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Goodell is, delightfully from my perspective, between a rock and a hard place on this. And, ironically, it's Kraft who put him there.
If he turns the Appeal over to an independent Arbitrator, the very best he can hope for is a reduced Suspension; even many haters say that four games is over the line. But, there's at least a 50% chance that the Suspension will be overturned entirely, exposing the Wells report for the sham that it is. However, if even part of Brady's suspension is upheld by an Arbitrator who is viewed as fair and objective, then the likelihood of a litigation by Brady is much lower if not close to zero. So, is Goodell willing to gamble on partial vindication by an objective arbiter? Or does he decide that the risk is too great that an objective observer will toss the whole mess out the window? I wouldn't want to have to make that decision.
On the other hand, if Goodell keeps the Appeal under his control, there is no way that he can overturn the entire Suspension without completely undermining the credibility of the Wells report. So, he is left with the choice of keeping the four games in place or reducing it to two games or maybe one game. At that point, Brady's lawyers will smell blood in the water and, even with the Suspension reduced to one game, the likelihood will be high of Brady's taking the League to Court with a lengthy, embarrassing and damaging Discovery process that will include all communications between and among the NFL, the Ravens and the Colts, as well as the requirement that members of all three of those organizations have to testify under Oath and peril of perjury.
It's pretty much a lose-lose proposition for Goodell.
I still wish that Kraft had pursued his own Appeal and am angry that he did not do so, but in some ways it can be argued that he has set Goodell up.
If he turns the Appeal over to an independent Arbitrator, the very best he can hope for is a reduced Suspension; even many haters say that four games is over the line. But, there's at least a 50% chance that the Suspension will be overturned entirely, exposing the Wells report for the sham that it is. However, if even part of Brady's suspension is upheld by an Arbitrator who is viewed as fair and objective, then the likelihood of a litigation by Brady is much lower if not close to zero. So, is Goodell willing to gamble on partial vindication by an objective arbiter? Or does he decide that the risk is too great that an objective observer will toss the whole mess out the window? I wouldn't want to have to make that decision.
On the other hand, if Goodell keeps the Appeal under his control, there is no way that he can overturn the entire Suspension without completely undermining the credibility of the Wells report. So, he is left with the choice of keeping the four games in place or reducing it to two games or maybe one game. At that point, Brady's lawyers will smell blood in the water and, even with the Suspension reduced to one game, the likelihood will be high of Brady's taking the League to Court with a lengthy, embarrassing and damaging Discovery process that will include all communications between and among the NFL, the Ravens and the Colts, as well as the requirement that members of all three of those organizations have to testify under Oath and peril of perjury.
It's pretty much a lose-lose proposition for Goodell.
I still wish that Kraft had pursued his own Appeal and am angry that he did not do so, but in some ways it can be argued that he has set Goodell up.