggest flaw is that he doesn’t seem to be much of a run blocker. I can’t help but say that I was disappointed in his effort as a run blocker. He either really needs to add strength, or he is going to have to learn to put more effort on run plays. I frequently saw him putting more effort into watching run plays rather than blocking, and he also doesn’t see to put much effort into blocking when his quarterback scrambles. I’m not going to flat out say that he has character issues, but he was a pretty disappointing run blocker last year, especially for such a big wide receiver.

Ultimately, I really have liked what I have seen from Mellette. His route running and his ability to create yards after the catch makes me think that he is a great fit in a west coast offense. His blocking leaves something to be desired, and people will always question if he’ll be good against big competition, but, based on what I saw against Vanderbilt, I think he’ll be fine.

NFL Comparison: Small school Chad Ochocinco. Lots of resemblance. Great in a west coast offense, awesome hands, good size. Ochocinco might be a bit more athletic, namely in terms of jumping.

Grade: 93 (worthy of a mid-to-late first round pick)

Projection: 89 (will be an early second round to late first round pick)


Aaron Mellette- 2013 NFL Draft Scouting Report - NFL Mocks - 2013 NFL Mock Draft, Fantasy Football, NFL News, and NFL Mock Draft Databases

FWIW.
 
Wes Bunting of the NFP looks at Alabama junior QB AJ McCarron:

QB AJ McCarron: Alabama (6-4, 210)

What I like…


McCarron will stand tall in the pocket.
- Has the pedigree of being a former big time recruit, but has not been babied during his time at Alabama.
- Showcased the ability to play early in the SEC, winning a National Championship as a sophomore.
- Is willing to be grinded on day in and day out by an NFL caliber coaching staff.
- Can take critical feedback.
- Possesses good size for the position and the ball comes out over his ear.
- Holds the football at his chest plate in his drop and doesn’t have a ton of wasted motion in his delivery.
- Possesses solid arm strength, isn’t going the throw the football through a wall, but possesses more than enough arm to make all the throws.
- Showcases above-average touch on all levels of the field.
- Is comfortable taking a bit off throws in the underneath pass game and exhibits “plus” ball placement both inside and outside the numbers allowing his target to run through the pass.
- Showcases the ability to find secondary receivers across the field when going through his progressions.
- Routinely understands where his secondary/ “hot” read will be underneath.
- Works well off play action, snaps his head around quickly and exhibits “plus” touch down the field when asked to drop the ball into tight ears.
- Isn’t afraid to throw the football into coverage, exhibits enough ball placement to put throws where only his target can make a play.
- Balances himself well in his drop from under center, keeps a wide base in his lower half and can transfer his weight well when the ball needs to come out on his back foot in the three and five step game.
- Uses his eyes well to manipulate defenses at times, looks off safeties and stays in balance when coming back across the field with a throw.
- When his feet are set showcases good accuracy and timing in the short/intermediate pass game.
- Has some sneaky athleticism to his game when asked to boot outside the pocket and throw on the move.
- Is a smart kid who has battled through adversity while playing vs. a high level of competition early in his college career. The best is still to come.

What I didn’t like…

- Still doesn’t look completely comfortable with what he sees in the pocket.
- Looks tentative at times to really cut the ball lose, plays not to make mistakes instead of trying to make a play.
- Has a tendency to hold onto the football too long in the pocket waiting for a receivers to uncover.
- Needs to improve his mental clock in the pocket and when the football needs to come out.
- Gets too narrow with his footwork at times and routinely is forced to take a step into throws, even on passes that don’t require it, causing his timing with the receiver to be a step late.
- Doesn’t generate a ton of torque off his back leg because of his upright base at times when standing in the pocket.
- Gets caught bouncing on his toes in the pocket and isn’t always set and ready to deliver the football.
- Will make up his mind pre-snap at times and force throws into coverage.
- Has yet to take that next step as a big time NFL prospect, but showed glimpses of it in the 2012 National Championship game.

The Breakdown…

A lot can be said about the fact that he’s already won a National Championship before his junior year all while handling the tough love of the Alabama coaching staff. Nevertheless, he’s battled the adversity well, showed significant improvement during the 2011 season and has the skill set to make all the throws with zip and accuracy in the NFL.

I still want to see him mature into a more poised pocket passer, trust what he sees and not be afraid to cut the football lose. However, that is something that should take place during the next season or two if he’s willing to put in the work.

And after all he’s faced during his first two years at Alabama, I can see McCarron maturing into a very solid NFL quarterback prospect, better than the likes of former Crimson Tide signal callers Brodie Croyle (3rd round) Greg McElroy (7th round) and John Parker Wilson (undrafted).

Does Alabama have a future stud QB on its hands? | National Football Post

McCarron has some Brady-esque elements to him, at a very early stage, of course.
 
I agree 100%.

The fundamental distinction, as you and I have discussed in the past, is between MASS and CORE STRENGTH. People tend to equate them, but they are entirely different. To succeed at DT you need both, but they need to be balanced. And to have movement skills and quickness as well requires an even more delicate balance.

Ron Brace is a good example of a guy who has more than adequate mass at 6'3" 330# but who lacks core strength, and tends to get pushed around. He's not a pushover because of his mass, but he's never developed the core strength to be dominant. Remember Justin Smith tossing around OLs in the NFCCG last year like they were rag dolls? Smith has much less mass than Brace, but he has phenomenal core strength, and he plays with more functional strength and power than most 3-4 DEs 20-40 lbs. heavier.

Mass IS important, too. There are players with exceptional core strength for their size, but without adequate mass they can't take the pounding and match up with behemoth OLs. Smaller players tend to get worn down by the constant wear and tear of the trenches. Justin Smith couldn't hold up playing DT for a season.

But there is also clearly a point at which additional mass doesn't add much if a player has adequate core strength, and only interferes with movement and agility. And that point is probably somewhere between 325-335 lbs., with very rare exceptions. There will be some variability based on height and frame, of course. Kwame Geathers may be another Ted Washington and play north of 350# effetively, but if so he would be the exceptional. Even huge guys like Terrance Cody have struggled at higher weight in the pros, where they are matched up against linemen with great core strength (it's easier to dominant in the college ranks based on pure size). I think there may be a little more range than you suggest, but I agree that it's very difficult to find guys over 330# who have much in the way of quickness and movement skills. Haloti Ngata dropped from 345#+ to 330# last year, and it clearly showed in his quickness and disruption:

Ravens' Haloti Ngata drops pounds, gains a step | OregonLive.com

However, some people have suggested that Ngata got worn down a bit in 2011 at the lighter weight, and that his play dropped off in the second half of the season as a result. Again, it's a delicate balance. But above 340 lbs. it's probably hard for almost any player to have optimal agility and quickness. Like you, I'm thrilled with the idea of a John Jenkins in the 325-330# range and improved quickness - though I'd prefer that he wait until after the Pats draft him in the 2nd-3rd round to make that change.

While core strength is very important and often overlooked I think leg/hip strength (for lack of a better word) is even more important and overlooked. The core is essentially a link between the upper and lower body, a strong core with a weak lower body isn't going to make for a very effective player.

Also, while mass is an important factor even more important is where that mass is, a lack of mass in the lower body will make it much more difficult to be effective. Take a look at RBs like Earl Campbell and MJD, and look how thick and powerful their legs are, it's no coincidence that they're tough to bring down, having that weight in the lower part of their body gives them a lower center of gravity allowing them to better up end and ultimately overpower someone else. Built upper bodies are cool, they're show but they provide very little when it comes to go, the legs are all about go but not so much for show. One doesnt have to look very far to see chicken legged players with muscular upper bodies, it's very odd to see people intentionally make themselves more top heavy in a game which places a premium on staying on your feet.

Finally, what kind of training are they doing? If Ngata did a lot of aerobics to lose the weight that will ultimately cost him because his on the field work is not aerobic. Training for something different than what you're trying to do will ultimately result in less resources towards your primary activity, that why I'm so happy to hear that Mark Sanchez is putting on muscle this offseason. It's not a lack of bench press strength or inadequate biceps that cause a QB to fail. You go Mark, keep hitting the weight room trying to keep up with Tebow:D

Long story short, for every yin there is a yang, there will be both advantages and disadvantages with Haloti Ngata playing at a certain weight, the key is for him to adapt his play to take advantage of his current state, if he's playing, at 325lbs, in exactly the same manner that he played at 345lbs, he'll probably lose more than he gains in terms of on the field efficiency.
 
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Charlie Campbell of Walter Football profiles USC S TJ McDonald, son of former DB Tim McDonald:

McDonald is a hard hitter and physical defender. He drew a half-game suspension for a hit during USC's triple overtime loss to Stanford. McDonald could have been a late first-round or second-round pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, but decided to return for his senior campaign.

Skill-Set Summary: McDonald has a fantastic and versatile skill set. He has the speed to play free safety and cover a lot of ground in the deep part of the field. He does a good job of picking up receivers running deep and seldom ever gets beat in coverage. He also has good size and strength to play in the tackle box. He is a tough run defender that is adept at operating in the short part of the field.

McDonald looks like an ideal safety for the majority of NFL defenses that like their safeties to be interchangeable. McDonald has the speed to cover tight ends in man-to-man or run with receivers going deep. He also can play in the tackle box. His physical style of play will also appeal to many defensive coaches.

McDonald has received good preparation for the NFL at USC. Defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin uses him in a manner that will be identical for many pro defenses. McDonald also practices against a pro-style West Coast offense. Mentally, he is more advanced than most safeties entering the next level.

2013 Draft Expectations: From a draft perspective, McDonald made a mistake returning for his senior season. The 2012 draft class was very weak at safety, and as a result, McDonald definitely would have been the second-rated safety after Alabama's Mark Barron. McDonald could stay in the same general range of the 2013 NFL Draft if he plays well, but he will have a lot more competition. There is a strong class of safeties combining seniors and juniors. As a result, it wouldn't be that surprising if some have big seasons and leap McDonald in the safety rankings. As long as he has a quality 2012 campaign and stays healthy, he should be a second-round pick at the very worst.

WalterFootball.com: 2013 NFL Draft Scouting Report: T.J. McDonald
 


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