I think its useful that there's a team that might want to grab the great BB and make a splash and so on and so forth. Here's the likelihood.
Highish, if somehow we find out this season that we're really BAD and Matt Patricia and Joe Judge were the only thing standing between 2022 us and the far worse 2023 us. This seems unlikely in the extreme to me.
Not inconceivable with similar results to the last couple years (miss the playoffs or one and done but around .500 ball)
Low if Pats get, say, 12+wins or a playoff victory.
Vanishingly low if Pats get to the Championship.
Zero if the Pats go to the SB... which again, I view as vanishingly unlikely... unless someone gets in BB's head about being done here or something... he's got plenty of cap room, and excuse fans will grab onto for last year (of his own making, granted), and an "All is forgiven" for the taking.
I think it's useful that the narratives are out there -- just write the story, plug in the quotes from "around the league" or "close to the team" -- because the threat of Washington should be enough to return any coach to former glory.