Tag Archives: Week 13

Reactions from LA to Patriots’ 26-10 Victory over Rams

John Morgan
December 5, 2016 at 7:15 am ET

We know the story lines in New England after the Patriots’ 26-10 victory at Gillette Stadium on Sunday. Here are a handful of reactions from the City of Angels and beyond. The Rams lost for the seventh time in their last eight games. For what it is worth it is safe to say that Bill Belichick owns Jeff Fisher. In the last three games between the two head coaches the Hoodie’s squads are 3-0, outscoring Fisher’s clubs by a combined score of 130-17.

News broke earlier that Fisher’s contract has been extended for two years. That perplexing decision is not surprisingly the focus of attention for those dedicated souls that follow the Rams.

 

First, an interesting piece from a forgotten name. Remember the doctor that operated on Tom Brady after his knee was demolished in the 2008 season opener? He was excoriated at the time by some after news of post-operation infections, but it turns out that he and Brady are BFFs.

LA Times: Patriots quarterback Tom Brady’s biggest fan works for the Rams

One of Brady’s best friends and most devoted supporters will be watching from a prime vantage.

The visitors’ sideline.

Neal ElAttrache, team physician for the Rams, helped save Brady’s career. ElAttrache reconstructed the left knee of the future Hall of Famer, who suffered a three-ligament tear in a 2008 season opener.

“At a pretty critical moment in my career, he was someone who was right there by my side,” Brady recently told The Times. “I’m forever grateful to him and his commitment to me, and we’re lifelong friends because of that.”

ElAttrache, who met Brady 15 years ago when a mutual friend introduced them for a golf round at Pebble Beach, remains his personal doctor from 3,000 miles away. He consults from afar with the Patriots medical staff and trainers on garden-variety injuries, and is always prepared if something more serious were to occur.

In an era of heightened scrutiny on the complex interaction among doctors and teams and players, the friendship that has emerged between ElAttrache and Brady extends beyond the sacrosanct physician-patient relationship.

“I think it’s safe to say that I will never root for another person against Tom Brady,” said ElAttrache, who serves as chairman of the Kerlan-Jobe Orthopaedic Foundation and director of medical affairs for the Kerlan-Jobe Institute.

 

SB Nation: Jeff Fisher’s problems are never his fault, and he has a contract extension to prove it
Nobody in the NFL is as good at being bad at their job as Jeff Fisher, but he’s got a million excuses for that

It’s turned out to be a tough season for Fisher and the Rams; this week was the worst of it so far. Sean Payton and the Saints gave them a revenge game beatdown, a public fight with the team’s most prominent alumni left Fisher looking petty, and a conference call in which Fisher didn’t seem to know who the Patriots running backs were.

Yet, somehow, the Rams still came out in support of their head coach. COO Kevin Demoff spent the week parroting the team’s party line on Fisher, that it’s unfair to judge him by his record. They’re paying him $7 million per year to not be judged by his perpetually mediocre results.

The Rams’ team headquarters is such a judgment-free zone that the Rams gave Fisher a two-year contract extension earlier this season, one that will pay him $7 million in 2017 and $9 million in 2018.

Nothing new for Teflon Fisher. He’s coached 22 years with only six winning seasons and three losses away from having more than any other head coach in NFL history. When a nuclear explosion rids the world of humanity, there will only be Jeff Fisher organizing a group of 53 cockroaches into a 7-9 insect football team.

 

Turf Show Times: Los Angeles Rams 10, New England Patriots 26: Overmatched
It was never going to be anything other than what it was

The talent level on the Rams’ offense, especially along the offensive line, is entirely insufficient to be able to operate an offensive gameplan consistently.

The physicality and aggression, let alone the quality of tutelage, lends itself to an unusually high number of penalties. Today, that didn’t manifest itself to nearly the degree it tends to. No matter.

But most overwhelmingly, the 2016 Los Angeles Rams, much like their previous versions the last four years in St. Louis, are overseen by Jeff Fisher, a master in finding ways to limit his teams to a very low level of capability and not get fired.

Today isn’t so much about losing to the Patriots. Lots of good teams have done as much.

Today isn’t even about the manner in which they did it with a horrendous offensive output capped with a garbage time touchdown that came on the back of the Patriots’ lone defensive failing of the day.

It’s about the entirety of Fisherball. It’s about five years of it. Five years of losing. The excuses. The complete lack of accountability.

With the loss today, Jeff Fisher is one loss away from tying Dan Reeves for the most losses of all-time of any NFL head coach.

 

LA Times: Rams Coach Jeff Fisher receives contract extension

Rams Coach Jeff Fisher has received a contract extension, a person with knowledge of the situation said.

Fisher is in the final season of a five-year contract that pays him $7 million a year. The Rams are 4-7 this season and Fisher has a 31-43-1 record with the Rams heading into Sunday’s game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium.

General Manager Les Snead also received an extension, said the source, who requested anonymity to avoid getting ahead of the expected official announcement.

Despite his record, Fisher before the season was thought to be in line for an extension for helping to oversee the Rams’ move from St. Louis to Los Angeles.

But the Rams did not announce it before a season-opening loss against the San Francisco 49ers or after the Rams got off to a 3-1 start.

 

Sports Illustrated: Rams overlook obvious problems and extend coach Jeff Fisher’s contract

Say this much about the Rams: They don’t easily cave to outside noise.

Despite the increasing calls for Los Angeles to move on from coach Jeff Fisher as the franchise steamrolls towards its fifth straight sub-.500 record under his leadership, the front office apparently thinks highly enough of Fisher to keep him around. The NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reported Sunday that the Rams and Fisher had, in fact, signed a two-contract extension through 2018.

Rumors of such an extension had been floating since earlier this season—the Rams’ first back in Los Angeles. SI’s Jonathan Jones even speculated last week that Fisher may know something the general public did not about his job status.

Turns out, that was true. Which is enough to make you wonder why the Rams kept this all so hush-hush.

The obvious answer is that the backlash for the front office rewarding Fisher in the midst of a disappointing 4–7 season would have been (and now will be) swift. The Rams finished 7-8-1 in Fisher’s first year in St. Louis (2012), but they have not been able to match even that mediocre finish in the years since. Headed into Sunday’s game at New England, Fisher was just two away from tying Dan Reeves for the most losses (165) in NFL coaching history.

 

Los Angeles Daily News: Rams have a ways to go to totally win back hearts of Los Angeles

What, you thought this was going to be a perfectly seamless transition? The Rams were just going to waltz into town after abandoning us all those years ago and just slide right back into our hearts and souls?

Sorry, that was never going to happen. It was inevitable there would be hiccups and bumps in the road. This was as awkward as awkward gets, them walking out on us 21 years ago like a dad kicking his family to the curb and us eventually writing them off for good.

 

Former Ram running back Eric Dickerson is not a fan of Fisher’s contract extension. For a detailed review of the conversation between the Hall of Fame RB and Fisher, see Eric Dickerson says he will not go to Rams games as long as Jeff Fisher is the coach from the LA Times.

Washington Post: Eric Dickerson says Jeff Fisher banned him from sideline, Rams deny it

Earlier Monday, on Dickerson’s own Los Angeles-based radio show, he said, “Someone from upper management called me and said that I make the players feel uncomfortable about some of the stuff I’ve said on the radio, and they don’t want me on the sidelines. Basically, they didn’t want me at the games.”

(Dickerson) told Liz Habib, a sports anchor at KTTV in Los Angeles, that Fisher had called him and said, “As long as I’m head coach, you’re not welcome on the sideline.”

“As long as you’re head coach, you don’t ever have to worry about ever seeing me at a Rams game again,” Dickerson said he told Fisher, in comments made to Jason Smith of Fox Sports Radio. He said that he’d gotten the call about 10 days ago, and that he told the coach, “First of all, I wore the Rams uniform. You could get fired, [General Manager] Les Snead could get fired, Kevin Demoff could get fired, but I will always be Eric Dickerson of the Los Angeles Rams.”

“How dare you have the audacity to call me with that nonsense,” Dickerson said of Fisher to Smith. About the coach’s “really good conversation” comment, Dickerson said, “The good conversation came after I let him know what time it was. … Then he backed down.”

 

And the topic devolves from there.

Washington Post: Eric Dickerson wonders about naked pictures and Jeff Fisher’s contract extension

“I asked Kevin Demoff [the team’s V-P of football operations and chief operating officer] point-blank last night, I said, ‘So, are you bringing Jeff Fisher back? Does he have an extension?’” Dickerson said on “The Herd with Colin Cowherd.” “He said, ‘We’re talking about it.’ He asked me, ‘What do you think?’ I said, ‘My honest opinion? No. Look, he’s had five years. Five years of losing. Enough is enough.

“‘If I’m a fan, I feel like all these Rams fans, I’m their voice. I mean, why would you bring him back?’ I asked him, ‘Where are the naked pictures at?’ He must’ve got something on someone because five years is enough. It really is. You can’t subject all the Rams fans to this for another year.

 

And with this being SoCal, a former celebrity has an opinion as well.

CBS Sports: Snoop Dogg rips the Rams, calls for Fisher’s firing over Dickerson situation
Even Snoop thinks the Rams should fire Jeff Fisher

If Jeff Fisher’s goal in Los Angeles is to turn every celebrity against the Rams, then he’s doing a good job.

As the fallout continues from Fisher’s feud with Rams legend Eric Dickerson, we now know that there are at least two celebrities in L.A. who want to seen Fisher fired: Dickerson and yup, you guessed it, Snoop Dogg.

When Snoop’s talking about the NFL, he’s usually spends most of his time talking about the Seahawks or Steelers; however, it appears that he became so irate at Fisher at the Dickerson situation that he decided to go on Instagram and call for Fisher’s firing.

Here’s the censored version of what Snoop said.

“Coach need to go … He don’t know how to coach,” Snoop says in his video. “He ain’t won s—. He ain’t gonna win s—. He need to go. Period.”

 

Ramblin Fan: Los Angeles Rams Take the Marvin Lewis Approach With Jeff Fisher After Extension

So why did the Rams decide to reward Fisher with an extension despite his inability to post a winning record? It’s hard to determine any positives in this situation, but the one factor that sticks out the most is the hand Fisher was dealt for 2016 along with the potential surrounding Jared Goff at quarterback.

Los Angeles strongly believed at the beginning of the season the one thing holding them back from truly becoming contenders in the NFC was the quarterback position and after moving up in the draft to select Goff along with parting ways with Nick Foles, they finally received an upgrade. Goff may still have plenty of work to do from a development standpoint, but the No. 1 pick finally found a way to spark the Rams’ offense when he threw for three touchdowns in the first half against the New Orleans Saints back in Week 12.

The decision may not make sense at the moment, but it’s clear Los Angeles is taking the Marvin Lewis approach with this situation by keeping Fisher around, despite his inability to win a single playoff game. For the sake of the Rams fan base, let’s hope the organization doesn’t keep Fisher around as long as the Bengals have kept Lewis if the team continues to struggle over the next couple of seasons.

 

https://twitter.com/LATACO/status/805580225681555456?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Enews%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

 

 

Tom Brady’s TB Times: Game Over For Rams

John Morgan
December 4, 2016 at 7:00 pm ET

In today’s edition of the TB Times Tom Brady takes on the persona of a video gamer. At times it seemed as if the Patriots were were indeed the veteran video player, taking on a novice. The Patriots cruised to a 26-10 victory with the outcome seemingly never in doubt. New England out-gained LA 402 yards to 162. The Rams were limited to three points and 96 yards of offense until their final drive of the game in garbage time in the final two minutes. The Patriot defense stopped the Rams on their first seven third down opportunities. LA finished a meager 1-12 on third down.

The big story of course was that Brady won his 201st game at quarterback, to set an NFL all-time record. The Patriots advanced to 10-2 to remain in the top slot in the AFC playoff picture. With Miami losing at Baltimore the Pats are now up three games in the AFC East with only four games remaining in the regular season.

New England has won the AFC East title seven years in a row and 12 of the last 13 years, a number unmatched in the salary cap/free agency era. Only once has a Brady-led Patriot team not won the division. That occurred in 2002, in Brady’s second season as an NFL starting quarterback.

 

Tom Brady sets an NFL record with his 201st win at quarterback

 

NFL Week 13 Odds, Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

John Morgan
at 7:00 am ET

Despite the supposedly foolproof plan to avoid controversy in determining a champion, college football is in the midst of doing just that once again.

When it comes to football the reality is that our nations universities sold their souls in a quest for the almighty dollar long ago. The idea that it is all about kids getting an education is an insult to our intelligence. And that is before the absurd topic of player safety.

Colleges wanted to get away from six and eight team leagues, and form 12 and 14 team mega conferences. One of the benefits to doing so was a huge influx of cash for a championship game. This was made possible by having enough teams in a conference to create two divisions. The two division winners meet after the season is over and voilà, another big pay day for everyone except for those actually playing the game.

If that is the way you want to set this sport up, then fine. Have your mega-conference championship games, and then the winners of those games can meet in a mini-playoff series to determine the nation’s number one team. But thanks to our everyone-gets-a-trophy mentality, that’s not good enough. Gee whiz, what if a good team gets excluded?

Colleges and their boosters want it both ways. They want to financially benefit from conference championship games. But then they want to be able to send whatever team is actually the best one from their group to a national championship game – even if they did not win, or even play in their league’s title game.

Sorry it doesn’t – or at least should not work that way. How can anyone justify a team winning their conference and then tell them sorry, but another team that did not win your league is going to the playoffs for the national title? If you are going to do that then you need to eliminate conference championship games, because you just made them meaningless.

Want more happy thoughts? Consider this with Black Friday and Cyber Monday are now thankfully in the rear view mirror. More people in the United States shopped during that short time period than voted in the presidential election.

 

NFL Week 13 Early Games on CBS

★★ 7-4 Denver Broncos at 2-9 Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Spero Dedes, Solomon Wilcots.
Broncos -3½ . . . . over/under 39½ . . . . DEN -180, JAC +160
Broadcast in Tucson AZ, San Diego CA, Colorado, Jacksonville FL, Idaho (except Boise), New Mexico, South Dakota, Utah and Wyoming.

Denver has cooled off after beginning the season 4-0. Since then the Broncos are 3-4 with only one quality win, back in week seven against Houston. NFL teams have fared poorly the week after an overtime game, and Denver lost in OT last week. Now the Donkeys have to travel 1800 miles and leave the best home field advantage in the league behind – with a backup QB under center.

Normally that would be a recipe for disaster, but the Broncos are playing a moribund Jacksonville squad. The Jaguars own the league’s worst worst turnover differential at minus-15, which helps explain their record. Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware pose a huge mismatch for Jag tackles Kelvin Beachum and Jermy Parnell. Denver has had trouble stopping the run (4.3 yards per carry; 120 yards per game) but the Jacksonville line can’t open up lanes, and their running backs are pedestrian. The dropoff from Siemian to Paxton Lynch is at quarterback is minimal for Denver and a non-issue.

Prediction: Broncos 24, Jaguars 17
Broncos -3½ (two units) . . . . . under 39½ . . . . . Denver -180

Final Score: Broncos 20, Jaguars 10 ✓
Broncos -3½ ✓✓ . . . . . under 39½ ✓ . . . . . Broncos -180 ✓

 

★★★★★ 8-3 Kansas City Chiefs at 7-4 Atlanta Falcons
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Greg Gumbel, Trent Green, Jamie Erdahl.
Falcons -5½ . . . . over/under 49 . . . . ATL -240, KAN +200
Broadcast in Alabama (except Mobile), Arkansas, Tallahassee FL, Tampa FL, Georgia, western Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana (except Baton Rouge, New Orleans and Shreveport), Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina and western Virginia.

Similar to Denver, the Chiefs face the challenge of going on the road after playing five full quarters of football last week. Unlike the Broncos, KC has the polar opposite in strength of opposition. While Denver and now Oakland receive far more publicity, the Chiefs have quietly won 18 of their last 21 regular season games. An already good KC defense received a boost with the return of OLB Justin Houston from a knee injury.

The media has focused on Derek Carr’s injured finger, but Kansas City is another AFC West club with injury problems. NT Dontari Poe was unable to practice all week, so it is unlikely he’ll play. CB Marcus Peters will play, but even with a fully healthy hip he will have his hands full covering Julio Jones.

Prediction: Falcons 27, Chiefs 24
Chiefs +5½ . . . . . over 49 . . . . . Atlanta -240

Final Score: Chiefs 29, Falcons 28 x
Chiefs +5½ ✓ . . . . . over 49 ✓ . . . . . Falcons -240 x

 

★★★★ 6-5 Houston Texans at 5-6 Green Bay Packers
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Jim Nantz, Phil Simms, Tracy Wolfson.
Green Bay -6½ . . . . over/under 44½ . . . . GNB -270, HOU +230
Broadcast in Alaska, Arizona (except Tucson), Connecticut, Hawaii, Boise ID, Illinois (except Chicago), Indiana, Kentucky, Shreveport LA, Michigan (except Detroit and Flint), Minnesota, Las Vegas NV, New York City, North Dakota, Tennessee, Texas (except El Paso), Washington and Wisconsin.

Houston turned the ball over six times in the last two weeks, dropping to 6-5. Aaron Rodgers at home or Brock Osweiler on the road? Green Bay’s pass defense is poor, but they are very efficient against the run (3.8 yards per carry). Houston wants to run the ball behind Lamar Miller. If the Texans are unable to do so, Osweiler cannot keep pace with Rodgers in a shootout. There is a chance of snow, which would definitely benefit the Packers as well.

Prediction: Packers 24, Texans 13
Packers -6½ (two units) . . . . . under 44½ (one unit) . . . . . Green Bay -270

Final Score: Packers 21, Texans 13 ✓
Packers -6½ ✓✓ . . . . . under 44½ . . . . . Packers -270 ✓

 

★★★★ 7-4 Miami Dolphins at 6-5 Baltimore Ravens
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon, Chris Fischer.
Ravens -3½ . . . . over/under 41 . . . . BAL -180, MIA +160
Broadcast in Mobile AL, DC, Florida (except Jacksonville, Panama City and Tampa), Maryland, Ohio (except Cincinnati), Pennsylvania (except Philadelphia), eastern Virginia and West Virginia.

Branden Albert and Laremy Tunsil return to the Miami offensive line this week, though Mike Pouncey is still out. Baltimore also gets some good news on the injury front with the return of guard Marshal Yanda. The Ravens have rebounded from a four game losing streak punctuated with a loss to the Jets, winning three of their last four. Miami is even hotter, winning six straight after a 1-4 start to the season. Ryan Tannehill and Jay Ajayi have played very well during that streak. Tannehill has thrown nine touchdown passes versus just one pick and Ajayi is averaging 122 rushing yards per game while finding the end zone five times in that winning span.

Prediction: Dolphins 23, Ravens 20
Dolphins +3½ . . . . . over 41 . . . . . Miami +160

Final Score: Ravens 38, Dolphins 6 x
Dolphins +3½ x . . . . . over 41 ✓ . . . . . Dolphins +160 x

 

NFL Week 13 Early Games on FOX

★★★ 5-6 Philadelphia Eagles at 3-7-1 Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Thom Brennaman, Charles Davis, Peter Schrager.
Bengals -1½ . . . . over/under 41½ . . . . CIN -125, PHI +105
Broadcast in DC, Salisbury MD, eastern Kentucky, Ohio (except Toledo), North Dakota, Pennsylvania and West Virginia.

After starting the season 3-0 Philly’s season has gone down the toilet with six losses in their last eight games. The Eagles cannot win the division and would need to leap frog five teams to make the playoffs as a six seed. Cincinnati is headed in the same direction. The Bengals have lost three in a row and are showing no signs of interest in the post-season. Philly has lost five straight road games, with their only victory away coming against the Bears. Even without AJ Green I’ll give a very slight edge to Cincinnati here.

Prediction: Bengals 17, Eagles 16
Eagles +1½ . . . . . under 41½ . . . . . Cincinnati -125

Final Score: Bengals 32, Eagles 14 ✓
Eagles +1½ x . . . . . under 41½ x . . . . . Bengals -125 ✓

 

★★★★ 7-4 Detroit Lions at 5-6 New Orleans Saints
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Chris Myers, Ronde Barber, Jennifer Hale.
Saints -6 . . . . over/under 52½ . . . . NOR -260, DET +220
Broadcast in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida (except Fort Myers, Jacksonville, Miami and West Palm Beach), Georgia (except Atlanta), Wichita KS, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, New Mexico, North Carolina, Toledo OH, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Virginia and Wisconsin (except Green Bay).

Matthew Stafford should have a field day against a New Orleans defense that is allowing 28 points per game. Other than last week’s blowout over the Rams, the Saints have not been rather average at home. Even if New Orleans wins it is more likely going to be by three or four points than by more than a touchdown.

Prediction: Lions 34, Saints 31
Lions +6 (two units) . . . . . over 52½ (two units) . . . . . Detroit +220

Final Score: Lions 28, Saints 13 ✓
Lions +6 ✓✓ . . . . . over 52½ xx . . . . . Lions +220 ✓

 

1-10 San Francisco 49ers at 2-9 Chicago Bears
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston, Laura Okmin.
Niners -2 . . . . over/under 43 . . . . SFO -130, CHI +110
Broadcast in northern California, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Reno NV and Medford OR.

Who did Kenny Albert piss off to be assigned to cover this dumpster fire? The weather could play a factor in this game. With rain and/or snow in the forecast sloppy playing conditions could lead to turnovers and a low scoring game.

Prediction: Niners 20, Bears 14
Niners -2 . . . . . under 43 (one unit) . . . . . San Francisco -130

Final Score: Bears 26, Forty Niners 6 x
Niners -2 x . . . . . under 43 . . . . . Niners -130 x

 

★★★★ 4-7 Los Angeles Rams at 9-2 New England Patriots
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch, Pam Oliver.
Patriots -13½ . . . . over/under 44½ . . . . NWE -900, LAR +600
Broadcast in New England, Arizona, southern California, Colorado, south Florida (Fort Myers, Miami, West Palm Beach), Hawaii, Idaho, southern Illinois, Kansas (except Wichita), Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New York, Las Vegas NV, Oregon (except Medford), Tennessee (except Memphis), Utah, Washington and Wyoming.

Bill Belichick game plans to limit the opposition’s primary threat. That means stopping running back Todd Gurley. Opponents have been successful with that same tactic all season, resulting in the Rams averaging an NFL-worst 15.5 points per game.

Robert Quinn did not practice all week due to a concussion. He is listed as questionable, but I don’t see how he can play in this game. Center Tim Barnes and LG Rodger Saffold are also questionable for the Rams; the Patriots are not the only team here with an injury concern. Despite the most recent Belichick-Jeff Fisher games (45-7 and 59-0 Pats victories), I’m inclined to believe that the LA defense bounces back from last week’s debacle in New Orleans. The Patriots will win but this is not going to be an easy cakewalk.

Prediction: Patriots 27, Rams 17
Rams +13½ . . . . . under 44½ . . . . . New England -900

Final Score: Patriots 26, Rams 10 ✓
Rams +13½ x . . . . . under 44½ ✓ . . . . . Patriots -900 ✓

 

NFL Week 13 Late Games

★★★★ 6-5 Buffalo Bills at 9-2 Oakland Raiders
Sunday December 4 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS; Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts, Evan Washburn.
Raiders -3 . . . . over/under 48½ . . . . OAK -165, BUF +145
Broadcast in New England (except Hartford), Yuma AZ, California (except San Diego), Chicago IL, Baton Rouge LA, New Orleans LA, Detroit MI, Flint MI, Reno NV, New York (except New York City), Cincinnati OH, Oregon, Philadelphia PA and El Paso TX.

Buffalo enters the game with the NFL’s best rushing attack. The Bills are averaging 5.3 yards per carry, 157 rushing yards per game and 20 rushing touchdowns – all best in the league. That is bad news for an Oakland defense allowing a 30th-ranked 4.6 yards per carry. With Derek Carr dealing with two dislocated fingers the Raiders could be in trouble here.

Prediction: Bills 27, Raiders 24
Bills +3 . . . . . over 48½ . . . . . Buffalo +145

Final Score: Raiders 38, Bills 24 x
Bills +3 x . . . . . over 48½ ✓ . . . . . Bills +145 x

 

★★★ 6-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 5-6 San Diego Chargers
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Sam Rosen, David Diehl, Holly Sonders.
Chargers -3½ . . . . over/under 48½ . . . . SDG -185, TAM +165
Broadcast in San Diego CA and Florida (except Jacksonville, Miami and West Palm Beach).

The Bucs have somehow worked their way into the playoff race. However their secondary is still bad, and Philip Rivers should be able to exploit that deficiency. Tampa Bay won’t be able to cover Travis Benjamin and Tyrell Williams. Melvin Gordon will be able to gain big chunks of yardage on the ground with the focus on the passing game, but Tampa will keep it close. The Chargers have no answer for WR Mike Evans, and Jameis Winston has been making good decisions with the ball.

Prediction: Chargers 28, Buccaneers 24
Chargers -3½ . . . . . over 48½ . . . . . San Diego -185

Final Score: Buccaneers 28, Chargers 21 x
Chargers -3½ x . . . . . over 48½ ✓ . . . . . Chargers -185 x

 

★★★ 6-4-1 Washington Redskins at 4-6-1 Arizona Cardinals
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Dick Stockton, Chris Spielman, Kristina Pink.
Cardinals -2½ . . . . over/under 48½ . . . . ARI -135, WAS +115
Broadcast in Arizona, DC, North Carolina and Virginia.

Running back David Johnson has not been utilized enough by Arizona. If Bruce Arians gets his head out of his butt and figures that out then the Cardinals should win. Washington is surrendering 4.7 yards per carry and doesn’t have the personnel to handle him on screen passes out of the backfield.

Prediction: Cardinals 24, Redskins 23
Redskins +2½ . . . . . under 48½ . . . . . Arizona -135

Final Score: Cardinals 31, Redskins 23 ✓
Redskins +2½ x . . . . . under 48½ x . . . . . Cardinals -135 ✓

 

★★★★ 8-3 New York Giants at 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews.
Steelers -6 . . . . over/under 48½ . . . . PIT -260, NYG +220
Broadcast in all markets except for those airing the Bucs-Chargers or Skins-Cardinals games above. Also not televised in San Francisco due to NFL broadcast rules, as the Raiders are playing at home at the same time.

The New York defense has received plenty of platitudes during their winning streak. However much of that can be attributed to facing inferior offenses led by mediocre quarterbacks. I like Pittsburgh here but a line of six points leaves me hesitant to place a wager on this game.

Prediction: Steelers 31, Giants 24
Steelers -6 . . . . . over 48½ . . . . . Pittsburgh -260

Final Score: Steelers 24, Giants 14 ✓
Steelers -6 ✓ . . . . . over 48½ x . . . . . Steelers -260 ✓

 

NFL Week 13 Prime Time Games

★★★★ 4-7 Carolina Panthers at 7-3-1 Seattle Seahawks
Sunday December 4 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth, Michele Tafoya.
Seahawks -7 . . . . over/under 44 . . . . SEA -350, CAR +290

Seattle was in a difficult spot last week, making a long road trip with injuries to key players. The Seahawks are back home and are also healthy again.

Prediction: Seahawks 24, Panthers 13
Seahawks -7 (two units) . . . . . under 44 . . . . . Seattle -350

Final Score: Seahawks 40, Panthers 7 ✓
Seahawks -7 ✓✓ . . . . . under 44 x . . . . . Seahawks -350 ✓

 

★★ 5-6 Indianapolis Colts at 3-8 New York Jets
Monday December 5 at 8:30 pm ET on BSPN; Sean McDonough, Jon Gruden, Lisa Salters.
Colts -1½ . . . . over/under 48½ . . . . IND -125, NYJ +105

The Jets had their Super Bowl last week. Expect that to be followed by the inevitable letdown, if that is possible for a three-win team.

Prediction: Colts 20, Jets 17
Colts -1½ (one unit) . . . . . under 48½ (two units) . . . . . Indianapolis -125

Final Score: Colts 41, Jets 10 ✓
Colts -1½ . . . . . under 48½ xx . . . . . Colts -125 ✓

 

★★★★ 10-1 Dallas Cowboys at 6-5 Minnesota Vikings
Thursday December 1 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth, Michele Tafoya.
Cowboys -3 . . . . over/under 43½ . . . . DAL -160, MIN +130

Along with most of the nation I did not expect this to be as close as it was. On one hand Dallas keeps finding ways to win, but on the other I can’t help but wonder if Ezekiel Elliott is hitting the rookie wall. Is it possible that the Cowboys peaked too soon and are running out of gas?

Prediction: Cowboys 24, Vikings 13
Cowboys -3 (two units) . . . . . under 43½ . . . . . Dallas -160

Final Score: Cowboys 17, Vikings 15 ✓
Cowboys -3 xx . . . . . under 43½ ✓ . . . . . Cowboys -160 ✓

 

NFL Week 13 Parlays and Teasers

3-Game Parlay (one unit): x
Lions at Saints over 52½ x
Panthers at Seahawks -7 ✓
Jets vs Colts -1½ ✓

5-Team 6-Point Teaser (two units): xx
Lions at Saints over 46½ x
Panthers at Seahawks -1 ✓
Jets vs Colts +4½ ✓
Ravens vs Dolphins +9½ x
Saints vs Lions +12 ✓

 

Tale of the Tape

Last week the total of the Packers at Eagles game killed me. The final score was 27-13 and I took over 47½ based primarily on Green Bay’s defense in recent weeks. I lost two units on the over, and also two units on a parlay and another two units on a teaser. That was a 5-game teaser that would have paid out 410 x 2. On paper the outcome cost me six units but in reality it was much more. Had the game gone over the delta between what I would have been up versus what I was down was a net 2450 (1790-660)! That one game wiped out the positive of hitting on my second largest play of the season, a four unit wager on Atlanta-Arizona.

Week 12 Results:
11-5 Straight Up
7-8-1 Against the Spread
8-8 Over/Under
4-unit plays: 1-0, +400
2-unit plays: 3-3-1, -80
1-unit plays: 2-4, -240
3-Game Parlay: 2u, -220
5-Game Teaser: 2u, -220
28 units invested
6-9-1, -360 on $3080 risk.
-11.7% ROI

Year to Date Results:
104-71-2 Straight Up
94-77-5 Against the Spread
96-80 Over/Under
5-unit plays: 1-0, +500
4-unit plays: 1-0, +400
3-unit plays: 6-5-1, +120
2-unit plays: 32-16-1, +2910
1-unit plays: 36-26-1, +730
Parlays: 3-7, +1520
Teasers: 6-4, +2830
85-58-3, +9010 on original $2310 risk.
390.0% ROI on original $2310 bankroll.
34.4% ROI on $26,180 (238 units) of total weekly investments.

6-9-1, -360 on 28 units (-11.7%) in Week 11.
4-9, -510 on 18 units (-25.8%) in Week 10.
7-4, +850 on 17 units (+45.5%) in Week 9.
11-2, +3470 on 27 units (+116.8%) in Week 8.
3-6, -480 on 12 units (-36.4%) in Week 7.
9-3-1, +1300 on 17 units (+69.5%) in Week 6.
7-7, +50 on 22 units (+2.1%) in Week 5.
9-2, +1910 on 18 units (+96.5%) in Week 4.
3-9-1, -1280 on 22 units (-58.2%) in Week 3.
9-3, +950 on 20 units (+43.2%) in Week 2.
9-2, +840 on 21 units (+36.4%) in Week 1.

 

The views and opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of the publisher of this website. Neither the author nor this website promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-888-ADMIT-IT or 1-888-GA-HELPS.

 

Follow on Twitter @AllThingsPats

 

NFL Week 13 Odds, Television Coverage and Distribution

John Morgan
November 29, 2016 at 9:00 pm ET

NFL Week 13 Odds, Television Coverage and Distribution

NFL Week 13 kicks off with a rarity, a quality game on Thursday night. The 10-1 Cowboys travel to Minnesota to face a 6-5 Vikings team battling for the NFC North lead. Thursday night games have been sloppy and often unwatchable in recent years. Some of that is due to the NFL expanding the Thursday night schedule from a slate of eight games to a weekly affair. As a result every team plays on Thursday at some point, and many of the matchups have not been worthy of prime time.

However the biggest reason for the decrease in performance has been due to the short time between games. Players need more than three days to physically recover from their previous games, and the coaches and players need more time to adequately study, prepare and game plan for the next game. Since both the Vikings and the Cowboys played on Thanksgiving, that will not be an issue this week.

This week finishes off byes for the 2016 season, so with teams no longer off we should an increase in the number of quality games. With only Cleveland and Tennessee off with a bye the schedule is filled with interesting games; the only notable dog is San Francisco at Chicago.

The odds below are initial lines as of Monday and the television schedules are preliminary. The broadcast coverage will surely change in some television markets between now and next Sunday.

 

NFL Week 13 Early Games

★★★★★ 10-1 Dallas Cowboys at 6-5 Minnesota Vikings
Thursday, December 1 at 8:25 pm ET on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth and Michele Tafoya
Cowboys -3½ . . . . over/under 44
Broadcast in all markets.

 

★★ 7-4 Denver Broncos at 2-9 Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Spero Dedes, Solomon Wilcots
Broncos -5 . . . . over/under 41½
Broadcast in Colorado, Gainesville FL, Jacksonville FL, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah and Wyoming.

 

★★★★★ 8-3 Kansas City Chiefs at 7-4 Atlanta Falcons
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Greg Gumbel, Trent Green, Jamie Erdahl
Falcons -3½ . . . . over/under 49½
Broadcast in Alabama, Arkansas, Tallahassee FL, Tampa FL, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana (except Baton Rouge, New Orleans and Shreveport), Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Roanoke VA.

 

★★★★ 6-5 Houston Texans at 5-6 Green Bay Packers
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Jim Nantz, Phil Simms, Tracy Wolfson
Packers -6½ . . . . over/under 45½
Broadcast in Alaska, San Diego CA, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois (except Chicago), Indiana, Kentucky, Shreveport LA, Michigan (except Detroit and Flint), Minnesota, Las Vegas NV, NYC, Oregon, Tennessee, Texas, Washington and Wisconsin.

 

★★★ 5-6 Philadelphia Eagles at 3-7-1 Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Thom Brennaman, Charles Davis, Peter Schrager
Eagles -1 . . . . over/under 42½
Broadcast in DC, Wichita KS, Salisbury MD, New Mexico, NYC, North Dakota, Ohio (except Toledo), Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, eastern Tennessee, Texas (except Houston), Virginia and West Virginia.

 

★★★★ 7-4 Detroit Lions at 5-6 New Orleans Saints
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Chris Myers, Ronde Barber, Jennifer Hale
Saints -6 . . . . over/under 53½
Broadcast in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida (except Jacksonville, Miami and West Palm Beach), Georgia (except Atlanta), Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, North Carolina, Toledo OH, South Carolina, Chattanooga TN, Memphis TN, Houston TX and Wisconsin TX.

 

1-10 San Francisco 49ers at 2-9 Chicago Bears
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston, Laura Okmin
Bears -1½ . . . . over/under 43½
Broadcast in northern California, Illinois, Indiana, Reno NV and Medford OR.

 

★★★★ 4-7 Los Angeles Rams at 9-2 New England Patriots
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch, Pam Oliver
Patriots -13½ . . . . over/under 44½
Broadcast in New England, Alaska, Arizona, southern California, Colorado, Miami FL, West Palm Beach FL, Hawaii, Idaho, Topeka KS, Missouri, Nebraska, Las Vegas NV, New York, Oregon (except Medford), Tennessee (except Chattanooga and Memphis), Utah, Washington and Wyoming.

 

★★★★ 7-4 Miami Dolphins at 6-5 Baltimore Ravens
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
Ravens -3½ . . . . over/under 41
Broadcast in DC, Florida (except Jacksonville, Tallahassee and Tampa), Maryland, Ohio (except Cincinnati), Pennsylvania (except Philadelphia), Virginia (except Roanoke) and West Virginia.

 

NFL Week 13 Late Games

★★★★ 6-5 Buffalo Bills at 9-2 Oakland Raiders
Sunday December 4 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS; Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts, Evan Washburn
Raiders -3 . . . . over/under 49½
Broadcast in New England (except Hartford), Yuma AZ, California (except San Diego), Chicago IL, Baton Rouge LA, New Orleans LA, Detroit MI, Flint MI, Reno NV, New York (except NYC), Cincinnati OH, Medford OR and Philadelphia PA.

 

★★★ 6-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 5-6 San Diego Chargers
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Sam Rosen, David Diehl, Holly Sonder
Chargers -4 . . . . over/under 47½
Broadcast in San Diego CA and Florida (except Miami and West Palm Beach).

 

★★★ 6-4-1 Washington Redskins at 4-6-1 Arizona Cardinals
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Dick Stockton, Chris Spielman, Kristina Pink
Cardinals -2½ . . . . over/under 49½
Broadcast in Arizona, DC, Maryland and Virginia.

 

★★★★ 8-3 New York Giants at 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews
Steelers -6 . . . . over/under 49½
Broadcast in all markets except for those televising either the Bucs-Chargers or Redskins-Cardinals. Also not broadcast in San Francisco Bay area due to NFL broadcast rules.

 

★★★★ 4-7 Carolina Panthers at 7-3-1 Seattle Seahawks
Sunday December 4 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth and Michele Tafoya
Seahawks -6½ . . . . over/under 44½
Broadcast in all markets.

 

★★ 5-6 Indianapolis Colts at 3-8 New York Jets
Monday December 5 at 8:30 pm ET on BSPN; Sean McDonough, Jon Gruden, Lisa Walters
Colts -1½ . . . . over/under 49½
Broadcast in all markets.

 

Tom Brady’s TB Times: “Wait… Voldemort is a Jets Fan?”

John Morgan
November 28, 2016 at 8:56 pm ET

After every New England Patriots game the TB Times publishes a front page story on Tom Brady’s facebook page. The latest includes a picture of well, a not untypical Jets fan I suppose.

 

The Patriots are now 9-2; the Jets are 3-8.

 

And in case you missed it, be sure to check out the video of Brady as a lead blocker for LeGarrette Blount on Sunday.

 

After two weeks on the road the Pats return home to Foxborough to take on the Los Angeles Rams. For those of you that will not be at Gillette Stadium the game will be on FOX rather than CBS, announced by Kevin Burhardt and John Lynch. For Pats fans enduring far too many games listening to Ian Eagle and Dan Fouts this will be a treat. We rarely hear Lynch since he works for FOX and does NFC games. In my opinion the former safety – who ended his pro football career as a Patriot in the 2008 preseason – is now the best commentator/analyst for the four networks broadcasting NFL games live.

 

For those that may have forgotten or not known about Lynch as a football player, here you go. It’s too bad the Patriots couldn’t have signed him a few years earlier.

 

NFL Week 13 Early Advanced ‘Look-Ahead’ Betting Lines: Patriots favored by 14

John Morgan
November 25, 2016 at 6:00 am ET

Earlier this week the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook released their ‘look ahead’ betting lines for NFL Week 13. These odds are published in advance of any of the prior week’s games being played, including the three Week 12 Thanksgiving Day games. Early lines give some clairvoyant risk takers an opportunity to roll the dice on games that will not take place for another week and a half. There are times when public reaction to the most recent game clouds reality, and for a moment one can exploit the betting lines on a team that may be overrated or underrated due to the most recent result – or be done in by an unforeseen injury.

For the third consecutive week the New England Patriots were listed as the heaviest favorite in these early odds. After two weeks on the road the Pats return to Gillette Stadium. The Westgate lists the Patriots as 14 point home favorites against Los Angeles. The Rams have plenty of talent on defense. Jeff Fisher’s defense ranks fifth in scoring (18.7 points per game), sixth in yards (318 per game), seventh in yards per play (5.0) and seventh on third down (36.7%).

So why is there such a large spread for this game? Fisher has never been known for his offensive acumen, and this season is no different. The Rams have the worst offense in the league, which is quite an achievement when you consider how inept certain other offenses such as the Browns, Jets and Bears have been this season. LA ranks dead last in scoring (14.9 points per game), 31st in yardage (a hair under 300 yards per game) and is 30th at 4.8 yards per play.

Mr. Mean Mustache needs just four more losses to become the biggest loser in NFL history. Fisher has not had a winning season since 2008, and in each of his five seasons as head coach of the Rams his team has had six losses ten games into the season. I suppose that means we have to give him credit for consistency.

Enough of Fisher, back to the Week 13 games. The slimmest early odds belong to Cincinnati as a one-point home favorite over Philadelphia, and Dallas a two-point favorite at Minnesota. With the Cowboys winning and Vikings losing Thursday I would expect that spread to increase when odds are published Monday. Dallas is one of three road favorites for Week 13. Denver is favored by 4½ at Jacksonville; considering how bad the Jaguars have been I am ready to jump on the Broncos in that game. The other road fave is Indy, by 2½ points at the Jets.

 

NFL Week 13 Early Advanced ‘Look-Ahead’ Betting Lines

9-1 10-1 Dallas Cowboys (-2) at 6-4 6-5 Minnesota Vikings
Thursday December 1 at 8:30 pm ET on CBS

7-3 Denver Broncos (-4½) at 2-8 Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

7-3 Kansas City Chiefs at 6-4 Atlanta Falcons (-3½)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

6-4 Houston Texans at 4-6 Green Bay Packers (-3½)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

5-5 Philadelphia Eagles at 3-6-1 Cincinnati Bengals (-1)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

6-4 7-4 Detroit Lions at 4-6 New Orleans Saints (-3½)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

1-9 San Francisco 49ers at 2-8 Chicago Bears (-4)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

4-6 Los Angeles Rams at 8-2 New England Patriots (-14)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

6-4 Miami Dolphins at 5-5 Baltimore Ravens (-3½)
Sunday December 4 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

5-5 Buffalo Bills at 8-2 Oakland Raiders (-3½)
Sunday December 4 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS

5-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 4-6 San Diego Chargers (-5½)
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX

6-3-1 6-4-1 Washington Redskins at 4-5-1 Arizona Cardinals (-3½)
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX

7-3 New York Giants at 5-5 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers (-6)
Sunday December 4 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX

4-6 Carolina Panthers at 7-2-1 Seattle Seahawks (-6½)
Sunday December 4 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC

5-5 5-6 Indianapolis Colts (-2½) at 3-7 New York Jets
Monday December 5 at 8:30 pm ET on BSPN

The Browns are guaranteed to not lose in Week 13. Cleveland and Tennessee will not play, which will complete all of the byes for the 2016 season.

 

Eagles at Patriots – Complete Team Stats, Odds & Prediction

John Morgan
December 6, 2015 at 1:00 pm ET

The 10-1 New England Patriots are back home this week to face the 4-7 Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of Super Bowl 39. The Patriots need a win to maintain their grasp on the number one seed in the AFC, while the Eagles are seeking to end a three-game skid and stay close in the woeful NFC East.

 

When: Sunday, December 6 at 4:25 pm ET

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough MA

Television: FOX; announcers: Thom Brenneman, Charles Davis and Tony Siragusa

Weather: Forecast is for clear skies and temperature in the mid-forties; zero percent chance of precipitation and a slight breeze of about 6 mph.

Odds: The Patriots opened as point favorites in early look-ahead lines a week ago Thursday, prior to last week’s games. After Philadelphia surrendered 45 points for the second consecutive week, the initial line was set at 13 points after Sunday’s Week 12 games. It quickly dropped down to 9½ points based on injuries to Rob Gronkowski and Dont’a Hightower, inched up to ten points on Tuesday and has slowly descended since then: to nine points and then on Saturday, and then another half point to eight points on Sunday. The point total has remained steady at 49, with a few venues at 48½. Typical money lines have the Patriots -400 and the Eagles +320 as of Sunday morning.

Head-to-Head Series Record: The series is tied 6-6, but the Patriots have won all four meetings since Bill Belichick became the team’s head coach. The Pats beat the Eagles 24-21 to win the Super Bowl following the 2004 season, and came from behind in the fourth quarter in 2007 in Foxborough to win 31-28. Their last meeting was in 2011 in Philly when Vince Young threw for 400 yards but Tom Brady threw three touchdowns, BenJarvus Green-Ellis rushed for two more, and the Patriots won 38-20.

 

The Patriots can clinch a playoff spot today with either a win plus a loss by either the Chiefs or the Steelers; they can also clinch a playoff spot and the AFC East title if the Jets lose to the Giants. Since the beginning of the 2003 season New England has lost consecutive games just four times (the last being in 2012), winning more than ninety percent of those games (38-4). Since 2001 the Patriots have the best record in the NFL in the month of December, posting a .867 winning percentage and 52-8 record.

 

Here is a look at how the two teams compare statistically; the numbers reflect an average per game (or per play), rather than aggregate totals. Per-game and per-play stats are used rather than gross totals because that makes the rankings more meaningful, considering some NFL teams have played a different number of games, and because they provide a better context in regards to what to expect in any given game. Numbers in green indicate a top-ten ranking.

 

New England Patriots Offense versus Philadelphia Eagles Defense

Scoring: Patriots 31.5 (2nd); Eagles 24.9 (23rd)

Yardage: Patriots 402 (2nd); Eagles 380 (25th)

First Downs: Patriots 23.5 (1st); Eagles 21.5 (25th)

Yards per Play: Patriots 6.1 (3rd); Eagles 5.5 (16th)

Yards per Drive: Patriots 35.6 (5th); Eagles 31.4 (14th)

Points per Drive: Patriots 2.78 (1st); Eagles 1.98 (20th)

Drive Success Rate: Patriots .751 (2nd); Eagles .699 (16th)

Points per Play: Patriots .477 (2nd); Eagles .359 (16th)

Touchdowns: Patriots 3.5 (2nd); Eagles 2.8 (22nd)

Red Zone Touchdowns: Patriots 2.7 (1st); Eagles 2.5 (30th)

Red Zone TD Percentage: Patriots 65.2% (4th); Eagles 67.5% (31st)

Plays per Game: Patriots 66.2 (10th); Eagles 69.5 (32nd)

Third Down Conversions: Patriots 5.6 (9th); Eagles 6.0 (28th)

Third Down Percentage: Patriots 43.7% (6th); Eagles 42.6% (27th)

Punts per Score: Patriots 0.7 (2nd); Eagles 1.2 (13th)

Rushing Yards: Patriots 87.2 (29th); Eagles 126.6 (27th)

Yards per Rush: Patriots 3.81 (24th); Eagles 4.35 (25th)

Passing Yards: Patriots 315 (1st); Eagles 253 (20th)

Yards per Pass Attempt: Patriots 8.0 (5th); Eagles 7.1 (13th)

Completion Percentage: Patriots 65.2% (8th); Eagles 64.6 (21st)

Passer Rating: Patriots 106.7 (1st); Eagles 93.4 (20th)

TD Passes/Picks: Patriots +24 (1st), 28/4; Eagles -13 (21st), 25/12

Complete Passes: Patriots 26.7 (3rd); Eagles 24.5 (26th)

Incomplete Passes: Patriots 14.3 (22nd); Eagles 13.5 (14th)

Quarterback Sacks: Patriots 2.3 (16th); Eagles 2.4 (14th)

Sack Yardage Lost: Patriots 12.2 (12th); Eagles 16.2 (12th)

 

Philadelphia Eagles Offense versus New England Patriots Defense

Scoring: Eagles 22.1 (20th); Patriots 19.3 (5th)

Yardage: Eagles 362 (12th); Patriots 350 (16th)

First Downs: Eagles 21.7 (7th); Patriots 20.2 (17th)

Yards per Play: Eagles 5.2 (28th); Patriots 5.3 (10th)

Yards per Drive: Eagles 29.3 (26th); Patriots 30.3 (10th)

Points per Drive: Eagles 1.62 (27th); Patriots 1.66 (8th)

Drive Success Rate: Eagles .679 (24th); Patriots .683 (9th)

Points per Play: Eagles .317 (26th); Patriots .290 (4th)

Touchdowns: Eagles 2.5 (16th); Patriots 2.2 (7th)

Red Zone Touchdowns: Eagles 1.4 (23rd); Patriots 1.5 (9th)

Red Zone TD Percentage: Eagles 50% (22nd); Patriots 54.8% (16th)

Plays per Game: Eagles 69.7 (2nd); Patriots 66.4 (24th)

Third Down Conversions: Eagles 4.8 (18th); Patriots 5.4 (18th)

Third Down Percentage: Eagles 34.2% (27th); Patriots 38.1% (14th)

Punts per Score: Eagles 1.4 (26th); Patriots 1.4 (5th)

Rushing Yards: Eagles 114.5 (12th); Patriots 97.0 (11th)

Yards per Rush: Eagles 4.01 (17th); Patriots 4.10 (17th)

Passing Yards: Eagles 247 (16th); Patriots 253 (19th)

Yards per Pass Attempt: Eagles 6.8 (26th); Patriots 6.9 (10th)

Completion Percentage: Eagles 64.1% (14th); Patriots 60.0% (8th)

Passer Rating: Eagles 82.0 (28th); Patriots 82.8 (8th)

TD Passes/Picks: Eagles +1 (28th), 15/14; Patriots -5 (8th), 15/10

Complete Passes: Eagles 24.8 (8th); Patriots 23.7 (23rd)

Incomplete Passes: Eagles 13.9 (21st); Patriots 15.8 (4th)

Quarterback Sacks: Eagles 2.5 (22nd); Patriots 3.2 (2nd)

Sack Yardage Lost: Eagles 17.8 (24th); Patriots 21.0 (1st)

 

Turnovers

Patriot Giveaways: 0.8 (2nd);  Eagle Takeaways: 1.9 (4th)

Eagle Giveaways: 1.9 (29th); Patriot Takeaways: 1.4 (19th)

 

Penalties

Penalties: Patriots 6.7 (12th); Eagles 6.8 (16th)

Penalty Yards: Patriots 63.7 (21st); Eagles 52.1 (4th)

Opponent Penalties: Patriots 7.4 (10th); Eagles 8.5 (3rd)

Opponent Penalty Yards: Patriots 65.4 (12th); Eagles 75.3 (4th)

 

Football Outsiders Statistics and Rankings

Team Efficiency: Weighted DVOA: Patriots 28.9% (5th); Eagles -12.2% (24th)

Team Efficiency: Offense DVOA: Patriots 20.3% (2nd); Eagles -13.4% (28th)

Team Efficiency: Defense DVOA: Patriots -2.4% (12th); Eagles -3.7% (11th)

Special Teams DVOA: Patriots 7.9% (1st); Eagles -1.4% (20th)

 

Prediction: Patriots 31, Eagles 17

The Patriots are next to unbeatable at home, and virtually unbeatable in a game following a loss. Even without Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman, Tom Brady should be able to exploit a very vulnerable Philly secondary. The Eagles will be forced to start rookie Eric Rowe at corner after Nolan Carroll was lost due to a broken ankle; whomever he is covering should be in line for plenty of targets today.

 

 

NFL Week 13 Previews, Predictions, TV Info and Picks ATS

John Morgan
December 5, 2015 at 7:00 pm ET

It is now December and with only five weeks remaining in the regular season, the margin of error for teams vying for a playoff spot or a first round bye is becoming slimmer and slimmer. For football fans that impatiently waited seven long months for the season to begin, this is very sad news; where did the time go?

 

However, for the glass half full crowd, this is a relief: rather than week after week with only a couple of games between two good team, that change in the calendar means we are that much closer to the playoffs: there are only two games this week that involve teams that both have winning records. In Roger Goodell’s world where parity is a code word for mediocrity, an NFL record twenty teams had losing records through the first ten weeks of the season, and it is possible that their are only eight teams to have winning records when this week’s games are finished. On top of that a three-win team is only two games out of first place in a division that will probably have a 7-9 team hosting a playoff game.

 

Week 13’s best game is between Seattle, who just went over .500 for the first time all season, and Minnesota, who ranks 25th in the league in scoring. The only other game with two winning clubs involves a pair of 6-5 teams: the under achieving Colts with a 40-year old backup QB, and a Pittsburgh defense that has given up 39 and 35 points in recent games. NFL fans deserve better than this.

 

That’s not to say that there are not games worth watching. If you draw a line in the sand at either a record of at least 5-6 or being within two games of the division lead (I’m looking at you NFC East and AFC South), there are five other games involving teams that are both in the hunt for a playoff spot. Houston (who the Patriots play next week) at Buffalo, KC at Oakland, the Jets-Giant battle for New Jersey bragging rights, and Atlanta at Tampa Bay are all compelling matchups with critical post-season implications. Fans and players on 4-7 teams in those six other divisions may still believe, but it is highly unlikely that a team that has lost 64% of their games is suddenly going to win five in a row to finish 9-7. A team without a winning record may win the AFC South or NFC East, but it is very doubtful that mark will be good enough to make it to playoffs as a wild card.

 

Happy Birthday to Jim Plunkett, who turns 68 today. Plunkett was the first overall pick in the 1971 draft after winning the Heisman Trophy over Archie Manning and Joe Theismann, and led Stanford to a Rose Bowl upset victory over Ohio State. In his first pro football game the Patriots stunned the Raiders 20-6, and he led the Pats to a 6-8 record after they had finished with a league-worst two wins the previous year. Unfortunately the offensive line was a sieve and Plunkett was battered and eventually became ineffective during his time with the Pats; he was sacked 146 times in four-plus seasons.

New England traded Plunkett away for four early draft picks which turned out to be key players during their great seasons in the late seventies: Pete Brock, Raymond Clayborn, Tim Fox and Horace Ivory. After his body healed up, Plunkett took advantage of an opportunity when Dan Pastorini was injured. In 1980 he went 9-2 as the starter for Oakland, and then won four more games in the playoffs; the Raiders won the Super Bowl and Plunkett was the game’s MVP. Three years later Plunkett relieved an injured Marc Wilson and once again led the Raiders to another Super Bowl victory, going a combined 13-3 in the regular season and playoffs. At the time his eight playoff victories were the fourth most (he ranks 15th now), and his .800 post-season winning percentage (8-2) is second to only Bart Starr (9-1) in NFL history.

 

3-8 San Francisco 49ers at 5-6 Chicago Bears
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston
Bears -7 (opened at -6½) . . . . over/under 43 . . . . Chi -320, SF +260

The Niners are a dumpster fire, allowing the fourth most yards per game while balancing that with an offense that is scoring nine fewer points than the league average.

Prediction: Bears 27, Niners 13

Pick: Bears -7 (two units) . . . . under 43 . . . . Bears -320

 

9-2 Cincinnati Bengals at 2-9 Cleveland Browns
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Justin Kutcher, Matt Millen
Bengals -9½ (opened at -7½) . . . . over/under 43½ . . . . Cin -450, Cle +350

Even if Cincinnati is lulled into looking past this game, the two-win Browns with third-string QB Austin Davis cannot keep up with the Bengal offense.

Prediction: Bengals 24, Browns 13

Pick: Bengals -9½ . . . . under 43½ (one unit) . . . . Bengals -450

 

4-7 Jacksonville Jaguars at 2-9 Tennessee Titans
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Brian Anderson, Chris Simms
Titans -2½ (opened as pick’em) . . . . over/under 43½ . . . . Ten -140, Jax +120

Jacksonville’s red zone offense ranks 30th in the league, and it cost the Jaguars a win last week. Tennessee continues its quest to break the NFL record of 14 consecutive home losses; a loss here would bring the streak up to eleven.

Prediction: Jaguars 24, Titans 21

Pick: Jaguars +2½ . . . . over 43½ . . . . Jaguars +120

 

6-5 Houston Texans at 5-6 Buffalo Bills
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Spero Dedes, Solomon Wilcots
Bills -3½ (opened at -3) . . . . over/under 41½ . . . . Buf -180, Hou +160

The Texans are giving up just 8.8 points and 250 yards per game over their current four game winning streak, both NFL bests since the start of Week 8. Buffalo’s defense is headed in the opposite direction; the Bills have allowed 50 points and 769 yards over the last two games.

Prediction: Texans 20, Bills 17

Pick: Texans +3½ . . . . under 41½ . . . . Texans +160

 

4-7 Baltimore Ravens at 4-7 Miami Dolphins (-6½)
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Andrew Catalon, Steve Tasker
Dolphins -3½ (opened at -4½) . . . . over/under 42½ . . . . Mia -190, Bal +165

Which was a crazier ending to a game: Baltimore’s Will Hill picking up the football after a blocked field goal and returning it 64 yards for a game-winning touchdown as time expired last Monday night, or Aaron Rodgers’ 61-yard Hail Mary on an untimed down after a phantom facemask penalty? John Harbaugh claims that the Ravens are now “relevant in December” and “that’s where we needed to be”. Does this guy even realize what he is saying, much less believe his own BS?

Prediction: Dolphins 24, Ravens 17

Pick: Dolphins -3½ . . . . under 42½ . . . . Dolphins -190

 

6-5 Seattle Seahawks at 8-3 Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch
Seahawks -1½ (opened as pick’em) . . . . over/under 41½ . . . . Sea -130, Min +110

Pittsburgh averaged 4.1 yards per carry at Seattle last week, and the Vikings have a much stronger running game with Adrian Peterson (106 yards rushing per game, 4.9 yards per carry, 8 rushing touchdowns). The west coast Seahawks got the short end of the stick when this game was flexed out of prime time to an early kickoff.

Prediction: Vikings 20, Seahawks 17

Pick: Vikings +1½ . . . . under 41½ . . . . Vikings +110

 

9-2 Arizona Cardinals at 4-7 St. Louis Rams
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Chris Myers, Ronde Barber
Cardinals -4½ (opened at -5½) . . . . over/under 43 . . . . Ari -220, StL +180

St. Louis ranks 31st in the NFL with 16.9 points scored per game, and after a strong start they don’t have a top ten defense. Head coach Jeff Fisher hasn’t had a winning season since 2008. Why he is considered by many to be a great coach is a mystery to me; one can have longevity and still be mediocre.

Prediction: Cardinals 27, Rams 13

Pick: Cardinals -4½ (three units) . . . . under 43 . . . . Cardinals -220

 

6-5 Atlanta Falcons at 5-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Dick Stockton, David Diehl
PK (opened as pick’em) . . . . over/under 46 . . . . TB -110, Atl -110

Matt Ryan has become a turnover machine and the Falcons have lost four in a row and five of their last six games. Tampa’s Jameis Winston has improved his mechanics as well as his decision making, and is benefiting from having Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson on the field at the same time. Forget last week’s dud at Indianapolis; it’s tough to win consecutive road games in the NFL.

Prediction: Bucs 24, Falcons 21

Pick: Bucs pk . . . . under 46 . . . . Bucs -110

 

6-5 New York Jets at 5-6 New York Giants
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts
Jets -2 (opened as pick’em) . . . . over/under 46½ . . . . NYJ -130, NYG +110

The Giants came out flat last week coming off a bye, turning the ball over three times and blowing a golden opportunity to open up a two-game lead in the NFC East. The last two times these two met the Giants went on to win the Super Bowl; I cannot fathom that happening this season.

Prediction: Jets 24, Giants 21

Pick: Jets -2 . . . . under 46½ . . . . Jets -130

 

9-2 Denver Broncos at 3-8 San Diego Chargers
Sunday, December 6 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS; Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
Broncos -4 (opened at -3) . . . . over/under 43½ . . . . Den -200, SD +170

Denver had its Super Bowl last week, beating the Patriots in overtime. A lot of teams have letdowns after playing the Patriots; it would not be the least bit shocking for San Diego to take advantage of the circumstances and win this game.

Prediction: Chargers 24, Broncos 20

Pick: Chargers +4 . . . . over 43½ . . . . Chargers +170

 

6-5 Kansas City Chiefs at 5-6 Oakland Raiders
Sunday, December 6 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS; Greg Gumbel, Trent Green
Chiefs -3 (opened at -3) . . . . over/under 44½ . . . . KC -145, Oak +125

Oakland’s offense is clicking, but an already average defense has been decimated by injuries and a suspension. Kansas City is the superior team, but after five straight wins the Chiefs are due for a bad game.

Prediction: Raiders 24, Chiefs 21

Pick: Raiders +3 . . . . over 44½ . . . . Raiders +125

 

4-7 Philadelphia Eagles at 10-1 New England Patriots
Sunday, December 6 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Thom Brennaman, Charles Davis
Patriots -9 (opened at -13) . . . . over/under 48½ . . . . NE -450, Phi +350

The banged up Patriots won’t be taking this game lightly after losing last week. Philly has given up 45 points in each of their last two games, and playing on the road for the second straight week against a motivated New England team will be too much to overcome.

Prediction: Patriots 31, Eagles 17

Pick: Patriots -9 . . . . under 48½ . . . . Patriots -450

 

11-0 Carolina Panthers at 4-7 New Orleans Saints
Sunday, December 6 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Joe Buck, Troy Aikman
Panthers -6½ (opened at -7½) . . . . over/under 49½ . . . . Car -300, NO +250

The Saints have the worst defense in the league (30.8 points per game), and even though Carolina is deficient at wide receiver, the Panthers should be able to exploit the New Orleans D. Greg Olsen should be able to take advantage of a defense that has surrendered ten touchdowns and 860 yards to opposing tight ends.

Prediction: Panthers 27, Saints 20

Pick: Panthers -6½ . . . . under 49½ . . . . Panthers -300

 

6-5 Indianapolis Colts at 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, December 6 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth
Steelers -7 (opened at -6) . . . . over/under 49 . . . . Pit -360, Ind +300

Even without TE Heath Miller, the Steelers should be able to exploit a Colt secondary that has been susceptible to big plays. Indy has neither the firepower to keep up with Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant, Markus Wheaton and DeAngelo Williams, nor the defense slow these options down.

Prediction: Steelers 28, Colts 24

Pick: Colts +7 . . . . over 49 . . . . Steelers -360

 

3-8 Dallas Cowboys at 5-6 Washington Redskins
Monday, December 7 at 8:30 pm on ESPN; Mike Tirico, Jon Gruden
Skins -4 (opened at -3) . . . . over/under 42 . . . . Was -200, Dal +175

FOX likely hated giving this game up when the schedule was drawn up last spring, but ESPN would love to trade it off now. I penciled in Washington as one of the worst teams in the league before the season began, but as of right now they would win the division and host a first round playoff game.

Prediction: Skins 24, Cowboys 17

Pick: Skins -4 . . . . under 42 . . . . Skins -200

 

8-4 Green Bay Packers (-2½) at 4-8 Detroit Lions o/u 47
Thursday, December 3; Green Bay 27, Detroit 23

 

For the sake of comparison, here are what the odds were for those that wanted to place a prop bet when the NFL schedule was released back in April.

Packers at Lions (Pick’em)
Panthers at Saints (-2)
Falcons (-1) at Buccaneers
Cardinals at Rams (-1)
Jaguars at Titans (-3)
Chiefs (-3½) at Raiders
Broncos at Chargers (Pick’em)
Texans at Bills (-3)
Ravens at Dolphins (Pick’em)
Eagles at Patriots (-4)
Bengals (-2) at Browns
Colts at Steelers (-2½)
Jets at Giants (-5)
49ers (-1) at Bears
Seahawks (-4½) at Vikings
Cowboys (-3) at Redskins

 

NFL Week 13 TV: Eagles at Patriots broadcast in 43 states

John Morgan
December 1, 2015 at 7:00 am ET

When the NFL and FOX bumped the Carolina Panthers-New Orleans Saints game from an early start to a late afternoon kickoff, I thought that would have an adverse effect on the distribution of the New England Patriots game against the Philadelphia Eagles. FOX has a history of much preferring to promote their ‘own’ teams – i.e., NFC teams, as that network owns the broadcast rights to the NFC games.

 

Much to the delight of most out of town Pats fans, that will not be the case next Sunday. The only areas that will not receive the New England-Philadelphia game are those in the television markets of NFC South teams. For those of you living in the southeastern United States that don’t have the Sunday Ticket, it’s another Sunday off to the local sports bar if you want to catch the Pats; for the rest of the country, you will be able to see the Patriots from the comfort of your living room couch.

 

And in case you missed it, the Week 14 game between the Patriots and Houston Texans has been flexed to Sunday night on NBC. The Seahawks-Ravens game gets pushed back to an early start on FOX; there are no other changes to the Week 14 schedule. That means that there will be an overload of 1:00 pm ET games (11!) and only the minimum two late afternoon games (one each on FOX and CBS); by comparison there were four 4:00 pm games in Week 13.

 

For Week 13 most of the country will get Seattle at Minnesota early, and Philly at New England late on FOX, who has the doubleheader. On CBS most of the eastern United States will see the Jets-Giants game early, while most of the western US will receive Denver at San Diego late. As is always the case, local affiliates may request to change to another game, but here is the preliminary broadcast schedule.

 

EDIT: FOX made a massive shift in broadcast plans, and now the Panthers-Saints will be their primary late afternoon game. The Patriots-Eagles will only be broadcast in about 17 states, mostly in New England and the Mid-Atlantic. For a detailed visual of the updated broadcast schedule, please visit J.P Kirby’s fine site, 506 Sports.

 

7-4 Green Bay Packers (-3) at 4-7 Detroit Lions (opened w/GB -5½); over/under 47

Thursday Dec 3 at 8:25 pm on CBS and NFLN; Jim Nantz, Chris Simms

Broadcast in all markets.

 

3-8 San Francisco 49ers at 5-6 Chicago Bears (-7) (opened w/Chi -6½); over/under 43

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston

Broadcast in northern California and Illinois.

 

9-2 Cincinnati Bengals (-7) at 2-9 Cleveland Browns (opened w/Cin -7½); over/under 44

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Justin Kutcher, Matt Millen

Broadcast in Indiana, Ohio, western Pennsylvania and West Virginia.

 

4-7 Jacksonville Jaguars at 2-9 Tennessee Titans (-2½) (opened as pick’em); over/under 43

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Brian Anderson, Chris Simms

Broadcast in northern Florida, southern Georgia, Tennessee and Tupelo MS.

 

6-5 Houston Texans at 5-6 Buffalo Bills (-3) (opened w/Buf -3); over/under 41½

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Spero Dedes, Solomon Wilcots

Broadcast in Indiana, western New York and Texas (except Dallas).

 

4-7 Baltimore Ravens at 4-7 Miami Dolphins (-5½) (opened w/Mia -4½); over/under 43

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Andrew Catalon, Steve Beuerlein

Broadcast in DC, Maryland and southern Florida.

 

11-0 Carolina Panthers (-7) at 4-7 New Orleans Saints (opened w/Car -7); over/under 49½

Sunday December 6 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Thom Brennaman, Charles Davis

Broadcast in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisina, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, eastern Tennessee, Tampa FL and northern Florida (Jacksonville, Panama City, Tallahassee).

 

6-5 Seattle Seahawks (-1) at 8-3 Minnesota Vikings (opened as pick’em); over/under 41½

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch

Broadcast in all markets except Alabama, Arizona, northern California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, western Pennsylvania, South Carolina, West Virginia, Buffalo NY, New York City, Reno NV and Nashville TN.

 

9-2 Arizona Cardinals (-5½) at 4-7 St. Louis Rams (opened w/Ari -5½); over/under 43

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Chris Myers, Ronde Barber

Broadcast in Arizona and Missouri.

 

6-5 Atlanta Falcons at 5-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2) (opened as pick’em); over/under 46

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX; Dick Stockton, David Diehl

Broadcast in Alabama, Florida (except Miami), Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina.

 

6-5 New York Jets (-2) at 5-6 New York Giants (opened w/NYJ -2); over/under 45

Sunday December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS; Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts

Broadcast in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Illinois (except Chicago), Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, New Hampshire, eastern New York, North Carolina, Ohio (except Cincinnati and Cleveland), Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin and Dallas TX.

 

9-2 Denver Broncos (-4½) at 3-8 San Diego Chargers (opened w/Den -3); over/under 43½

Sunday December 6 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS; Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon

Broadcast in Alaska, Arizona, southern California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Iowa, Minnesota, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, Wyoming, Tampa FL, Atlanta GA, Chicago IL, Cincinnati OH and Las Vegas NV.

 

6-5 Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at 5-6 Oakland Raiders (opened w/Kan -3); over/under 44

Sunday December 6 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS; Greg Gumbel, Trent Green

Broadcast in northern California, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Oregon, Reno NV and Cincinnati OH.

 

4-7 Philadelphia Eagles at 10-1 New England Patriots (-9½) (opened w/NE -13); over/under 49

Sunday December 6 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX; Joe Buck, Troy Aikman

Broadcast in all markets except Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisina, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, eastern Tennessee, San Diego CA, San Francisco/Oakland CA, Tampa FL and northern Florida (Jacksonville, Panama City, Tallahassee).

 

6-5 Indianapolis Colts at 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) (opened w/Pit -6); over/under n/l

Sunday December 6 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth

Broadcast in all markets.

 

3-8 Dallas Cowboys at 5-6 Washington Redskins (-4) (opened w/Was -3); over/under 42

Sunday December 7 at 8:30 pm ET on ESPN; Mike Tirico, Jon Gruden

Broadcast in all markets.

 

Note: the opening lines referenced above refer to odds listed on Sunday, November 29 after the week twelve games.

For the early advanced ‘look ahead’ lines that were published Thursday, November 26, click here.

Here are the odds that were listed as prop bets for each of the Week 13 games back in April, when the NFL released their 2015 schedule:

Packers at Lions (Pick’em)
Panthers at Saints (-2)
Falcons (-1) at Buccaneers
Cardinals at Rams (-1)
Jaguars at Titans (-3)
Chiefs (-3½) at Raiders
Broncos at Chargers (Pick’em)
Texans at Bills (-3)
Ravens at Dolphins (Pick’em)
Eagles at Patriots (-4)
Bengals (-2) at Browns
Colts at Steelers (-2½)
Jets at Giants (-5)
49ers (-1) at Bears
Seahawks (-4½) at Vikings
Cowboys (-3) at Redskins

 

 

NFL Week 13 Early Advanced Lines: Patriots Favored by 9.5 vs Eagles

John Morgan
November 29, 2015 at 8:00 pm ET

As they do every Thursday, the Westgate in Las Vegas published early advanced ‘look ahead’ odds for the following week’s NFL games. The New England Patriots have been installed as 9½ point home favorites in next week’s game against the Philadelphia Eagles. After the line was listed the Iggles lost their third straight game, and for the second week in a row Philly surrendered 45 points to an opponent.

 

A couple other lines caught my attention. Unbeaten Carolina is just a 3½ point favorite against a struggling Saints defense in New Orleans; Miami is favored by 6½ (granted, it is against the Ravens); Minnesota is a 1½ point home underdog against Seattle; and Dallas was listed as a three-point road favorite at Washington – though to be fair, this was prior to Tony Romo‘s injury on Thanksgiving Day. It is also interesting to note that there are more favorites playing on the road (nine) than home favorites (just six).

 

Here is a look at all of the early week 13 games, with won-loss records that were current at the time these lines were published (i.e., before the week 12 games). It will be interesting to see how FOX, who has next week’s doubleheader, splits up the distribution for the late afternoon game. The Panthers-Saints game has been pushed back to the late afternoon slot, which is shared by the Patriots-Eagles game. Based on the fact that the Carolina game was moved, I’ll assume that game gets nationwide distribution – and the Pats-Eagles will air only in eastern Pennsylvania and New England.

 

7-3 Green Bay Packers (-6) at 3-7 Detroit Lions
Thursday, December 3 on NFLN

3-7 San Francisco 49ers at 4-6 Chicago Bears (-7)
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

8-2 Cincinnati Bengals (-7) at 2-8 Cleveland Browns
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

4-6 Jacksonville Jaguars at 2-8 Tennessee Titans (-2½)
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

5-5 Houston Texans at 5-5 Buffalo Bills (no line due to QB situation)
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

3-7 Baltimore Ravens at 4-6 Miami Dolphins (-6½)
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

10-0 Carolina Panthers (-3½) at 4-6 New Orleans Saints
Sunday, December 6 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX

5-5 Seattle Seahawks (-1½) at 7-3 Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

8-2 Arizona Cardinals (-5½) at 4-6 St. Louis Rams
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

6-4 Atlanta Falcons (-1½) at 5-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on FOX

5-5 New York Jets at 5-5 New York Giants (-1½)
Sunday, December 6 at 1:00 pm ET on CBS

8-2 Denver Broncos (-6) at 2-8 San Diego Chargers
Sunday, December 6 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS

5-5 Kansas City Chiefs (-2½) at 4-6 Oakland Raiders
Sunday, December 6 at 4:05 pm ET on CBS

4-6 Philadelphia Eagles at 10-0 New England Patriots (-9½)
Sunday, December 6 at 4:25 pm ET on FOX

5-5 Indianapolis Colts at 6-5 Pittsburgh Steelers (-6½)
Sunday, December 6 at 8:30 pm ET on NBC

3-7 Dallas Cowboys (-3) at 4-6 Washington Redskins
Monday, December 7 at 8:30 pm on ESPN

 

For the sake of comparison, here are what the odds were for those that wanted to place a prop bet when the NFL schedule was released back in April.

Packers at Lions (Pick’em)
Panthers at Saints (-2)
Falcons (-1) at Buccaneers
Cardinals at Rams (-1)
Jaguars at Titans (-3)
Chiefs (-3½) at Raiders
Broncos at Chargers (Pick’em)
Texans at Bills (-3)
Ravens at Dolphins (Pick’em)
Eagles at Patriots (-4)
Bengals (-2) at Browns
Colts at Steelers (-2½)
Jets at Giants (-5)
49ers (-1) at Bears
Seahawks (-4½) at Vikings
Cowboys (-3) at Redskins