Is it Welker's production we need to replace or Hernandez's? I'm only asking because I was struck by the similarities between the two in terms of measurables and production (but not size obviously). Measurables: Hernandez: 4.64 40 yd 6.83 3-cone 4.18 shuttle Welker: 4.65 40 yd 7.09 3-cone 4.01 shuttle Same 40 time with Welker winning one agility test and Hernandez winning the other. For production, I'm going to use 2011 stats because of Hernandez's injury this year. Welker winsd the number of receptions comfortably, but after that, things start to get fairly even: % Targets Caught Hernandez: 73.1 Welker: 73.1 Yds per Rec. Hernandez: 11.2 Welker 12.3 YAC/Rec. Hernandez: 6.2 Welker: 5.7 TD's Hernandez: 9 Welker: 10 I'm not suggesting that Hernandez is a like for like replacement for Welker and I freely admit that this statistics only based analysis is simplistic, but there's enough similarities there to make me think that the Pats envisage Hernandez taking up some of the slack of losing Welker and then finding a receiver that can replicate Hernandez's production; an altogether easier task than replacing one of the best receivers in the NFL. It would amount to an extra 50 targets for Hernandez or an extra 3 targets per game.