CFB RSW WIN TOTALS. EVERYTHING IS TO WIN 1 UNIT
My general strategy for win totals is to look for teams with 15+ returning starters, a returning QB, and a win total close to last years amount of wins and take the over. Even better if the win total is lower than last years total RSW. For unders, I look for about 11 returning starters or less and a new QB. I also look at the schedule. I do not just blindly bet teams that fit what I am looking for. SO this pretty much sums up my picks.
LSU Over 9 (-105)
I really wish I was getting 8.5, but LSU is loaded. Im penciling in Alabama as a loss. I really see 11-1 potential here. I think they will be really good. I am probably way to confident they are going to beat Texas. But they get Auburn, Florida, and A+M at home.
Alabama Over 11 (-145)
I cashed on this same bet last year. Atleast 11 RSW wins every season since 2011. That streak should continue. Ride the streak. If they win 11 you push
Iowa State Over 8 (-110)
I would never predict them to go 12-0. I do think every game on the schedule is winnable though. Very good football team. Won in Norman 2 years go.
Mich St Over 7.5 (-180) or 8 (-115)
I have not locked this yet. Talented enough to go 12-0, but could never predict that as they go to Michigan and Ohio State. But all the games are winnable on paper. Even if they lost to Michigan and OSU, they would have to lose 3 more games. Western Mich and Arizona state are not exactly pushovers, but those are home games and Mich St should expect to win its first 3 games. and be Atleast 4-1 when they go to the shoe, but these things never go as planned
Va tech Over 8 (-145)
They will not lose to Old dominion again, and they will not lose to Rhode Island or Furman. That is 3 wins right there. Road games against Virginia, ND, and the U which are 3 solid teams. If they were to lose all 3, they would need to go 6-0 against the rest of their schedule, which looks pretty soft. (I personally feel they are better than Virginia and Miami)
Minnesota Over 7.5 (-125)
Fleck has to go if this team does not improve and win 8 games. No power 5 OOC games. They get Penn state, Nebraksa, and Wisconsin at home(Can they nab two wins here?). They have to take care of Illinois and Rutgers on the road.
Miss st Under 8 (-120)
They look like the 5th best team in the conference in my opinion As they lost a lot of players. They host Bama and LSU and they are not beating either of those teams. They play @auburn and @A+M, 2 more teams that feel are superior. Can the vols or Rebels take them down? I am going to take my chances.
Wisconsin Under 8.5 (-130)
Have to play Ohio state, Michigan, and Michigan State for there cross division games. Thats Killer! Lost 4 Olinemen. Minnesota, Iowa, Northwestern, and Nebraska figure to be tough games. I really like this number.
West Virginia Under 5 (-115)
I would probably lay off this at 4.5 but 5 gets a push. Early schedule is absolutely brutal. Looks like a 2-5 start to me. Lost a ton, new coach. We will see
Bonus
FIU Over 8
App St over 9
